Atlanticus Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

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ATLC -- USA Stock  

USD 9.95  0.54  5.15%

Given the investment horizon of 30 days, and your above-average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Atlanticus Holdings is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Atlanticus Holdings buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ATLC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Atlanticus Holdings available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from ATLC buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Atlanticus Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

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Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Atlanticus HoldingsBuy Atlanticus Holdings
Strong Sell

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Not Available

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
For the selected time horizon Atlanticus Holdings has a mean deviation of 5.29, semi deviation of 6.56, standard deviation of 6.72, variance of 45.13, downside variance of 44.7 and semi variance of 43.05
We provide buy or sell advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Atlanticus Holdings. Our dynamic recommendation engine makes use of a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Atlanticus Holdings is not overpriced, please confirm all Atlanticus Holdings fundamentals, including its gross profit, debt to equity, and the relationship between the price to book and cash and equivalents . Given that Atlanticus Holdings has a shares owned by institutions of 15.52 %, we suggest you to validate Atlanticus Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Atlanticus Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Atlanticus Holdings has very high historical volatility over the last 30 days
Atlanticus Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Atlanticus Holdings current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Atlanticus analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Atlanticus analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Median Price3.00
Target Mean Price3.00
Recommendation Mean4.00
Target High Price3.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions1
Target Low Price3.00
The consensus estimates and target price estimation is comprised of individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Atlanticus Holdings Returns Distribution Density

The chart of the probability distribution of Atlanticus Holdings stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Atlanticus Holdings' stock's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The distribution of Atlanticus Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Atlanticus Holdings stock.
Mean Return0.25Value At Risk-10.87
Potential Upside10.77Standard Deviation6.72
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Atlanticus Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Dimensional Fund Advisors LpCommon Shares745 K7.4 M
Blackrock IncCommon Shares564 K5.6 M
Zazove Associates LlcDebt7.6 M5.3 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares375 K3.7 M
Citadel Advisors LlcCommon Shares254.7 K2.5 M
Renaissance Technologies LlcCommon Shares168.6 K1.7 M
Cnh Partners LlcCommon Shares103.5 KM
Bridgeway Capital Management IncCommon Shares91 K903 K
Susquehanna International Group LlpCall Options12.8 K127 K

Atlanticus Holdings Cash Flow Accounts

2014201520162017201820192020 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(4.07 M)(884 K)(349 K)(395 K)(1.38 M)(250 K)(269.74 K)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion68.08 M40.56 M7.48 M1.02 M987 K7.69 M11.23 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(10.95 M)11.11 M25.02 M(21.98 M)71.1 M34.64 M37.37 M
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares(257 K)(259 K)(949 K)(389 K)(673 K)(1.3 M)(1.4 M)
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities(18 M)(3.31 M)64.4 M85.02 M162.42 M281.02 M303.21 M
Net Cash Flow from Financing(18.4 M)(3.57 M)63.46 M84.64 M161.75 M368.72 M397.83 M
Net Cash Flow from Investing29.2 M14.54 M(75.84 M)(80.32 M)(134.52 M)(433.69 M)(445.1 M)
Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals37.16 M13.25 M(79.36 M)(79.92 M)(133.13 M)(433.44 M)(444.85 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations(20.73 M)864 K39.02 M(26.47 M)42.86 M99.96 M83.96 M
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash(1.01 M)(721 K)(1.61 M)165 K1.01 M(354 K)(363.32 K)

Atlanticus Holdings Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Atlanticus Holdings or Banking sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Atlanticus Holdings stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Atlanticus stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.21
β
Beta against DOW=0.21
σ
Overall volatility
=6.64
Ir
Information ratio =0.0118

Atlanticus Holdings Volatility Alert

Atlanticus Holdings is displaying above-average volatility of 6.72 over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Atlanticus Holdings independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Atlanticus Holdings volatility.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Atlanticus Holdings to competition

Atlanticus Holdings Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAtlanticus HoldingsPeer Average
Return On Equity41.17 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset3.22 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin43.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin35.46 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation904.6 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding15.87 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders57.99 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions15.52 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted794.42 K4.71 M
Price to Earning7.82 X28.72 X
Price to Book46.26 X9.51 X
Price to Sales2.84 X11.42 X
Revenue60.78 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(14.32 M)27.38 B
EBITDA(17.4 M)3.9 B
Net Income22.24 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents177.31 M2.7 B
Cash per Share12.31 X5.01 X
Total Debt786.82 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity5.54 %48.70 %
Current Ratio18.76 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.23 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations104.92 M971.22 M
Short Ratio36.32 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.39 X3.12 X
Number of Employees31418.84 K
Beta0.84-0.15
Market Capitalization172.47 M19.03 B
Total Asset280.73 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(228.51 M)9.33 B
   Sale by Deal Hudson of 7000 shares of Atlanticus Holdings [view details]

Atlanticus Holdings Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Atlanticus . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution2329.781161
Daily Balance Of Power(0.51)
Rate Of Daily Change0.9485
Day Median Price9.98
Day Typical Price9.97
Market Facilitation Index0.0
Price Action Indicator(0.30)

About Atlanticus Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Atlanticus Holdings? Buying stocks such as Atlanticus Holdings isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily bases. Although Atlanticus Holdings investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply. Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2017 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
Cash and Equivalents70.91 M124 K104 K106.74 K
Total Assets425.61 M582.61 M936.27 M1.01 B

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Please continue to Atlanticus Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool. Please also try Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Macroaxis is not a registered investment advisor or broker/dealer. All investments, including stocks, funds, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies, are speculative and involve substantial risk of loss. We encourage our investors to invest carefully. Much of our information is derived directly from data published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies which we believe are reliable, but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements or recommendations. Also, note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments carry risk, and all investment decisions of an individual remain the responsibility of that individual. There is no guarantee that systems, indicators, or signals will result in profits or that they will not result in losses. All investors are advised to fully understand all risks associated with any investing they choose to do. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not indicative of future results. We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown because hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. For more information please visit our terms and condition page