Avianca Holdings Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AVH -- USA Stock  

USD 3.65  0.45  14.06%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Avianca Holdings S A is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Avianca Holdings buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AVH positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Avianca Holdings S available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from AVH buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Avianca Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Sell Avianca HoldingsBuy Avianca Holdings
Hold

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
For the selected time horizon Avianca Holdings S A has a risk adjusted performance of (0.10), jensen alpha of (0.35), total risk alpha of (0.21), sortino ratio of 0.0 and treynor ratio of (0.45)
We provide buy or sell advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Avianca Holdings S. Our dynamic recommendation engine makes use of multi - dimensional algorithm to analyze the company potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Avianca Holdings is not overpriced, please confirm all Avianca Holdings S fundamentals including its Number of Shares Shorted, Cash and Equivalents, Price to Earnings To Growth, as well as the relationship between Revenue and Book Value Per Share . Given that Avianca Holdings S has Price to Earning of 21.07X, we suggest you validate Avianca Holdings S A market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Avianca Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Avianca Holdings S generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Avianca Holdings S has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company has 5.11B in debt. Avianca Holdings S has Current Ratio of 0.23 suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due.
The entity reported last year revenue of 4.79B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (467.38M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.36B.

Avianca Holdings current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price4.00
Target Mean Price4.80
Recommendation Mean2.80
Target High Price7.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions5
Target Low Price3.80

Avianca Holdings Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.38Value At Risk4.06
Potential Upside4.85Standard Deviation3.18
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Donald Smith Co IncCommon Shares2.9 M11.2 M
Renaissance Technologies LlcCommon Shares1.6 M6.3 M
Ashmore Group PlcCommon Shares1.2 M4.7 M
Rwc Asset Advisors Us LlcCommon Shares371.6 K1.4 M
Millennium Management LlcCommon Shares313 K1.2 M
Thomas J Herzfeld Advisors IncCommon Shares300.9 K1.2 M
Citadel Advisors LlcCommon Shares254.2 K986 K
Simplex Trading LlcCall Options98.038 K
Simplex Trading LlcPut Options25.09 K

Avianca Holdings Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.35
β
Beta against DOW=0.88
σ
Overall volatility
=3.22
Ir
Information ratio =0.11

Avianca Holdings Volatility Alert

Avianca Holdings S A exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.07 and kurtosis of 0.67. However, we advise investors to further study Avianca Holdings S A technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Avianca Holdings to competition

Avianca Holdings Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAvianca HoldingsPeer Average
Return On Equity(59.43)% (0.31)%
Return On Asset0.71% (0.14)%
Profit Margin(9.76)% (1.27)%
Operating Margin1.75% (5.51)%
Current Valuation5.08B16.62B
Shares Outstanding124.62M571.82M
Shares Owned by Institutions22.50% 39.21%
Number of Shares Shorted356.21K4.71M
Price to Earning21.07X28.72X
Price to Book0.69X9.51X
Price to Sales0.09X11.42X
Revenue4.79B9.43B
Gross Profit1.36B27.38B
EBITDA578.09M3.9B
Net Income(467.38M)570.98M
Cash and Equivalents317.97M2.7B
Cash per Share2.55X5.01X
Total Debt5.11B5.32B
Current Ratio0.23X2.16X
Book Value Per Share5.28X1.93K
Cash Flow from Operations670.56M971.22M
Short Ratio2.83X4.00X
Earnings Per Share(3.75)X3.12X
Price to Earnings To Growth(1.48)X4.89X
Number of Employees21.24K18.84K
Beta0.89-0.15
Market Capitalization454.87M19.03B
Total Asset6.36B29.47B
Retained Earnings267.86M9.33B
Working Capital(530.29M)1.48B
Current Asset1.04B9.34B
Current Liabilities1.57B7.9B
Last Dividend Paid0.2
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