AZUL PN (Brazil) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AZUL4 -  Brazil Stock  

BRL 40.78  0.10  0.25%

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding AZUL PN N2 is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides AZUL PN buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AZUL PN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of AZUL PN's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.

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The advice is provided from AZUL PN's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to AZUL PN Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as AZUL4 and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards AZUL PN N2.

Execute AZUL PN Buy or Sell Advice

The AZUL4 recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AZUL PN N2. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AZUL PN N2 or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AZUL PN's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AZUL PNBuy AZUL PN
Strong Sell

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon AZUL PN N2 has a Mean Deviation of 3.04, Semi Deviation of 5.7, Standard Deviation of 5.54, Variance of 30.64, Downside Variance of 37.08 and Semi Variance of 32.45
AZUL PN advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current investment recommendation provided by analysts examining the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at this particular time. To make sure AZUL PN is not overpriced, please confirm all AZUL PN N2 fundamentals, including its price to book, ebitda, total debt, as well as the relationship between the revenue and cash and equivalents .

AZUL PN Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

AZUL PN N2 has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
AZUL PN N2 has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
AZUL PN N2 has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 22.28 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 122.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. AZUL PN N2 has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
The entity reported the revenue of 4.77 B. Net Loss for the year was (7.47 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (472.12 M).
About 20.0% of AZUL PN shares are held by company insiders

AZUL PN current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. AZUL4 analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. AZUL4 analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price40.21
Target Median Price40.35
Target High Price45.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions8
Target Low Price33.00
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

AZUL PN Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of AZUL PN's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of AZUL PN's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AZUL PN stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AZUL PN N2 price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AZUL PN returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AZUL PN stock.
Mean Return0.17Value At Risk-5.66
Potential Upside6.94Standard Deviation5.54
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AZUL PN historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

AZUL PN Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AZUL PN or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AZUL PN stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AZUL4 stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.15
β
Beta against DOW0.14
σ
Overall volatility
5.73
Ir
Information ratio 0.0183

AZUL PN Volatility Alert

AZUL PN N2 exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. We encourage investors to investigate AZUL PN N2 individually to make sure intended market timing strategies and available technical indicagtors are consistent with their estimates about AZUL PN future systematic risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AZUL PN's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AZUL PN's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

AZUL PN Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing AZUL PN's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AZUL PN's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AZUL PN and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AZUL PN or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AZUL PN's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AZUL PN by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare AZUL PN to competition
FundamentalsAZUL PNPeer Average
Return On Equity116.51 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(9.41) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(156.71) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(53.73) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation36.39 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding333.24 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders19.66 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions43.21 %39.21 %
Price to Earning15.08 X28.72 X
Price to Book3.60 X9.51 X
Price to Sales3.08 X11.42 X
Revenue4.77 B9.43 B
Gross Profit(472.12 M)27.38 B
EBITDA(2.69 B)3.9 B
Net Income(7.47 B)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents2.29 B2.7 B
Cash per Share6.61 X5.01 X
Total Debt22.28 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity122.20 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.44 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(48.92) X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations574.67 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(21.79) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.25 X4.89 X
Number of Employees12.44 K18.84 K
Beta1.76-0.15
Market Capitalization14.71 B19.03 B

About AZUL PN Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell AZUL PN N2? Buying financial instruments such as AZUL4 Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although AZUL PN investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Please continue to AZUL PN Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the AZUL PN N2 information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AZUL PN's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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When running AZUL PN N2 price analysis, check to measure AZUL PN's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AZUL PN is operating at the current time. Most of AZUL PN's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AZUL PN's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AZUL PN's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AZUL PN to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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