Avianca Holdings Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AVH -- USA Stock  

Earning Report: November 13, 2019  

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Avianca Holdings S A is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Avianca Holdings buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AVH positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Avianca Holdings S available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from AVH buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Avianca Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Sell Avianca HoldingsBuy Avianca Holdings
Hold

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
For the selected time horizon Avianca Holdings S A has a risk adjusted performance of 0.0389, jensen alpha of 0.1345, total risk alpha of 0.2388, sortino ratio of 0.0453 and treynor ratio of 0.1898
We provide buy or sell advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Avianca Holdings S. Our dynamic recommendation engine makes use of multi - dimensional algorithm to analyze the company potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Avianca Holdings is not overpriced, please confirm all Avianca Holdings S fundamentals including its Number of Shares Shorted, Cash and Equivalents, Earnings Per Share, as well as the relationship between Revenue and Current Ratio . Given that Avianca Holdings S has Price to Earning of 21.07 , we suggest you validate Avianca Holdings S A market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Avianca Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Avianca Holdings S has very high historical volatility over the last 30 days
The company has 5.11 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 4.84 . This implies that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Avianca Holdings S has Current Ratio of 0.23 suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due.
The entity reported last year revenue of 4.79 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (467.38 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.36 B.
Latest headline from mesaweekly.com: EPS for Two Harbors Investment Corp. Expected At 0.37 Avianca Holdings S.A. American Depositary Shares Shorts Up By 3.73 percent - MS Wkly

Avianca Holdings current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price3.38
Target Mean Price4.16
Recommendation Mean3.10
Target High Price7.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions6
Target Low Price2.80

Avianca Holdings Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.13Value At Risk4.52
Potential Upside7.17Standard Deviation3.92
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Avianca Holdings Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.13
β
Beta against DOW=0.61
σ
Overall volatility
=3.92
Ir
Information ratio =0.0374

Avianca Holdings Volatility Alert

Avianca Holdings S A shows above average downside volatility of 3.24 for selected time horizon. We advise investors to further inspect Avianca Holdings S A to make sure all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with estimation about Avianca Holdings future alpha.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Avianca Holdings to competition

Avianca Holdings Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAvianca HoldingsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.11 (0.31) 
Return On Asset0.0002 (0.14) 
Profit Margin0.0002 (1.27) 
Operating Margin1.75 (5.51) 
Current Valuation5 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding124.62 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Institutions22.50 39.21 
Number of Shares Shorted1.23 M4.71 M
Price to Earning21.07 28.72 
Price to Book0.56 9.51 
Price to Sales0.08 11.42 
Revenue4.79 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.36 B27.38 B
EBITDA463.69 M3.9 B
Net Income(467.38 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents317.97 M2.7 B
Cash per Share2.55 5.01 
Total Debt5.11 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity4.84 48.70 
Current Ratio0.23 2.16 
Book Value Per Share9.19 1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations670.56 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.13 4.00 
Earnings Per Share(3.75) 3.12 
Price to Earnings To Growth(0.66) 4.89 
Number of Employees21.86 K18.84 K
Beta1.12-0.15
Market Capitalization368.88 M19.03 B
Total Asset6.36 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings267.86 M9.33 B
Working Capital(530.29 M)1.48 B
Current Asset1.04 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities1.57 B7.9 B
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