Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AUPH Stock | USD 5.09 0.04 0.79% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Aurinia Pharmaceuticals is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Aurinia Pharmaceuticals buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AUPH positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 7.5 | Target Price 14 | Hype Value 5.05 | Market Value 5.09 | Naive Value 5.22 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Aurinia Pharmaceuticals given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Aurinia Pharmaceuticals. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Aurinia Pharmaceuticals, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Aurinia |
Execute Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Buy or Sell Advice
The Aurinia recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aurinia Pharmaceuticals. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aurinia Pharmaceuticals or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Aurinia Pharmaceuticals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aurinia Pharmaceuticals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 175.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (78.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 83.38 M. | |
| Aurinia Pharmaceuticals currently holds about 391.51 M in cash with (33.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.76. | |
| Aurinia Pharmaceuticals has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Reports Q2 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates - Yahoo Movies UK |
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aurinia Pharmaceuticals price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aurinia Pharmaceuticals.
| Mean Return | -0.59 | Value At Risk | -4.44 | Potential Upside | 4.53 | Standard Deviation | 3.90 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Aurinia Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Aurinia Pharmaceuticals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aurinia Pharmaceuticals backward and forwards among themselves. Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | International Biotechnology Trust Plc | 2023-09-30 | 1 M | Schroder Investment Management Group | 2023-12-31 | 1 M | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2023-12-31 | 1 M | Balyasny Asset Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 887 K | Tang Capital Management Llc | 2023-09-30 | 750 K | Group One Trading, Lp | 2023-12-31 | 678.8 K | Woodline Partners Lp | 2023-12-31 | 645.2 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2023-09-30 | 637.9 K | Jane Street Group, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 582.5 K | Armistice Capital, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 9.5 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 8.9 M |
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 188.1M | (33.7M) | (40.5M) | (137.7M) | (45.3M) | (43.0M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (63.6M) | (77.2M) | (159.2M) | (79.8M) | (34.2M) | (35.9M) | |
| Depreciation | 1.5M | 1.4M | 2.8M | 2.7M | 11.6M | 12.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 8.2M | 9.5M | 10.9M | 462K | 74.9M | 78.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 104K | 7.3M | 1.5M | 292K | 718K | 1.0M | |
| Net Income | (123.8M) | (102.7M) | (181.0M) | (108.2M) | (78.0M) | (74.1M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 306.0M | 272.4M | 231.9M | 94.2M | 48.9M | 63.8M | |
| Investments | 7.8M | (150.8M) | (84.5M) | (60.6M) | (3.5M) | (3.6M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 21.6M | 20.1M | 42.1M | 32.8M | 37.7M | 39.6M |
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aurinia Pharmaceuticals or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aurinia stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.65 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Volatility Alert
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -3.4 and kurtosis of 21.26. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aurinia Pharmaceuticals and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aurinia Pharmaceuticals or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aurinia Pharmaceuticals by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Aurinia Pharmaceuticals to competition |
| Fundamentals | Aurinia Pharmaceuticals | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.2 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.11 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.44) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.53) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 477.56 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 144.62 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 7.44 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 38.53 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 12.24 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (4.83) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.95 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.20 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 175.51 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 83.38 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (71.67 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (78.02 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 391.51 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.76 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 97.61 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.02 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 13.09 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.63 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (33.46 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 7.53 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.54) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 11.29 | |
| Number Of Employees | 300 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.38 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 730.32 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 548.06 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (942.32 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 347.61 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 16.53 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Knappertz Volker of 256892 shares of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aurinia . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Aurinia Pharmaceuticals? Buying financial instruments such as Aurinia Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 8.7M | 8.1M | 97.6M | 102.5M | Total Assets | 543.4M | 470.9M | 548.1M | 575.5M |
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In addition to having Aurinia Pharmaceuticals in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Funds or Etfs that invest in stocks of small to mid-sized companies with above-average risk and growth rate that usually reinvest their earnings back into business. The Small Growth Funds theme has 39 constituents at this time.
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Check out Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Aurinia Stock please use our How to Invest in Aurinia Pharmaceuticals guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
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When running Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' price analysis, check to measure Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aurinia Pharmaceuticals is operating at the current time. Most of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals. If investors know Aurinia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aurinia Pharmaceuticals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.54) | Revenue Per Share 1.225 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.586 | Return On Assets (0.11) | Return On Equity (0.20) |
The market value of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aurinia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aurinia Pharmaceuticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.