Bavarian Nordic As Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| BVNRY Stock | USD 7.11 0.15 2.16% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Bavarian Nordic AS is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Bavarian Nordic buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BVNRY positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Bavarian Nordic's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Bavarian Nordic's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 7.42 | Hype Value 7.11 | Market Value 7.11 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Bavarian Nordic AS given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Bavarian Nordic. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Bavarian Nordic AS, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Bavarian |
Execute Bavarian Nordic Buy or Sell Advice
The Bavarian recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Bavarian Nordic AS. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Bavarian Nordic AS or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Bavarian Nordic's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Bavarian Nordic Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Bavarian Nordic AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.9 B. Net Loss for the year was (464.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 570.93 M. | |
| Bavarian Nordic AS has accumulated about 3.25 B in cash with (358.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 15.53, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Bavarian Nordic Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Bavarian Nordic's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Bavarian Nordic's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Bavarian Nordic daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Bavarian Nordic AS price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Bavarian Nordic returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Bavarian Nordic.
| Mean Return | -0.13 | Value At Risk | -3.85 | Potential Upside | 4.63 | Standard Deviation | 2.45 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Bavarian Nordic historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Bavarian Nordic Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Bavarian Nordic or Healthcare sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Bavarian Nordic's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Bavarian pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.4 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Bavarian Nordic Volatility Alert
Bavarian Nordic AS exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.65 and kurtosis of 1.69. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Bavarian Nordic's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Bavarian Nordic's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Bavarian Nordic Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Bavarian Nordic's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Bavarian Nordic's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Bavarian Nordic and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Bavarian Nordic or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Bavarian Nordic's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bavarian Nordic by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Bavarian Nordic to competition |
| Fundamentals | Bavarian Nordic | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0942 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0197 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.25) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.15) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.95 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 211.77 M | 571.82 M |
| Price To Earning | 39.62 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.20 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.93 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.9 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 570.93 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 85.94 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (464.77 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.25 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 15.53 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 179.41 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.14 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.98 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 38.27 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (358.5 M) | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.44) X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 917 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.41 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.35 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 12.09 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.61 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.39 B | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 2 B | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 613 M | 7.9 B |
| Z Score | 7.8 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % | |
| Net Asset | 12.09 B |
Bavarian Nordic Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Bavarian . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 15.95 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 2.142857 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 7.08 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 7.09 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.11 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.15 |
About Bavarian Nordic Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Bavarian Nordic AS? Buying financial instruments such as Bavarian Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Bavarian Nordic in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Bavarian Nordic Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Complementary Tools for Bavarian Pink Sheet analysis
When running Bavarian Nordic's price analysis, check to measure Bavarian Nordic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bavarian Nordic is operating at the current time. Most of Bavarian Nordic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bavarian Nordic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bavarian Nordic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bavarian Nordic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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