Cathay General Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CATY Stock  USD 35.53  0.64  1.83%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Cathay General Bancorp is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Cathay General buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CATY positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Cathay General's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Cathay General's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
37.28
Target Price
37.33
Hype Value
35.55
Market Value
35.53
Naive Value
35.48
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Cathay General Bancorp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Cathay General. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Cathay General Bancorp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Cathay General Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cathay and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Cathay General Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Cathay General Buy or Sell Advice

The Cathay recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cathay General Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cathay General Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cathay General's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Cathay GeneralBuy Cathay General
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Cathay General Bancorp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), Jensen Alpha of (0.40), Total Risk Alpha of (0.57) and Treynor Ratio of (0.20)
Cathay General advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current investment recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Cathay General is not overpriced, please confirm all Cathay General Bancorp fundamentals, including its debt to equity, and the relationship between the gross profit and target price . Given that Cathay General Bancorp has a number of shares shorted of 1.91 M, we suggest you to validate Cathay General Bancorp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Cathay General Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Cathay General generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 11th of March 2024 Cathay General paid $ 0.34 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Cathay General stock target cut, keeps rating on Q1 performance

Cathay General Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Cathay General's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cathay General's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cathay General daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cathay General Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cathay General returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cathay General.
Mean Return
-0.27
Value At Risk
-4.71
Potential Upside
3.57
Standard Deviation
2.12
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cathay General historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Cathay Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Cathay General is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cathay General Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Cathay General's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Cathay General's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Lsv Asset Management2023-12-31
1.1 M
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
M
Btim Corp2023-12-31
970.5 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
900.7 K
American Century Companies Inc2023-12-31
868.5 K
First Trust Advisors L.p.2023-12-31
861.4 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
830.1 K
Gw&k Investment Management, Llc2023-12-31
798.8 K
Norges Bank2023-12-31
775.5 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
10.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
8.3 M
Note, although Cathay General's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Cathay General Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(6.5M)827.3M1.0B(1.3B)(333.6M)(316.9M)
Free Cash Flow427.8M314.2M330.6M464M381.3M400.4M
Depreciation15.1M16.5M16.1M19.8M18.1M9.4M
Other Non Cash Items103.5M120.2M38.5M58.8M86.0M90.3M
Dividends Paid99.1M98.7M99.3M101.0M98.6M103.6M
Capital Expenditures7.1M5.8M3.7M3.4M3.4M5.3M
Net Income279.1M228.9M298.3M360.6M354.1M371.8M
End Period Cash Flow593.8M1.4B2.4B1.2B828.8M870.2M
Investments(1.3B)(161.6M)(830.5M)(1.8B)(1.1B)(1.1B)
Net Borrowings84.6M(553.3M)(130M)465M534.8M561.5M
Change To Netincome52K31.8M(13.0M)64.5M74.2M77.9M

Cathay General Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cathay General or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cathay General's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cathay stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.4
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.37
σ
Overall volatility
2.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Cathay General Volatility Alert

Cathay General Bancorp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.33 and kurtosis of 1.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cathay General's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cathay General's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Cathay General Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Cathay General's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cathay General's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cathay General and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cathay General or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cathay General's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cathay General by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Cathay General to competition
FundamentalsCathay GeneralPeer Average
Return On Equity0.12-0.31
Return On Asset0.0145-0.14
Profit Margin0.43 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.58 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.81 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding72.69 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders5.71 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions76.33 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.91 M4.71 M
Price To Earning14.38 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.94 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.27 X11.42 X
Revenue1.3 B9.43 B
Gross Profit775.97 M27.38 B
EBITDA1.31 M3.9 B
Net Income354.12 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents200.05 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.72 X5.01 X
Total Debt709.72 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.08 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share38.22 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations384.74 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.08 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.86 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.08 X4.89 X
Target Price40.83
Number Of Employees1.25 K18.84 K
Beta1.11-0.15
Market Capitalization2.54 B19.03 B
Total Asset23.1 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings2.5 B9.33 B
Annual Yield0.04 %
Five Year Return3.25 %
Note: Discretionary transaction by Richard Sun of tradable shares of Cathay General subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Cathay General Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cathay . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Cathay General Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Cathay General Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as Cathay Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Total Stockholder Equity2.4B2.5B2.7B2.9B
Total Assets20.9B22.0B23.1B24.3B

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In addition to having Cathay General in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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When determining whether Cathay General Bancorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Cathay General's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cathay General Bancorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cathay General Bancorp Stock:
Check out Cathay General Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.

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Is Cathay General's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cathay General. If investors know Cathay will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cathay General listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.26)
Dividend Share
1.36
Earnings Share
4.86
Revenue Per Share
10.45
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.13)
The market value of Cathay General Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cathay that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cathay General's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cathay General's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cathay General's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cathay General's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cathay General's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cathay General is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cathay General's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.