Citizens Financial Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CFG Stock  USD 33.00  0.14  0.42%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Citizens Financial Group is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Citizens Financial buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CFG positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Citizens Financial's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Citizens Financial's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
32.43
Target Price
31.68
Hype Value
32.97
Market Value
33
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Citizens Financial Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Citizens Financial. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Citizens Financial Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Citizens Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Citizens and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Citizens Financial Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Citizens Financial Buy or Sell Advice

The Citizens recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Citizens Financial Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Citizens Financial Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Citizens Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Citizens FinancialBuy Citizens Financial
Strong Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Citizens Financial Group has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0136, Jensen Alpha of (0.06), Total Risk Alpha of (0.16), Sortino Ratio of (0.02) and Treynor Ratio of 0.008
Our advice module can be used to complement Citizens Financial investment recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the company's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Citizens Financial is not overpriced, please confirm all Citizens Financial fundamentals, including its price to book, cash and equivalents, short ratio, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and debt to equity . Given that Citizens Financial has a number of shares shorted of 18.07 M, we suggest you to validate Citizens Financial Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Citizens Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Citizens Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: Badger Meter to Post Q1 Earnings Key Factors to Note

Citizens Financial Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Citizens Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Citizens Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Citizens Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Citizens Financial Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Citizens Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Citizens Financial.
Mean Return
0.02
Value At Risk
-3.37
Potential Upside
2.87
Standard Deviation
1.99
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Citizens Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Citizens Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Citizens Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Citizens Financial Group backward and forwards among themselves. Citizens Financial's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Citizens Financial's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
First Trust Advisors L.p.2023-12-31
7.3 M
Lsv Asset Management2023-12-31
6.5 M
Wellington Management Company Llp2023-12-31
5.8 M
Royal Bank Of Canada2023-09-30
5.5 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2023-09-30
5.4 M
Northern Trust Corp2023-09-30
4.8 M
Apg All Pensions Group2023-12-31
M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
3.8 M
Aqr Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
3.7 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
55.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-09-30
55.1 M
Note, although Citizens Financial's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Citizens Financial Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(688M)9.3B(3.6B)1.4B1.1B567.8M
Free Cash Flow1.3B(7M)2.2B4.0B2.8B1.9B
Depreciation633M578M625M565M478M554.7M
Other Non Cash Items(307M)1.6B663M2.2B757M595.8M
Capital Expenditures366M118M124M126M172M237.0M
Net Income1.8B1.1B2.3B2.1B1.6B1.1B
End Period Cash Flow3.4B12.7B9.2B10.5B11.6B6.3B
Dividends Paid682M770M783M892M(928M)(881.6M)
Investments(3.5B)(6.0B)(8.8B)(11.4B)5.2B5.5B
Net Borrowings(2.9B)(5.7B)(1.5B)4.8B4.3B4.6B
Change To Netincome1.8B1.5B293M1.9B1.7B1.3B

Citizens Financial Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Citizens Financial or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Citizens Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Citizens stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.41
σ
Overall volatility
1.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Citizens Financial Volatility Alert

Citizens Financial Group has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.18 and kurtosis of 0.42. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Citizens Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Citizens Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Citizens Financial Implied Volatility

Citizens Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Citizens Financial Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Citizens Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Citizens Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Citizens Financial's options are near their expiration.

Citizens Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Citizens Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Citizens Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Citizens Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Citizens Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Citizens Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Citizens Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Citizens Financial to competition
FundamentalsCitizens FinancialPeer Average
Return On Equity0.067-0.31
Return On Asset0.0072-0.14
Profit Margin0.21 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.11 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation21.26 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding458.4 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.65 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions97.33 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted18.07 M4.71 M
Price To Earning11.73 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.68 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.02 X11.42 X
Revenue8.22 B9.43 B
Gross Profit7.55 B27.38 B
EBITDA8.2 M3.9 B
Net Income1.61 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents9.77 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share19.71 X5.01 X
Total Debt13.97 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity6.04 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share47.87 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations2.96 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.96 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.13 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.26 X4.89 X
Target Price38.66
Number Of Employees17.57 K18.84 K
Beta1.35-0.15
Market Capitalization15.19 B19.03 B
Total Asset221.96 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings9.82 B9.33 B
Annual Yield0.05 %
Five Year Return3.60 %
Note: Acquisition by Wendy Watson of 432 shares of Citizens Financial subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Citizens Financial Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Citizens . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Citizens Financial Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Citizens Financial Group? Buying financial instruments such as Citizens Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total7.0B15.9B14.0B12.2B
Total Assets188.4B226.7B222.0B180.5B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Citizens Financial in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Sovereign ETFs
Sovereign ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Sovereign ETFs theme has 17 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Sovereign ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Citizens Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Citizens Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Citizens Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Citizens Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Citizens Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Citizens Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Citizens Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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When running Citizens Financial's price analysis, check to measure Citizens Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Citizens Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Citizens Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Citizens Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Citizens Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Citizens Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Citizens Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Citizens Financial. If investors know Citizens will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Citizens Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.73)
Dividend Share
1.68
Earnings Share
3.13
Revenue Per Share
15.864
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.11)
The market value of Citizens Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Citizens that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Citizens Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Citizens Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Citizens Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Citizens Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Citizens Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Citizens Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Citizens Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.