Alphatec Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ATEC Stock | USD 12.74 0.19 1.47% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding Alphatec Holdings is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Alphatec Holdings buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ATEC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alphatec Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Alphatec Holdings' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 14.43 | Target Price 23.05 | Hype Value 12.93 | Market Value 12.74 | Naive Value 12.32 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Alphatec Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Alphatec Holdings. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Alphatec Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Alphatec |
Execute Alphatec Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
The Alphatec recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alphatec Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alphatec Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alphatec Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Alphatec Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Alphatec Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 482.26 M. Net Loss for the year was (186.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 233.06 M. | |
| Alphatec Holdings currently holds about 107.47 M in cash with (78.48 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.03. | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: When Should You Buy Alphatec Holdings, Inc. |
Alphatec Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Alphatec Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alphatec Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alphatec Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alphatec Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alphatec Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alphatec Holdings.
| Mean Return | -0.24 | Value At Risk | -3.71 | Potential Upside | 3.21 | Standard Deviation | 2.37 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alphatec Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Alphatec Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Alphatec Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alphatec Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Alphatec Holdings' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Alphatec Holdings' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Fred Alger Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 2.2 M | Slate Path Capital Lp | 2023-12-31 | 2.2 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 2.1 M | Next Century Growth Investors Llc | 2023-12-31 | 2 M | Hpm Partners Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.9 M | Point72 Asset Management, L.p. | 2023-09-30 | 1.6 M | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Intrinsic Edge Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Walleye Trading Advisors, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 7.7 M | First Light Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 6 M |
Alphatec Holdings Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (14.7M) | (18.2M) | (27.7M) | (20.7M) | (45.6M) | (43.3M) | |
| Change In Cash | 18.1M | 60.7M | 79.5M | (102.6M) | 136.3M | 143.1M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (46.2M) | (70.3M) | (142.0M) | (133.4M) | (165.5M) | (157.2M) | |
| Depreciation | 8.5M | 11.6M | 30.2M | 43.9M | 59.7M | 62.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 13.2M | 19.2M | 4.6M | 15.6M | 29.2M | 18.9M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 13.0M | 23.9M | 68.5M | 58.3M | 87.0M | 91.3M | |
| Net Income | (57.0M) | (79.0M) | (144.3M) | (152.1M) | (186.6M) | (177.3M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 47.1M | 107.8M | 187.2M | 84.7M | 221.0M | 232.0M | |
| Investments | (13.0M) | (23.9M) | (3M) | (58.3M) | (128.6M) | (122.2M) | |
| Change Receivables | (396K) | (1.3M) | (7.5M) | (10.1M) | (9.1M) | (8.7M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 8.4M | 19.8M | 306.2M | 35M | 40.3M | 32.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 21.8M | 31.5M | 59.9M | 54.1M | 62.2M | 33.7M |
Alphatec Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alphatec Holdings or Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alphatec Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alphatec stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.39 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Alphatec Holdings Volatility Alert
Alphatec Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.58 and kurtosis of 1.53. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alphatec Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alphatec Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Alphatec Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Alphatec Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alphatec Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alphatec Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alphatec Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alphatec Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alphatec Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Alphatec Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Alphatec Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -4.12 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.14 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.39) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.25) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.11 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 137.98 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 34.75 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 67.42 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 12.36 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (2.14) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 23.49 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.81 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 482.26 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 233.06 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (88.59 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (186.64 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 107.47 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.03 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 541.68 M | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 2.19 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.56 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (78.48 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.68 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.54) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 23.41 | |
| Number Of Employees | 839 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.47 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.78 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 805.21 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (1.12 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 293.52 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 101.5 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 125.04 M | 7.9 B |
Note: Disposition of 35000 shares by James Tullis of Alphatec Holdings at 14.74 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Alphatec Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alphatec . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Alphatec Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Alphatec Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Alphatec Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Assets | 3.2M | 4.9M | 1.0 | 0.95 | Cash | 187.2M | 84.7M | 221.0M | 232.0M |
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In addition to having Alphatec Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Alphatec Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Alphatec Stock refer to our How to Trade Alphatec Stock guide.Note that the Alphatec Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Alphatec Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Complementary Tools for Alphatec Stock analysis
When running Alphatec Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Alphatec Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alphatec Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Alphatec Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alphatec Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alphatec Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alphatec Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Alphatec Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alphatec Holdings. If investors know Alphatec will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alphatec Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.54) | Revenue Per Share 3.978 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.302 | Return On Assets (0.14) | Return On Equity (4.12) |
The market value of Alphatec Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alphatec that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alphatec Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alphatec Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alphatec Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alphatec Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alphatec Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alphatec Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alphatec Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.