Aspen Technology Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Aspen Technology Inc buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Aspen Technology positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Aspen Technology Inc available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Aspen Technology buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Aspen Technology Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Aspen Technology Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 76.88  0.15  0.19%

Given the investment horizon of 30 days, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Aspen Technology Inc is 'Strong Buy'.
For the selected time horizon Aspen Technology Inc has a risk adjusted performance of 0.2045, jensen alpha of 0.5173, total risk alpha of (0.085579), sortino ratio of 0.9766 and treynor ratio of 1.04
Macroaxis provides unbiased buy, hold, or sell recommendation on Aspen Technology Inc that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Aspen Technology Inc. Our buy or sell advice engine determines the organization potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Aspen Technology is not overpriced, please confirm all Aspen Technology Inc fundamentals including its Price to Book, Current Ratio, Retained Earnings, as well as the relationship between Net Income and Price to Earnings To Growth . Given that Aspen Technology Inc has Number of Shares Shorted of 2.33 M, we suggest you validate Aspen Technology Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.67Value At Risk0.51
Potential Upside3.29Standard Deviation1.49
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Aspen Technology Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.52
β
Beta against DOW=0.63
σ
Overall volatility
=1.53
Ir
Information ratio =0.29

Aspen Technology Volatility Alert

Aspen Technology Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 2.32 and kurtosis of 6.36. However, we advise investors to further study Aspen Technology Inc technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aspen Technology to competition
FundamentalsAspen TechnologyPeer Average
Return On Equity4.8 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset53.88 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin33.35 % (5.5) %
Operating Margin43.72 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation5.64 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding72.54 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders0.26 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions104.42 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted2.33 M3.24 M
Price to Earning35.89 times40.69 times
Price to Book93.21 times14.44 times
Price to Sales11.5 times17.81 times
Revenue485.67 M9.85 B
Gross Profit435.48 M21.75 B
EBITDA217.51 M1.41 B
Net Income161.95 M517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents58.98 M3.89 B
Cash per Share0.81 times5.17 times
Total Debt140 M7.36 B
Debt to Equity0.05 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio0.24 times3.3 times
Book Value Per Share(3.68) times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations168.5 M1.25 B
Short Ratio4.86 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share2.15 times2.3 times
Price to Earnings To Growth5.02 times1.22 times
Number of Employees1.4 K10.67 K
Beta1.350.34
Market Capitalization5.59 B29.78 B
Total Asset548.34 M126.86 B
Retained Earnings(5.68 M)38.24 B
Working Capital76.12 M3.58 B
Current Asset240.14 M36.8 B
SellBuy
Strong Buy

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
   Payment of 1167 shares by William Griffin of Aspen Technology subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.2045
Market Risk Adjusted Performance1.05
Mean Deviation1.03
Downside Deviation0.4461
Coefficient Of Variation223.91
Standard Deviation1.49
Variance2.22
Information Ratio0.2923
Jensen Alpha0.5173
Total Risk Alpha(0.085579)
Sortino Ratio0.9766
Treynor Ratio1.04
Maximum Drawdown6.33
Value At Risk(0.51)
Potential Upside3.29
Downside Variance0.199
Semi Variance(0.57)
Expected Short fall(1.46)
Skewness2.32
Kurtosis6.36

Current Valuation

Aspen Technology Current Valuation Analysis
Aspen Technology Inc is rated second in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Business Services industry is presently estimated at about 310.41 Billion. Aspen Technology claims roughly 5.64 Billion in current valuation contributing just under 2% to stocks in Business Services industry.