Blackstone Mortgage Trust Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| BXMT Stock | USD 18.25 0.88 4.60% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Blackstone Mortgage Trust is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Blackstone Mortgage buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BXMT positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Blackstone Mortgage's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Blackstone Mortgage's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 21.02 | Target Price 23.33 | Hype Value 18.27 | Market Value 18.25 | Naive Value 18.26 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Blackstone Mortgage Trust given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Blackstone Mortgage. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Blackstone Mortgage Trust, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Blackstone |
Execute Blackstone Mortgage Buy or Sell Advice
The Blackstone recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Blackstone Mortgage Trust. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Blackstone Mortgage Trust or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Blackstone Mortgage's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Blackstone Mortgage Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Blackstone Mortgage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Blackstone Mortgage has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of April 2024 Blackstone Mortgage paid $ 0.62 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Sanofi reportedly lining up banks for consumer products spinoff |
Blackstone Mortgage Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Blackstone Mortgage's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Blackstone Mortgage's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Blackstone Mortgage daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Blackstone Mortgage Trust price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Blackstone Mortgage returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Blackstone Mortgage.
| Mean Return | -0.04 | Value At Risk | -3.94 | Potential Upside | 2.47 | Standard Deviation | 2.09 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Blackstone Mortgage historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Blackstone Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Blackstone Mortgage is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Blackstone Mortgage Trust backward and forwards among themselves. Blackstone Mortgage's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Blackstone Mortgage's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Bank Of America Corp | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 1.5 M | Hightower Advisors, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 M | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 M | Mirae Asset Global Investments (korea) Co Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 1.1 M | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 1 M | Ubs Group Ag | 2023-12-31 | 943.8 K | Principal Financial Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 898.1 K | Advisors Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 595.2 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 29.1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 18.3 M |
Blackstone Mortgage Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 44.4M | 139.9M | 261.2M | (259.8M) | 58.7M | 61.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 304.0M | 336.6M | 382.5M | 396.8M | 458.8M | 481.8M | |
| Depreciation | (57.9M) | (56.8M) | (68.9M) | (81.7M) | (78.4M) | (74.5M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (25.9M) | 145.3M | (74.7M) | 241.5M | (2.9M) | (2.7M) | |
| Net Income | 307.4M | 140.4M | 422.3M | 251.1M | 249.9M | 262.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 150.1M | 290.0M | 551.2M | 291.3M | 350.0M | 367.5M | |
| Dividends Paid | 321.0M | 348.9M | 370.7M | 421.4M | 426.9M | 448.3M | |
| Investments | (1.9B) | (25.0M) | (5.7B) | (3.5B) | 1.1B | 1.2B | |
| Net Borrowings | 1.0B | (2.2B) | 5.0B | 1.5B | 1.8B | 1.4B | |
| Change To Netincome | 30.7M | 52.9M | 27.7M | 29.1M | 33.4M | 35.1M |
Blackstone Mortgage Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Blackstone Mortgage or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Blackstone Mortgage's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Blackstone stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Blackstone Mortgage Volatility Alert
Blackstone Mortgage Trust exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.15 and kurtosis of 1.52. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Blackstone Mortgage's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Blackstone Mortgage's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Blackstone Mortgage Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Blackstone Mortgage's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Blackstone Mortgage's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Blackstone Mortgage and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Blackstone Mortgage or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Blackstone Mortgage's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Blackstone Mortgage by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Blackstone Mortgage to competition |
| Fundamentals | Blackstone Mortgage | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.056 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0101 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.59 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.03) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 22.41 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 173.67 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.28 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 67.44 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 26.81 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 13.50 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.74 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 7.70 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 670.66 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 416.55 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 251.92 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 249.9 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 367.56 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.14 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 19.3 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 4.41 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 128.20 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 24.90 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 458.84 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 14.92 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.43 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 254.80 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 21.3 | |
| Beta | 1.45 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.32 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 24.04 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (1.15 B) | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.13 % | |
| Five Year Return | 8.18 % |
Note: Acquisition by Lynne Sagalyn of 3275 shares of Blackstone Mortgage subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Blackstone Mortgage Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Blackstone . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 275578.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.01) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 18.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 18.22 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.39) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.88) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 43.0 |
About Blackstone Mortgage Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Blackstone Mortgage Trust? Buying financial instruments such as Blackstone Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 17.5B | 20.4B | 19.3B | 20.3B | Total Assets | 22.7B | 25.4B | 24.0B | 25.2B |
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Check out Blackstone Mortgage Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Complementary Tools for Blackstone Stock analysis
When running Blackstone Mortgage's price analysis, check to measure Blackstone Mortgage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blackstone Mortgage is operating at the current time. Most of Blackstone Mortgage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blackstone Mortgage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blackstone Mortgage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blackstone Mortgage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Blackstone Mortgage's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blackstone Mortgage. If investors know Blackstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blackstone Mortgage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.71) | Dividend Share 2.48 | Earnings Share 1.43 | Revenue Per Share 2.437 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 15.955 |
The market value of Blackstone Mortgage Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blackstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blackstone Mortgage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blackstone Mortgage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blackstone Mortgage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blackstone Mortgage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blackstone Mortgage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blackstone Mortgage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blackstone Mortgage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.