Birks Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| BGI Stock | USD 2.69 0.01 0.37% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Birks Group is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Birks buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Birks positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Birks' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Birks' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 2.56 | Hype Value 2.69 | Market Value 2.69 | Naive Value 2.29 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Birks Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Birks. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Birks Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Birks |
Execute Birks Buy or Sell Advice
The Birks recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Birks Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Birks Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Birks' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Birks Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Birks Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Birks Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 162.95 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (7.43 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 76.22 M. | |
| Birks Group has about 1.26 M in cash with (6.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11. | |
| Birks Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Next Generation Sequencing Market size is set to grow by USD 3409.76 million from 2023-2027, 10X Genomics Inc., Azenta Inc. BGI Genomics Co. Ltd., and more to emerge as Some of the Key Vendors, Technavio |
Birks Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Birks' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Birks' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Birks daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Birks Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Birks returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Birks.
| Mean Return | -0.54 | Value At Risk | -7.19 | Potential Upside | 6.13 | Standard Deviation | 4.10 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Birks historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Birks Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (614K) | 1.2M | 206K | (751K) | (675.9K) | (642.1K) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (10.8M) | (4.7M) | 12.8M | (16.3M) | (14.7M) | (14.0M) | |
| Depreciation | 7.1M | 5.5M | 5.8M | 5.7M | 5.1M | 5.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 357K | 94K | (469K) | (1.9M) | (1.7M) | (1.6M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 6.4M | 3.0M | 5.8M | 9.4M | 10.8M | 7.3M | |
| Net Income | (12.2M) | (5.8M) | 1.3M | (7.4M) | (6.7M) | (7.0M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 565K | 1.8M | 2.0M | 1.3M | 1.1M | 1.9M | |
| Change To Inventory | (10.4M) | 4.1M | 18.9M | (9.5M) | (8.5M) | (8.1M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 19.2M | 9.7M | 5.1M | (12.4M) | (11.2M) | (10.6M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 410K | 621K | (188K) | (719K) | (826.9K) | (868.2K) | |
| Investments | (6.4M) | (3.0M) | (5.8M) | (9.4M) | (8.5M) | (8.0M) |
Birks Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Birks or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Birks' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Birks stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.55 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Birks Volatility Alert
Birks Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.24 and kurtosis of 3.01. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Birks' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Birks' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Birks Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Birks' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Birks' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Birks and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Birks or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Birks' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Birks by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Birks to competition |
| Fundamentals | Birks | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -5.89 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0086 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.04) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.01 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 202.55 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 11.01 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 78.24 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.37 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 28.92 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 103.20 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 47.53 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.32 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 162.95 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 76.22 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.86 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (7.43 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.26 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.11 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 151.95 M | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 1.02 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (0.11) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (6.92 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.45 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.27) X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 313 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.65 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 50.2 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 196.98 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (120.84 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (8.37 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 136.3 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 107.29 M | 7.9 B |
| Net Asset | 196.98 M |
Birks Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Birks . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Birks Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Birks Group? Buying financial instruments such as Birks Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Total Liabilities | 177.4M | 197.6M | 227.2M | 202.7M | Other Stockholder Equity | 23.7M | 23.5M | 27.0M | 28.4M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Birks in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Utilities - Regulated Electric Thematic Idea Now
Utilities - Regulated Electric
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Utilities - Regulated Electric theme has 6 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Utilities - Regulated Electric Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Birks Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Birks Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Birks' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Complementary Tools for Birks Stock analysis
When running Birks' price analysis, check to measure Birks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Birks is operating at the current time. Most of Birks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Birks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Birks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Birks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Birks' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Birks. If investors know Birks will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Birks listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.27) | Revenue Per Share 9.055 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.097 | Return On Assets (0.01) | Return On Equity (5.89) |
The market value of Birks Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Birks that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Birks' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Birks' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Birks' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Birks' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Birks' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Birks is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Birks' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.