Biglari Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| BH-A Stock | USD 997.19 2.19 0.22% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Biglari Holdings is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Biglari Holdings buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BH-A positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Biglari Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Biglari Holdings' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 1.1 K | Hype Value 997.2 | Market Value 997.19 | Naive Value 1.1 K |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Biglari Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Biglari Holdings. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Biglari Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Biglari |
Execute Biglari Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
The Biglari recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Biglari Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Biglari Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Biglari Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Biglari Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Biglari Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company currently holds 101.24 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 57.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Biglari Holdings has a current ratio of 0.58, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Biglari Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Biglari Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Biglari Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Biglari to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Biglari Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 86.0% of Biglari Holdings shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Biglari, Sardar of 374 shares of Biglari Holdings at 124.73 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Biglari Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Biglari Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Biglari Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Biglari Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Biglari Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Biglari Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Biglari Holdings.
| Mean Return | 0.38 | Value At Risk | -2.98 | Potential Upside | 5.11 | Standard Deviation | 2.96 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Biglari Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Biglari Holdings Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 15.7M | (41.0M) | 14.0M | (4.9M) | (9.4M) | (8.9M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 76.0M | 96.9M | 164.2M | 98.1M | 49.6M | 52.1M | |
| Depreciation | 29.6M | 32.2M | 30.1M | 36.4M | 39.0M | 24.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 17.7M | 20.7M | 64.5M | 29.7M | 23.4M | 26.2M | |
| Net Income | 45.4M | (38.0M) | 35.5M | (32.3M) | 54.9M | 57.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 70.7M | 29.7M | 43.7M | 38.8M | 28.1M | 36.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 59.4M | 160.3M | 167.8M | 152.0M | (36.1M) | (34.3M) | |
| Change To Inventory | (3.7M) | (7.0M) | 9.3M | (3.3M) | (3.0M) | (2.9M) | |
| Investments | (70.0M) | (6.9M) | (4.1M) | (136.6M) | (90.4M) | (94.9M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (8.0M) | (23.3M) | (156.2M) | 3.9M | 3.5M | 3.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | 20.9M | 6.7M | 173.0M | 136.1M | 156.5M | 164.4M |
Biglari Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Biglari Holdings or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Biglari Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Biglari stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.32 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Biglari Holdings Volatility Alert
Biglari Holdings currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.1 and Jensen Alpha of 0.32. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Biglari Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Biglari Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Biglari Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Biglari Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Biglari Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Biglari Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Biglari Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Biglari Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Biglari Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Biglari Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Biglari Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0962 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0293 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.15 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.08 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 598.79 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 206.86 K | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.41 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 85.68 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 408 | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 2.58 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.95 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.60 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 365.32 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 152.78 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 78.35 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 54.95 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 69.14 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 111.41 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 101.24 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 57.20 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.59 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 965.74 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 73 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.96 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 189.55 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 2.47 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.55 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 623.61 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 859.09 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 631.46 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 41.45 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 859.09 M |
Note: Acquisition by Biglari, Sardar of 374 shares of Biglari Holdings at 124.73 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Biglari Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Biglari . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Biglari Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Biglari Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Biglari Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 121.4M | 118.8M | 101.2M | 144.1M | Total Assets | 894.8M | 828.5M | 859.1M | 543.8M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Biglari Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Rubber and Plastic Products Thematic Idea Now
Rubber and Plastic Products
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Rubber and Plastic Products theme has 27 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Rubber and Plastic Products Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out Biglari Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Biglari Stock refer to our How to Trade Biglari Stock guide.You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Complementary Tools for Biglari Stock analysis
When running Biglari Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Biglari Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Biglari Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Biglari Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Biglari Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Biglari Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Biglari Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Crypto Correlations Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins | |
| Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. | |
| Sign In To Macroaxis Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules | |
| Piotroski F Score Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals | |
| Cryptocurrency Center Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency | |
| Correlation Analysis Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated |