Codexis Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CDXS Stock  USD 2.80  0.04  1.45%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Codexis is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Codexis buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Codexis positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Codexis' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Codexis' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
4.01
Target Price
7.71
Hype Value
2.96
Market Value
2.8
Naive Value
2.56
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Codexis given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Codexis. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Codexis, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Codexis Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Codexis Stock please use our How to Invest in Codexis guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Codexis and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Codexis. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.

Execute Codexis Buy or Sell Advice

The Codexis recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Codexis. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Codexis or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Codexis' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell CodexisBuy Codexis
Strong Sell

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

About AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Codexis has a Mean Deviation of 4.42, Semi Deviation of 5.13, Standard Deviation of 6.93, Variance of 48.0, Downside Variance of 31.9 and Semi Variance of 26.31
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Codexis. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Codexis is not overpriced, please confirm all Codexis fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, debt to equity, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and price to earnings to growth . Please also double-check Codexis price to earning to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Codexis Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Codexis had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 70.14 M. Net Loss for the year was (76.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 20.46 M.
Codexis currently holds about 90.11 M in cash with (52.64 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.38.
Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Assenagon Asset Management S.A. Has 4.44 Million Stock Holdings in Codexis, Inc. - MarketBeat

Codexis Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Codexis' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Codexis' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Codexis daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Codexis price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Codexis returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Codexis.
Mean Return
0.27
Value At Risk
-9.7
Potential Upside
10.81
Standard Deviation
6.93
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Codexis historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Codexis Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Codexis is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Codexis backward and forwards among themselves. Codexis' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Codexis' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
1.5 M
State Street Corporation2023-12-31
1.5 M
Assenagon Asset Management Sa2023-12-31
1.5 M
Federated Hermes Inc2023-12-31
1.3 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2023-12-31
1.2 M
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2023-12-31
934.8 K
Paradigm Capital Management, Inc.2023-12-31
900 K
Gsa Capital Partners Llp2023-12-31
837 K
Acadian Asset Management Llc2023-12-31
782.1 K
Nantahala Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
9.2 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
7.2 M
Note, although Codexis' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Codexis Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory217K(593K)(196K)(869K)(656K)(623.2K)
Change In Cash37.7M58.6M(31.9M)(2.9M)(48.9M)(46.4M)
Free Cash Flow(16.3M)(20.2M)(28.1M)3.0M(57.1M)(54.2M)
Depreciation4.6M4.6M5.9M10.3M9.9M6.9M
Other Non Cash Items525K55K(19K)(1.5M)29.9M31.4M
Capital Expenditures3.7M3.7M13.8M8.3M4.4M5.0M
Net Income(11.9M)(24.0M)(21.3M)(33.6M)(76.2M)(72.4M)
End Period Cash Flow92.2M150.8M118.9M116.0M65.6M60.6M
Investments62K(2M)(7.6M)(13.6M)(5.9M)(5.6M)
Change Receivables960K2.5M(8.7M)(9.2M)(8.2M)(7.8M)
Change To Netincome7.5M7.8M8.7M13.1M15.0M8.3M

Codexis Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Codexis or Life Sciences Tools & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Codexis' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Codexis stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite4.85
σ
Overall volatility
7.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Codexis Volatility Alert

Codexis is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Codexis' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Codexis' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Codexis Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Codexis' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Codexis' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Codexis and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Codexis or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Codexis' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Codexis by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Codexis to competition
FundamentalsCodexisPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.66-0.31
Return On Asset-0.18-0.14
Profit Margin(1.09) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.01 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation147.76 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding70.3 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.22 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions82.79 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.38 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(16.02) X28.72 X
Price To Book2.34 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.88 X11.42 X
Revenue70.14 M9.43 B
Gross Profit20.46 M27.38 B
EBITDA(44.88 M)3.9 B
Net Income(76.24 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents90.11 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.38 X5.01 X
Total Debt22.36 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.29 %48.70 %
Current Ratio4.84 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.24 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(52.64 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio3.22 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.12) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(1.16) X4.89 X
Target Price6.57
Number Of Employees17418.84 K
Beta2.03-0.15
Market Capitalization196.85 M19.03 B
Total Asset136.56 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(497.53 M)9.33 B
Working Capital57.64 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 35714 shares by John Nicols of Codexis at 1.97 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Codexis Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Codexis . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Codexis Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Codexis? Buying financial instruments such as Codexis Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total47.7M43.6M22.4M17.7M
Total Assets246.4M250.4M136.6M124.1M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Codexis in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Consumption Thematic Idea Now

Consumption
Consumption Theme
Companies that deliver final goods such as cars or clothing for consumption by consumers. The Consumption theme has 18 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumption Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Codexis is a strong investment it is important to analyze Codexis' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Codexis' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Codexis Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Codexis Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Codexis Stock please use our How to Invest in Codexis guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.

Complementary Tools for Codexis Stock analysis

When running Codexis' price analysis, check to measure Codexis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Codexis is operating at the current time. Most of Codexis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Codexis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Codexis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Codexis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Codexis' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Codexis. If investors know Codexis will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Codexis listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.12)
Revenue Per Share
1.03
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.13)
Return On Assets
(0.18)
Return On Equity
(0.66)
The market value of Codexis is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Codexis that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Codexis' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Codexis' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Codexis' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Codexis' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Codexis' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Codexis is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Codexis' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.