Popular Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BPOP Stock  USD 88.36  0.48  0.55%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Popular is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Popular buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Popular positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Popular's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Popular's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
81.3
Target Price
76
Hype Value
88.33
Market Value
88.36
Naive Value
89.98
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Popular given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Popular. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Popular, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Popular Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Popular Stock, please use our How to Invest in Popular guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Popular and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Popular. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Execute Popular Buy or Sell Advice

The Popular recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Popular. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Popular or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Popular's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell PopularBuy Popular
Hold

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Popular has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0603, Jensen Alpha of 0.0157, Total Risk Alpha of (0.09), Sortino Ratio of 0.0302 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0968
Macroaxis provides advice on Popular to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Popular. Our recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Popular is not overpriced, please check all Popular fundamentals, including its price to book, book value per share, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the net income and target price . Given that Popular has a number of shares shorted of 479.04 K, we recommend you to check out Popular market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Popular Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 1st of April 2024 Popular paid $ 0.62 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investorplace.com: BPOP Stock Earnings Popular Beats EPS, Misses Revenue for Q1 2024

Popular Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Popular's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Popular's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Popular daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Popular price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Popular returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Popular.
Mean Return
0.14
Value At Risk
-2.19
Potential Upside
3.09
Standard Deviation
1.63
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Popular historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Popular Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Popular is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Popular backward and forwards among themselves. Popular's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Popular's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Ameriprise Financial Inc2023-12-31
1.6 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
1.2 M
American Century Companies Inc2023-12-31
937.8 K
Norges Bank2023-12-31
814.9 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-12-31
733.1 K
Earnest Partners Llc2023-12-31
699.1 K
Lsv Asset Management2023-12-31
698.4 K
Frontier Capital Management Co Inc2023-12-31
644.9 K
Principal Financial Group Inc2023-12-31
641.9 K
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
M
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2023-12-31
4.3 M
Note, although Popular's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Popular Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(8.9M)102.8M(62.6M)41.6M(48.6M)(46.2M)
Free Cash Flow619.3M618.6M931.5M910.7M487.6M511.4M
Depreciation67.4M64.8M64.2M58.4M65.9M71.4M
Other Non Cash Items(477.6M)(434.2M)(1.0B)(479.5M)119.4M125.3M
Dividends Paid115.8M133.6M141.5M161.5M159.9M93.5M
Capital Expenditures86.0M60.2M73.7M103.8M208.0M218.4M
Net Income671.1M506.6M934.9M1.1B541.3M284.6M
End Period Cash Flow394.3M497.1M434.5M476.2M427.6M636.4M
Change To Inventory(153.5M)13.5M43.7M62.9M23.2M24.4M
Investments(5.2B)(3.9B)(5.0B)(4.3B)(282.1M)(296.3M)
Net Borrowings(223.6M)50.0M(192.4M)243.9M280.4M294.5M
Change To Netincome34.2M172.2M70.3M(88.1M)(79.3M)(75.3M)

Popular Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Popular or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Popular's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Popular stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.36
σ
Overall volatility
1.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Popular Volatility Alert

Popular has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.04 and kurtosis of 0.58. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Popular's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Popular's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Popular Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Popular's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Popular's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Popular and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Popular or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Popular's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Popular by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Popular to competition
FundamentalsPopularPeer Average
Return On Equity0.12-0.31
Return On Asset0.0078-0.14
Profit Margin0.21 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.17 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation(7.22 M)16.62 B
Shares Outstanding72.28 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.78 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions89.20 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted479.04 K4.71 M
Price To Earning6.35 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.17 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.32 X11.42 X
Revenue3.91 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.98 B27.38 B
EBITDA3.18 M3.9 B
Net Income541.34 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.05 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share28.17 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.23 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity6.01 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share71.03 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations695.67 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.83 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share7.52 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.75 X4.89 X
Target Price101.11
Number Of Employees9.09 K18.84 K
Beta0.83-0.15
Market Capitalization6.35 B19.03 B
Total Asset70.76 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings4.19 B9.33 B
Annual Yield0.03 %
Five Year Return2.43 %
Note: Disposition of 4194 shares by Carlos Vazquez of Popular at 88.09 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Popular Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Popular . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Popular Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Popular? Buying financial instruments such as Popular Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total1.1B1.3B1.2B1.2B
Total Assets75.1B67.6B70.8B39.4B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Popular in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Dividend Beast Thematic Idea Now

Dividend Beast
Dividend Beast Theme
An experimental equal-weighted theme of equities with high dividend yield and solid fundamentals based on Macroaxis rating system. The Dividend Beast theme has 69 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Dividend Beast Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Popular is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Popular Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Popular Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Popular Stock:
Check out Popular Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Popular Stock, please use our How to Invest in Popular guide.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Complementary Tools for Popular Stock analysis

When running Popular's price analysis, check to measure Popular's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Popular is operating at the current time. Most of Popular's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Popular's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Popular's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Popular to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Popular's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Popular. If investors know Popular will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Popular listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.63)
Dividend Share
2.27
Earnings Share
7.52
Revenue Per Share
35.889
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
The market value of Popular is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Popular that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Popular's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Popular's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Popular's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Popular's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Popular's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Popular is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Popular's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.