ASML Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ASML Stock  USD 587.10  4.98  0.86%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding ASML Holding NV is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides ASML Holding buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ASML positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of ASML Holding's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Real Value
Target Price
Hype Value
Market Value
Naive Value
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell ASML Holding NV given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards ASML Holding. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for ASML Holding NV, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out ASML Holding Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as ASML and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards ASML Holding NV. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute ASML Holding Buy or Sell Advice

The ASML recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on ASML Holding NV. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in ASML Holding NV or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute ASML Holding's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ASML HoldingBuy ASML Holding
Strong Hold

Market Performance




Hype Condition


Current Valuation


Odds of Distress


Economic Sensitivity


Analyst Consensus


Financial Strenth (F Score)


Financial Leverage


Reporting Quality (M-Score)

For the selected time horizon ASML Holding NV has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), Jensen Alpha of (0.25), Total Risk Alpha of (0.22) and Treynor Ratio of (0.20)
Macroaxis provides advice on ASML Holding NV to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on ASML Holding NV. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure ASML Holding is not overpriced, please confirm all ASML Holding NV fundamentals, including its current ratio, total asset, and the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that ASML Holding NV has a price to book of 29.61 X, we suggest you to validate ASML Holding NV market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself next year given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

ASML Holding Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

ASML Holding NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ASML Holding NV is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
ASML Holding NV has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
On 10th of August 2023 ASML Holding paid $ 1.6281 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from ASML Stock Drops As Key Supplier TSMC Reportedly Postpone Deliveries Amidst Industry Demand Concerns - AS - Benzinga

ASML Holding Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of ASML Holding's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of ASML Holding's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of ASML Holding stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use ASML Holding NV price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of ASML Holding returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for ASML Holding.
Mean Return
Value At Risk
Potential Upside
Standard Deviation
   Return Density   
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of ASML Holding historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

ASML Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as ASML Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ASML Holding NV backward and forwards among themselves. ASML Holding's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase ASML Holding's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Last TransactionTypeSharesValue
Price T Rowe Associates Inc2023-06-30Common Shares5.9 M4.3 B
State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance Co2023-06-30Common Shares2.8 M2.1 B
Wcm Investment Management Llc2023-06-30Common SharesM1.5 B
Morgan Stanley2023-06-30Common Shares1.4 MB
Sands Capital Management Llc2023-06-30Common Shares1.4 MB
Massachusetts Financial Services Co2023-06-30Common Shares1.2 M842.9 M
Winslow Capital Management Llc2023-06-30Common Shares831.5 K602.7 M
Van Eck Associates Corp2023-06-30Common Shares792.9 K574.6 M
Royal Bank Of Canada2023-06-30Common Shares788 K571.1 M
Neuberger Berman Group Llc2023-06-30Common Shares777.1 K563.1 M
Northern Trust Corp2023-06-30Common Shares705.1 K511 M
Note, although ASML Holding's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

ASML Holding Cash Flow Accounts

201820192020202120222023 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(574 M)(766.6 M)(962 M)(900.7 M)(1.28 B)(1.32 B)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion422.7 M448.5 M490.8 M471 M583.6 M526 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents862.1 M411.2 M2.52 B902.4 M316.5 M405.34 M
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares(1.12 B)(382.8 M)(1.17 B)(8.51 B)(4.56 B)(4.68 B)
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities(2.8 M)(3.8 M)1.48 B(12.1 M)(20.6 M)(21.14 M)
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions(597.1 M)(1.33 B)(1.07 B)(1.37 B)(2.56 B)(2.63 B)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(1.72 B)(1.71 B)(753 M)(9.89 B)(7.14 B)(7.33 B)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(491.5 M)(1.16 B)(1.35 B)(72 M)(1.03 B)(1.11 B)
Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals118 M(271.6 M)(128.6 M)539.3 M290.4 M313.33 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations3.07 B3.28 B4.63 B10.85 B8.49 B9.16 B
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash5.2 M4.6 M(5.3 M)20.3 M(3.1 M)(3.18 M)
Share Based Compensation46.3 M74.6 M53.9 M117.5 M68.9 M70.76 M

ASML Holding Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ASML Holding or Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ASML Holding's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ASML stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Alpha over NYSE Composite
Beta against NYSE Composite1.36
Overall volatility
Information ratio -0.13

ASML Holding Volatility Alert

ASML Holding NV exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.61 and kurtosis of 0.73. However, we advise investors to further study ASML Holding NV technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ASML Holding's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ASML Holding's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

ASML Holding Implied Volatility

ASML Holding's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ASML Holding NV stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ASML Holding's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ASML Holding stock will not fluctuate a lot when ASML Holding's options are near their expiration.

ASML Holding Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing ASML Holding's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze ASML Holding's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between ASML Holding and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as ASML Holding or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of ASML Holding's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ASML Holding by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare ASML Holding to competition
FundamentalsASML HoldingPeer Average
Return On Equity0.68-0.31
Return On Asset0.14-0.14
Profit Margin0.27 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.32 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation12721.8 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding393.4 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Institutions19.83 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted1.55 M4.71 M
Price to Earning44.67 X28.72 X
Price to Book29.61 X9.51 X
Price to Sales12.43 X11.42 X
Revenue21.17 B9.43 B
Gross Profit10.7 B27.38 B
EBITDA8.21 B3.9 B
Net Income6.4 B570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents3.36 B2.7 B
Cash per Share8.49 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.26 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.44 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.26 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.60 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations9.43 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.86 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share20.02 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.70 X4.89 X
Target Price692.61
Number of Employees38.87 K18.84 K
Market Capitalization235.89 B19.03 B
Total Asset38.83 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings8.7 B9.33 B
Working Capital5.08 B1.48 B
Current Asset7.71 B9.34 B

About ASML Holding Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell ASML Holding NV? Buying financial instruments such as ASML Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2020 2021 2022 2023 (projected)
Current Assets15.93 B18.19 B23.06 B18.72 B
Total Assets27.27 B30.23 B36.3 B30.49 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having ASML Holding in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Absolute Returns ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Absolute Returns ETFs theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Absolute Returns ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out ASML Holding Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

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Is ASML Holding's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ASML Holding. If investors know ASML will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ASML Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
Dividend Share
Earnings Share
Revenue Per Share
Quarterly Revenue Growth
The market value of ASML Holding NV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ASML that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ASML Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ASML Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ASML Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ASML Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ASML Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ASML Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ASML Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.