Carver Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CARV Stock  USD 1.59  0.02  1.27%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Carver Bancorp is 'Not Rated'. Macroaxis provides Carver Bancorp buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CARV positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Carver Bancorp's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Carver Bancorp's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
0.0
Hype Value
0.0
Market Value
1.59
Naive Value
1.65
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Carver Bancorp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Carver Bancorp. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Carver Bancorp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Carver Bancorp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Carver Stock please use our How to Invest in Carver Bancorp guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Carver and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Carver Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Carver Bancorp Buy or Sell Advice

The Carver recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Carver Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Carver Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Carver Bancorp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Carver BancorpBuy Carver Bancorp
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Above AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Carver Bancorp has a Mean Deviation of 3.15, Standard Deviation of 4.5 and Variance of 20.27
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Carver Bancorp. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Carver Bancorp is not overpriced, please confirm all Carver Bancorp fundamentals, including its revenue, as well as the relationship between the total debt and number of employees . Please also double-check Carver Bancorp shares owned by institutions to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Carver Bancorp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Carver Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Carver Bancorp may become a speculative penny stock
Carver Bancorp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Carver Bancorp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 26.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 27.22 M.
Carver Bancorp currently holds about 43.38 M in cash with (10.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.27, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Michael Pugh of 10000 shares of Carver Bancorp subject to Rule 16b-3

Carver Bancorp Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Carver Bancorp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Carver Bancorp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Carver Bancorp daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Carver Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Carver Bancorp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Carver Bancorp.
Mean Return
-0.27
Value At Risk
-8.28
Potential Upside
8.93
Standard Deviation
4.50
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Carver Bancorp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Carver Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Carver Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Carver Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Carver Bancorp's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Carver Bancorp's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Jane Street Group, Llc2023-12-31
11.3 K
Schonfeld Strategic Advisors Llc2023-09-30
11.2 K
Tower Research Capital Llc2023-12-31
6.1 K
White Bay Pt Llc2023-12-31
K
Fny Investment Advisers, Llc2023-12-31
1.6 K
Atlas Capital Advisors2023-12-31
1.4 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
1.4 K
Ubs Group Ag2023-12-31
985
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2023-12-31
100.0
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
204.4 K
Wells Fargo & Co2023-12-31
157.8 K
Note, although Carver Bancorp's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Carver Bancorp Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash16.3M28.1M(14.6M)(18.5M)(16.6M)(15.8M)
Free Cash Flow(1.3M)2.0M7.0M(10.7M)(9.7M)(9.2M)
Depreciation965K1.0M1.0M1.1M952.2K1.2M
Other Non Cash Items(208K)(80K)877K(7.1M)(6.4M)(6.0M)
Capital Expenditures1.3M256K192K225K202.5K192.4K
Net Income(5.4M)(3.9M)(847K)(4.4M)(4.0M)(4.2M)
End Period Cash Flow47.5M75.6M61.0M42.6M48.9M48.5M
Investments16.5M(77.0M)17.3M(15.3M)(17.6M)(18.4M)
Change Receivables(343K)(558K)(33K)(588K)(529.2K)(502.7K)
Change To Netincome(270K)(293K)(1.3M)999K899.1K854.1K
Net Borrowings(17M)(8M)23.7M(21.2M)(19.1M)(18.1M)

Carver Bancorp Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Carver Bancorp or Thrifts & Mortgage Finance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Carver Bancorp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Carver stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.25
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.35
σ
Overall volatility
4.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Carver Bancorp Volatility Alert

Carver Bancorp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.47 and kurtosis of 2.2. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Carver Bancorp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Carver Bancorp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Carver Bancorp Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Carver Bancorp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Carver Bancorp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Carver Bancorp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Carver Bancorp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Carver Bancorp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Carver Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Carver Bancorp to competition
FundamentalsCarver BancorpPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.1-0.31
Return On Asset-0.006-0.14
Profit Margin(0.16) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.02 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation13.05 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding4.99 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders22.47 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions12.41 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted24.18 K4.71 M
Price To Earning14.54 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.32 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.24 X11.42 X
Revenue26.38 M9.43 B
Gross Profit27.22 M27.38 B
EBITDA510 K3.9 B
Net Income(4.4 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents43.38 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share10.27 X5.01 X
Total Debt64.26 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity12.68 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share3.99 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(10.51 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio1.28 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.98) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees10718.84 K
Beta1.17-0.15
Market Capitalization7.93 M19.03 B
Total Asset723.22 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(47.9 M)9.33 B
Net Asset723.22 M
Note: Acquisition by Michael Pugh of 10000 shares of Carver Bancorp subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Carver Bancorp Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Carver . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Carver Bancorp Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Carver Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as Carver Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total30.3M64.3M57.8M57.5M
Total Assets735.3M723.2M831.7M662.9M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Carver Bancorp in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Macroaxis Picks
Macroaxis Picks Theme
Daily selected watch list of stocks of large companies handpicked by Macroaxis Team based on their diversification potential. The Macroaxis Picks theme has 50 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Macroaxis Picks Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Carver Bancorp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Carver Bancorp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Carver Bancorp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Carver Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Carver Bancorp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Carver Stock please use our How to Invest in Carver Bancorp guide.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

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Is Carver Bancorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Carver Bancorp. If investors know Carver will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Carver Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.98)
Revenue Per Share
5.926
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.262
Return On Assets
(0.01)
Return On Equity
(0.10)
The market value of Carver Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Carver that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Carver Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Carver Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Carver Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Carver Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Carver Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Carver Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Carver Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.