Avantor Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AVTR Stock  USD 24.41  0.31  1.29%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Avantor is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Avantor buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Avantor positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Avantor's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Avantor's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
21.78
Target Price
24.05
Hype Value
24.06
Market Value
24.41
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Avantor given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Avantor. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Avantor, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Avantor Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Avantor Stock, please use our How to Invest in Avantor guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Avantor and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Avantor. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Avantor Buy or Sell Advice

The Avantor recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Avantor. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Avantor or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Avantor's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AvantorBuy Avantor
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Avantor has a Mean Deviation of 1.18, Semi Deviation of 1.11, Standard Deviation of 1.82, Variance of 3.31, Downside Variance of 1.72 and Semi Variance of 1.23
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Avantor. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Avantor is not overpriced, please confirm all Avantor fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, total debt, total asset, as well as the relationship between the revenue and earnings per share . Given that Avantor has a price to earning of 72.98 X, we suggest you to validate Avantor market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Avantor Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Disposition of 6762 shares by Randy Stone of Avantor at 24.6 subject to Rule 16b-3

Avantor Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Avantor's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Avantor's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Avantor daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Avantor price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Avantor returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Avantor.
Mean Return
0.18
Value At Risk
-1.86
Potential Upside
2.48
Standard Deviation
1.82
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Avantor historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Avantor Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Avantor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Avantor backward and forwards among themselves. Avantor's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Avantor's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Amvescap Plc.2023-12-31
10.9 M
Millennium Management Llc2023-12-31
10.2 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
9.9 M
Artemis Investment Management Llp2023-12-31
7.9 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2023-12-31
7.3 M
Parnassus Investments Llc2023-12-31
6.9 M
Pictet Asset Manangement Sa2023-12-31
6.9 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
6.9 M
Bessemer Group Inc2023-12-31
6.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
65.3 M
Dodge & Cox2023-12-31
61.2 M
Note, although Avantor's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Avantor Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(71.1M)(69.7M)(129.8M)(112.5M)30.3M31.8M
Change In Cash1.6M99.9M37.9M69.8M(109.2M)(103.7M)
Net Borrowings(1.9B)(738.5M)2.3B(620.4M)(558.4M)(530.4M)
Depreciation398.9M395.4M379.2M405.5M402.3M318.5M
Capital Expenditures51.6M61.6M111.1M133.4M146.4M75.5M
Net Income37.8M116.6M572.6M686.5M321.1M176.4M
End Period Cash Flow189.3M289.2M327.1M396.9M287.7M244.4M
Change To Netincome90.5M305.4M100M(7.8M)(9.0M)(8.5M)
Investments(42.1M)(59.1M)(4.1B)(109.6M)(126.8M)(133.1M)
Free Cash Flow302.4M868.2M842.5M710.2M723.6M475.8M
Other Non Cash Items142.7M441.7M83.3M96.2M261.9M170.8M

Avantor Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Avantor or Life Sciences Tools & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Avantor's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Avantor stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.19
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.28
σ
Overall volatility
1.85
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Avantor Volatility Alert

Avantor has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.47 and kurtosis of 13.49. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Avantor's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Avantor's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Avantor Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Avantor's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Avantor's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Avantor and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Avantor or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Avantor's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Avantor by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Avantor to competition
FundamentalsAvantorPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0635-0.31
Return On Asset0.0425-0.14
Profit Margin0.05 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.13 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation21.73 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding679.17 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.24 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions97.73 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted29.29 M4.71 M
Price To Earning72.98 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.23 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.43 X11.42 X
Revenue6.97 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.6 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.26 B3.9 B
Net Income321.1 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents242.6 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.36 X5.01 X
Total Debt5.54 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.46 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.64 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.76 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations870 M971.22 M
Short Ratio7.13 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.47 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.97 X4.89 X
Target Price27.09
Number Of Employees14.5 K18.84 K
Beta1.37-0.15
Market Capitalization16.37 B19.03 B
Total Asset12.97 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.49 B9.33 B
Working Capital904.6 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 467 shares by Christophe Couturier of Avantor at 24.35 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Avantor Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Avantor . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Avantor Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Avantor? Buying financial instruments such as Avantor Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Cash301.7M372.9M262.9M253.5M
Accounts Payable755.1M758.2M625.9M622.3M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Avantor in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

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Almost Nothing
Almost Nothing Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Almost Nothing theme has 22 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Almost Nothing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Avantor is a strong investment it is important to analyze Avantor's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Avantor's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Avantor Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Avantor Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Avantor Stock, please use our How to Invest in Avantor guide.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

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Is Avantor's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Avantor. If investors know Avantor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Avantor listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.33)
Earnings Share
0.47
Revenue Per Share
10.313
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Return On Assets
0.0425
The market value of Avantor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Avantor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Avantor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Avantor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Avantor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Avantor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Avantor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Avantor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Avantor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.