Azul SA (Brazil) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AZUL4 Preferred Stock | BRL 9.59 0.35 3.52% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Azul SA is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Azul SA buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Azul SA positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Azul SA's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Azul SA's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 8.06 | Hype Value 9.59 | Market Value 9.59 | Naive Value 9.48 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Azul SA given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Azul SA. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Azul SA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Azul |
Execute Azul SA Buy or Sell Advice
The Azul recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Azul SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Azul SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Azul SA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Quite High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Azul SA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Azul SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Azul SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Azul SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Azul SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company has accumulated 20.39 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 122.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Azul SA has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Azul SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Azul SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Azul SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Azul to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Azul SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Azul SA has accumulated about 2.84 B in cash with (310.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.61. | |
| Roughly 15.0% of Azul SA shares are held by company insiders |
Azul SA Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Azul SA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Azul SA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Azul SA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Azul SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Azul SA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Azul SA.
| Mean Return | -0.31 | Value At Risk | -5.97 | Potential Upside | 4.42 | Standard Deviation | 3.31 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Azul SA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Azul SA Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Azul SA or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Azul SA's price will be affected by overall preferred stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Azul preferred stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.44 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Azul SA Volatility Alert
Azul SA exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.25 and kurtosis of 0.61. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Azul SA's preferred stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Azul SA's preferred stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Azul SA Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Azul SA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Azul SA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Azul SA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Azul SA or determine the preferred stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Azul SA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Azul SA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Azul SA to competition |
| Fundamentals | Azul SA | Peer Average |
| Return On Asset | -0.0122 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.15) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.02) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 27.1 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 335.27 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 14.69 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 30.60 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 15.08 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.23 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 11.44 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 775.84 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 3.56 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 823.7 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.84 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 6.61 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 20.39 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 122.20 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.44 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (57.86) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (310.6 M) | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.13 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.25 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 22.26 | |
| Number Of Employees | 13.21 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.34 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.96 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 18.53 B | 29.47 B |
| Net Asset | 18.53 B |
Azul SA Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Azul . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 704463.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.73) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 9.81 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 9.74 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.40) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.35) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 44.76 |
About Azul SA Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Azul SA? Buying financial instruments such as Azul Preferred Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Azul SA in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Rubber and Plastic Products Thematic Idea Now
Rubber and Plastic Products
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Rubber and Plastic Products theme has 27 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Rubber and Plastic Products Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out Azul SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Azul Preferred Stock please use our How to Invest in Azul SA guide.Note that the Azul SA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Azul SA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Azul Preferred Stock analysis
When running Azul SA's price analysis, check to measure Azul SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Azul SA is operating at the current time. Most of Azul SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Azul SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Azul SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Azul SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Stocks Directory Find actively traded stocks across global markets | |
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity | |
| Commodity Directory Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges | |
| Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios | |
| Commodity Channel Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum | |
| Portfolio Center All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios | |
| Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. | |
| Crypto Correlations Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins |