Best Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| BEST Stock | USD 2.09 0.04 1.88% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding BEST Inc is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides BEST buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BEST positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of BEST's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting BEST's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 1.86 | Target Price 1.57 | Hype Value 2.09 | Market Value 2.09 | Naive Value 2.08 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell BEST Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards BEST. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for BEST Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
BEST |
Execute BEST Buy or Sell Advice
The BEST recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on BEST Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in BEST Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute BEST's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Quite High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
BEST Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| BEST Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BEST Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company currently holds 2.77 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 3.18, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. BEST Inc has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist BEST until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, BEST's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like BEST Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for BEST to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about BEST's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 8.32 B. Net Loss for the year was (814.4 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (263.56 M). | |
| BEST Inc currently holds about 2.56 B in cash with (554.73 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 32.53, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: FUNDAMENTAL INVENTIONS ENABLE THE BEST PPA AND MOST PORTABLE EFPGADSPSDRAI IP FOR ADAPTABLE SOCS |
BEST Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of BEST's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of BEST's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of BEST daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use BEST Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of BEST returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for BEST.
| Mean Return | -0.22 | Value At Risk | -4.35 | Potential Upside | 4.11 | Standard Deviation | 2.52 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of BEST historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
BEST Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as BEST is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BEST Inc backward and forwards among themselves. BEST's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase BEST's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Citigroup Inc | 2023-12-31 | 165 | Simplex Trading, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 108 | Advisor Group Holdings, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 75.0 | Steward Partners Investment Advisory, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 69.0 | Wells Fargo & Co | 2023-12-31 | 50.0 | Ubs Group Ag | 2023-12-31 | 50.0 | Ronald Blue Trust, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 23.0 | Cornerstone Planning Group Llc | 2023-12-31 | 15.0 | Group One Trading, Lp | 2023-12-31 | 5.0 | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 933.2 K | Alibaba Group Holding Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 500 K |
BEST Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 13.2M | 3.6M | 2.6M | 9.1M | 10.5M | 11.0M | |
| Change In Cash | 957.8M | 251.9M | 1.1B | (2.8B) | (231.8M) | (220.2M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (1.5B) | (2.9B) | (3.1B) | (1.3B) | (554.7M) | (582.5M) | |
| Depreciation | 492.8M | 515.0M | 191.4M | 188.9M | 170.2M | 314.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 901.0M | 1.2B | 856.2M | 38.5M | 41.1M | 39.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.6B | 2.4B | 2.7B | 225.0M | 175.8M | 0.0 | |
| Net Income | (219.1M) | (1.7B) | (1.3B) | (1.5B) | (814.4M) | (855.1M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 4.0B | 4.2B | 5.3B | 2.5B | 2.2B | 2.8B | |
| Investments | (47.4M) | (872.9M) | 4.5B | 150.8M | 941.2M | 988.3M | |
| Net Borrowings | 2.5B | 2.0B | (435.2M) | (2.0B) | (1.8B) | (1.7B) | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.1B | 1.3B | (3.3B) | 1.0B | 919.2M | 965.1M |
BEST Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to BEST or Air Freight & Logistics sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that BEST's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a BEST stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
BEST Volatility Alert
BEST Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.39 and kurtosis of 1.12. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure BEST's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact BEST's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.BEST Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing BEST's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze BEST's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between BEST and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as BEST or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of BEST's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BEST by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare BEST to competition |
| Fundamentals | BEST | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -2.48 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0763 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.1) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.09) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.7 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 20.09 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 4.03 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 5.60 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 36.29 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 1.40 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.27 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.01 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 8.32 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (263.56 M) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (686.99 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (814.4 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.56 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 32.53 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.77 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 3.18 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.90 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (4.88) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (554.73 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.98 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (6.78) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.38 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 3.26 | |
| Beta | 0.96 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 42 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 6.25 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (19.75 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (1.48 B) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 47 M | 9.34 B |
BEST Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as BEST . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About BEST Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell BEST Inc? Buying financial instruments such as BEST Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 5.9B | 4.1B | 2.8B | 4.2B | Total Assets | 11.3B | 7.8B | 6.3B | 11.8B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having BEST in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Giant Impact
An experimental equal-weighted decomposition of large high potential stocks based on Macroaxis scoring framework. The Giant Impact theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Giant Impact Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out BEST Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Complementary Tools for BEST Stock analysis
When running BEST's price analysis, check to measure BEST's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BEST is operating at the current time. Most of BEST's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BEST's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BEST's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BEST to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is BEST's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BEST. If investors know BEST will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BEST listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (6.78) | Revenue Per Share 436.036 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.129 | Return On Assets (0.08) | Return On Equity (2.48) |
The market value of BEST Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BEST that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BEST's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BEST's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BEST's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BEST's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BEST's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BEST is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BEST's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.