Aspen Technology Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Aspen Technology Inc buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Aspen Technology positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Aspen Technology Inc available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Aspen Technology buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Aspen Technology Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Investment Horizon

  

Risk Tolerance

  
Symbol
Execute Advice
Aspen Technology Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 67.29  0.55  0.82%

Given the investment horizon of 30 days, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Aspen Technology Inc is 'Buy'.
For the selected time horizon Aspen Technology Inc has a risk adjusted performance of 0.0505, jensen alpha of 0.0795, total risk alpha of 0.0303, sortino ratio of 0.068 and treynor ratio of 0.1164
Macroaxis provides unbiased buy, hold, or sell recommendation on Aspen Technology Inc that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Aspen Technology Inc. Our buy or sell advice engine determines the organization potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Aspen Technology is not overpriced, please confirm all Aspen Technology Inc fundamentals including its Price to Book, Current Ratio, Retained Earnings, as well as the relationship between Net Income and Price to Earnings To Growth . Given that Aspen Technology Inc has Number of Shares Shorted of 3.57 M, we suggest you validate Aspen Technology Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.12Value At Risk1.71
Potential Upside1.61Standard Deviation1.01
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Aspen Technology Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.079492
βBeta against DOW=0.91
σ
Overall volatility
=1.02
 IrInformation ratio =0.076

Aspen Technology Volatility Alert

Aspen Technology Inc has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.41 and kurtosis of 0.23. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Aspen Technology Inc to ensure market all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future risk-adjusted return.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aspen Technology to competition
FundamentalsAspen TechnologyPeer Average
Return On Equity4.8 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset40.02 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin33.59 % (5.5) %
Operating Margin44.26 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation4.96 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding72.54 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders0.27 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions104 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted3.57 M3.24 M
Price to Earning31.89 times40.69 times
Price to Book93.21 times14.44 times
Price to Sales10.11 times17.81 times
Revenue482.94 M9.85 B
Gross Profit435.48 M21.75 B
EBITDA218.97 M1.41 B
Net Income162.2 M517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents101.95 M3.89 B
Cash per Share1.39 times5.17 times
Total Debt140 M7.36 B
Debt to Equity0.05 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio0.31 times3.3 times
Book Value Per Share(3.55) times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations182.39 M1.25 B
Short Ratio7.81 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share2.11 times2.3 times
Price to Earnings To Growth4.52 times1.22 times
Number of Employees1.4 K10.67 K
Beta1.370.34
Market Capitalization4.88 B29.78 B
Total Asset548.34 M126.86 B
Retained Earnings(5.68 M)38.24 B
Working Capital76.12 M3.58 B
Current Asset240.14 M36.8 B
SellBuy
Buy

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
   Exercise or conversion by Mark Sullivan of 2344 shares of Aspen Technology subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.0505
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.1264
Mean Deviation0.787
Semi Deviation1.0
Downside Deviation1.13
Coefficient Of Variation874.06
Standard Deviation1.01
Variance1.02
Information Ratio0.076
Jensen Alpha0.0795
Total Risk Alpha0.0303
Sortino Ratio0.068
Treynor Ratio0.1164
Maximum Drawdown3.74
Value At Risk(1.71)
Potential Upside1.61
Downside Variance1.28
Semi Variance1.01
Expected Short fall(0.84)
Skewness(0.41)
Kurtosis0.2348

Current Valuation

Aspen Technology Current Valuation Analysis
Aspen Technology Inc is rated second in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Business Services industry is presently estimated at about 291.24 Billion. Aspen Technology claims roughly 4.96 Billion in current valuation contributing just under 2% to stocks in Business Services industry.