Allegheny Technologies Incorporated Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ATI Stock | USD 49.22 0.12 0.24% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Allegheny Technologies Incorporated is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Allegheny Technologies buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ATI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Allegheny Technologies' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Allegheny Technologies' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 48.88 | Target Price 50.5 | Hype Value 49.14 | Market Value 49.22 | Naive Value 46.31 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Allegheny Technologies Incorporated given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Allegheny Technologies. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Allegheny Technologies Incorporated, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Allegheny |
Execute Allegheny Technologies Buy or Sell Advice
The Allegheny recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Allegheny Technologies Incorporated. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Allegheny Technologies Incorporated or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Allegheny Technologies' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Allegheny Technologies Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Acquisition by Elliot Davis of 80254 shares of Allegheny Technologies subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Allegheny Technologies Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Allegheny Technologies' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Allegheny Technologies' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Allegheny Technologies daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Allegheny Technologies Incorporated price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Allegheny Technologies returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Allegheny Technologies.
| Mean Return | 0.26 | Value At Risk | -3.23 | Potential Upside | 3.69 | Standard Deviation | 2.14 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Allegheny Technologies historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Allegheny Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Allegheny Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Allegheny Technologies Incorporated backward and forwards among themselves. Allegheny Technologies' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Allegheny Technologies' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 2.3 M | Palestra Capital Management Llc | 2023-09-30 | 2.2 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2.1 M | Capital World Investors | 2023-12-31 | 2 M | Loomis, Sayles & Company Lp | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Driehaus Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.5 M | Channing Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.5 M | Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.5 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 20.2 M | Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 3 | 2023-12-31 | 15.2 M |
Allegheny Technologies Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 25.4M | 158.2M | (53.9M) | (190.8M) | (51.8M) | (49.2M) | |
| Change In Cash | 108.8M | 155.1M | 41.8M | (103.7M) | 159.9M | 167.9M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 61.9M | 30.4M | (136.5M) | 94M | (114.8M) | (109.1M) | |
| Depreciation | 151.1M | 143.3M | 143.9M | 142.9M | 146.1M | 143.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (80.2M) | 1.0B | 53.6M | 140.1M | 15.6M | 14.8M | |
| Dividends Paid | 10M | 14M | 7M | 34M | 16M | 15.2M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 168.2M | 136.5M | 152.6M | 130.9M | 200.7M | 221.0M | |
| Net Income | 270.1M | (1.6B) | (16.2M) | 146.5M | 410.8M | 431.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 490.8M | 645.9M | 687.7M | 584M | 743.9M | 385.9M | |
| Change To Netincome | (108.1M) | 1.4B | 71.8M | 166M | 190.9M | 132.8M | |
| Change Receivables | (52.1M) | 208.4M | (126M) | (128.5M) | (115.7M) | (109.9M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 350M | 151.3M | 181.8M | (28.7M) | (25.8M) | (24.5M) | |
| Investments | 81.7M | (128.7M) | (77.3M) | (126.7M) | (168.9M) | (177.3M) |
Allegheny Technologies Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Allegheny Technologies or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Allegheny Technologies' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Allegheny stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Allegheny Technologies Volatility Alert
Allegheny Technologies Incorporated currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.08 and Jensen Alpha of 0.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Allegheny Technologies' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Allegheny Technologies' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Allegheny Technologies Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Allegheny Technologies' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Allegheny Technologies' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Allegheny Technologies and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Allegheny Technologies or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Allegheny Technologies' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Allegheny Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Allegheny Technologies to competition |
| Fundamentals | Allegheny Technologies | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.32 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0537 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.1 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.09 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 7.97 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 124.44 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.10 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 98.90 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 6.38 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 153.89 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 4.68 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.54 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 7.54 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 714.2 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 466.4 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 410.8 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 584 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.55 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.18 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.84 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.88 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 10.82 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 85.9 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.02 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.81 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.20 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 57.11 | |
| Number Of Employees | 7.3 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.23 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 6.11 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.99 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (70.1 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.76 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 9627 shares by Elliot Davis of Allegheny Technologies at .0747 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Allegheny Technologies Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Allegheny . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Allegheny Technologies Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Allegheny Technologies Incorporated? Buying financial instruments such as Allegheny Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 1.8B | 1.7B | 2.2B | 1.2B | Total Assets | 4.3B | 4.4B | 5.0B | 4.6B |
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In addition to having Allegheny Technologies in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Allegheny Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Complementary Tools for Allegheny Stock analysis
When running Allegheny Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Allegheny Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Allegheny Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Allegheny Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Allegheny Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Allegheny Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Allegheny Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Allegheny Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Allegheny Technologies. If investors know Allegheny will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Allegheny Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.32) | Earnings Share 2.81 | Revenue Per Share 32.582 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.053 | Return On Assets 0.0537 |
The market value of Allegheny Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Allegheny that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Allegheny Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Allegheny Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Allegheny Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Allegheny Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Allegheny Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Allegheny Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Allegheny Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.