ASML Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ASML Stock | USD 587.10 4.98 0.86% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding ASML Holding NV is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides ASML Holding buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ASML positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of ASML Holding's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Real Value 673.19 | Target Price 794.5 | Hype Value 588.93 | Market Value 587.1 | Naive Value 563.27 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell ASML Holding NV given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards ASML Holding. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for ASML Holding NV, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
ASML |
Execute ASML Holding Buy or Sell Advice
The ASML recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on ASML Holding NV. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in ASML Holding NV or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute ASML Holding's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
ASML Holding Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| ASML Holding NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ASML Holding NV is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| ASML Holding NV has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 10th of August 2023 ASML Holding paid $ 1.6281 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: ASML Stock Drops As Key Supplier TSMC Reportedly Postpone Deliveries Amidst Industry Demand Concerns - AS - Benzinga |
ASML Holding Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of ASML Holding's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of ASML Holding's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of ASML Holding stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use ASML Holding NV price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of ASML Holding returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for ASML Holding.
| Mean Return | -0.26 | Value At Risk | -4.24 | Potential Upside | 2.82 | Standard Deviation | 1.96 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of ASML Holding historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
ASML Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as ASML Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ASML Holding NV backward and forwards among themselves. ASML Holding's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase ASML Holding's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Last Transaction | Type | Shares | Value | Price T Rowe Associates Inc | 2023-06-30 | Common Shares | 5.9 M | 4.3 B | State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance Co | 2023-06-30 | Common Shares | 2.8 M | 2.1 B | Wcm Investment Management Llc | 2023-06-30 | Common Shares | 2 M | 1.5 B | Morgan Stanley | 2023-06-30 | Common Shares | 1.4 M | 1 B | Sands Capital Management Llc | 2023-06-30 | Common Shares | 1.4 M | 1 B | Massachusetts Financial Services Co | 2023-06-30 | Common Shares | 1.2 M | 842.9 M | Winslow Capital Management Llc | 2023-06-30 | Common Shares | 831.5 K | 602.7 M | Van Eck Associates Corp | 2023-06-30 | Common Shares | 792.9 K | 574.6 M | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2023-06-30 | Common Shares | 788 K | 571.1 M | Neuberger Berman Group Llc | 2023-06-30 | Common Shares | 777.1 K | 563.1 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-06-30 | Common Shares | 705.1 K | 511 M |
ASML Holding Cash Flow Accounts
| 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | ||
| Capital Expenditure | (574 M) | (766.6 M) | (962 M) | (900.7 M) | (1.28 B) | (1.32 B) | |
| Depreciation Amortization and Accretion | 422.7 M | 448.5 M | 490.8 M | 471 M | 583.6 M | 526 M | |
| Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents | 862.1 M | 411.2 M | 2.52 B | 902.4 M | 316.5 M | 405.34 M | |
| Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares | (1.12 B) | (382.8 M) | (1.17 B) | (8.51 B) | (4.56 B) | (4.68 B) | |
| Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities | (2.8 M) | (3.8 M) | 1.48 B | (12.1 M) | (20.6 M) | (21.14 M) | |
| Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions | (597.1 M) | (1.33 B) | (1.07 B) | (1.37 B) | (2.56 B) | (2.63 B) | |
| Net Cash Flow from Financing | (1.72 B) | (1.71 B) | (753 M) | (9.89 B) | (7.14 B) | (7.33 B) | |
| Net Cash Flow from Investing | (491.5 M) | (1.16 B) | (1.35 B) | (72 M) | (1.03 B) | (1.11 B) | |
| Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals | 118 M | (271.6 M) | (128.6 M) | 539.3 M | 290.4 M | 313.33 M | |
| Net Cash Flow from Operations | 3.07 B | 3.28 B | 4.63 B | 10.85 B | 8.49 B | 9.16 B | |
| Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash | 5.2 M | 4.6 M | (5.3 M) | 20.3 M | (3.1 M) | (3.18 M) | |
| Share Based Compensation | 46.3 M | 74.6 M | 53.9 M | 117.5 M | 68.9 M | 70.76 M |
ASML Holding Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ASML Holding or Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ASML Holding's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ASML stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
ASML Holding Volatility Alert
ASML Holding NV exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.61 and kurtosis of 0.73. However, we advise investors to further study ASML Holding NV technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ASML Holding's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ASML Holding's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.ASML Holding Implied Volatility
ASML Holding's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ASML Holding NV stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ASML Holding's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ASML Holding stock will not fluctuate a lot when ASML Holding's options are near their expiration.
ASML Holding Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing ASML Holding's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze ASML Holding's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between ASML Holding and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as ASML Holding or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of ASML Holding's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ASML Holding by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare ASML Holding to competition |
| Fundamentals | ASML Holding | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.68 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.14 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.27 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.32 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 12721.8 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 393.4 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned by Institutions | 19.83 % | 39.21 % |
| Number of Shares Shorted | 1.55 M | 4.71 M |
| Price to Earning | 44.67 X | 28.72 X |
| Price to Book | 29.61 X | 9.51 X |
| Price to Sales | 12.43 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 21.17 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 10.7 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 8.21 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 6.4 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash and Equivalents | 3.36 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash per Share | 8.49 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 4.26 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt to Equity | 0.44 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.26 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.60 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow from Operations | 9.43 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.86 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 20.02 X | 3.12 X |
| Price to Earnings To Growth | 1.70 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 692.61 | |
| Number of Employees | 38.87 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 235.89 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 38.83 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 8.7 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 5.08 B | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 7.71 B | 9.34 B |
About ASML Holding Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell ASML Holding NV? Buying financial instruments such as ASML Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Current Assets | 15.93 B | 18.19 B | 23.06 B | 18.72 B | Total Assets | 27.27 B | 30.23 B | 36.3 B | 30.49 B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having ASML Holding in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Absolute Returns ETFs Thematic Idea Now
Absolute Returns ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Absolute Returns ETFs theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Absolute Returns ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out ASML Holding Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Complementary Tools for ASML Stock analysis
When running ASML Holding's price analysis, check to measure ASML Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ASML Holding is operating at the current time. Most of ASML Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ASML Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ASML Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ASML Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is ASML Holding's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ASML Holding. If investors know ASML will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ASML Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.126 | Dividend Share 4.51 | Earnings Share 20.02 | Revenue Per Share 1.1771 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.271 |
The market value of ASML Holding NV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ASML that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ASML Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ASML Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ASML Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ASML Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ASML Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ASML Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ASML Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.