Aurora Innovation Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AUR Stock | USD 2.75 0.05 1.79% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Aurora Innovation is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Aurora Innovation buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AUR positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Aurora Innovation's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Aurora Innovation's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 3.49 | Target Price 4.51 | Hype Value 2.73 | Market Value 2.75 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Aurora Innovation given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Aurora Innovation. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Aurora Innovation, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Aurora |
Execute Aurora Innovation Buy or Sell Advice
The Aurora recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aurora Innovation. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aurora Innovation or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aurora Innovation's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Unstable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Aurora Innovation Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Aurora Innovation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aurora Innovation has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (796 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 68 M. | |
| Aurora Innovation has about 1.38 B in cash with (598 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.2. | |
| Aurora Innovation has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Aurora Innovation Trading Down 3 percent - MarketBeat |
Aurora Innovation Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Aurora Innovation's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aurora Innovation's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aurora Innovation daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aurora Innovation price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aurora Innovation returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aurora Innovation.
| Mean Return | -0.07 | Value At Risk | -6.15 | Potential Upside | 6.42 | Standard Deviation | 4.10 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aurora Innovation historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Aurora Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Aurora Innovation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aurora Innovation backward and forwards among themselves. Aurora Innovation's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Aurora Innovation's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Greylock 15 Gp Llc | 2023-12-31 | 14.1 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 12.8 M | State Street Corporation | 2023-12-31 | 11.9 M | Allen Operations Llc | 2023-12-31 | 10.4 M | Primecap Management Company | 2023-12-31 | 10.2 M | Sc Us (ttgp), Ltd. | 2023-12-31 | 8.8 M | Canada Pension Plan Investment Board | 2023-12-31 | 8.4 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 7.6 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5.2 M | T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc. | 2023-12-31 | 115.4 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 84.1 M |
Aurora Innovation Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aurora Innovation or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aurora Innovation's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aurora stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Aurora Innovation Volatility Alert
Aurora Innovation exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.03 and kurtosis of -0.68. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aurora Innovation's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aurora Innovation's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Aurora Innovation Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Aurora Innovation's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aurora Innovation's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aurora Innovation and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aurora Innovation or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aurora Innovation's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aurora Innovation by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Aurora Innovation to competition |
| Fundamentals | Aurora Innovation | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.42 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.25 | -0.14 |
| Current Valuation | 3.22 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.18 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 32.63 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 59.30 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 55.36 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 2.40 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1,900 X | 11.42 X |
| Gross Profit | 68 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (787 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (796 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.38 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.20 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 122 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.06 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 21.03 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 1.30 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (598 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 7.01 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.60) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 3.77 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.8 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.92 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.34 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.23 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (3.61 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.11 B | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 2.23 B |
Note: Acquisition by David Maday of 285715 shares of Aurora Innovation at 2.2 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Aurora Innovation Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aurora . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 162887.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.78 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.77 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.05) |
About Aurora Innovation Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Aurora Innovation? Buying financial instruments such as Aurora Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Current Liabilities | 2.5M | 70M | 96M | 100.8M | Total Assets | 3.7B | 2.0B | 2.2B | 2.0B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Aurora Innovation in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Coal Thematic Idea Now
Coal
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Coal theme has 12 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Coal Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Aurora Innovation Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Aurora Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aurora Innovation guide.You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
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When running Aurora Innovation's price analysis, check to measure Aurora Innovation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aurora Innovation is operating at the current time. Most of Aurora Innovation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aurora Innovation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aurora Innovation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aurora Innovation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Aurora Innovation's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aurora Innovation. If investors know Aurora will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aurora Innovation listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.60) | Revenue Per Share 0.002 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.91) | Return On Assets (0.25) | Return On Equity (0.42) |
The market value of Aurora Innovation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aurora that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aurora Innovation's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aurora Innovation's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aurora Innovation's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aurora Innovation's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aurora Innovation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aurora Innovation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aurora Innovation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.