Canopy Growth Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CGC Stock  USD 8.97  0.06  0.66%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Canopy Growth Corp is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Canopy Growth buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CGC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Canopy Growth's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Canopy Growth's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
4.54
Target Price
1.34
Hype Value
8.19
Market Value
8.97
Naive Value
7.38
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Canopy Growth Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Canopy Growth. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Canopy Growth Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Canopy Growth Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Canopy and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Canopy Growth Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Canopy Growth Buy or Sell Advice

The Canopy recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Canopy Growth Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Canopy Growth Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Canopy Growth's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Canopy GrowthBuy Canopy Growth
Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Above AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Canopy Growth Corp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0965, Jensen Alpha of 1.44, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0239, Sortino Ratio of 0.2477 and Treynor Ratio of 0.5031
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Canopy Growth Corp. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Canopy Growth is not overpriced, please confirm all Canopy Growth Corp fundamentals, including its revenue, cash and equivalents, and the relationship between the price to book and ebitda . Given that Canopy Growth Corp has a price to earning of (20.08) X, we suggest you to validate Canopy Growth Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Canopy Growth Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Canopy Growth Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Canopy Growth Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Canopy Growth Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 402.9 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (3.31 B) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (81.94 M).
Canopy Growth Corp has about 1.23 B in cash with (557.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.94.
Canopy Growth Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Minister MacAulay announces appointment of new Chief Commissioner of the Canadian Grain Commission

Canopy Growth Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Canopy Growth's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Canopy Growth's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Canopy Growth daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Canopy Growth Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Canopy Growth returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Canopy Growth.
Mean Return
1.75
Value At Risk
-10.51
Potential Upside
20.65
Standard Deviation
12.53
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Canopy Growth historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Canopy Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Canopy Growth is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Canopy Growth Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Canopy Growth's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Canopy Growth's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Aequim Alternative Investments Lp2023-12-31
70 K
Royal Bank Of Canada2023-12-31
51.8 K
Td Asset Management Inc2023-12-31
51.7 K
Commonwealth Equity Services Inc2023-12-31
50.8 K
Scotia Capital Inc2023-12-31
49.1 K
Lpl Financial Corp2023-12-31
46.9 K
Group One Trading, Lp2023-12-31
46.1 K
Advisorshares Investments, Llc2023-12-31
36.9 K
Penserra Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
36.3 K
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2023-09-30
5.8 M
Lord, Abbett & Co Llc2023-12-31
562.6 K
Note, although Canopy Growth's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Canopy Growth Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash2.2B(1.2B)(148.5M)(378.6M)(99.0M)3.5M
Free Cash Flow(1.5B)(639.9M)(593.9M)(568.1M)(511.3M)(536.9M)
Capital Expenditures682.7M721.9M174.1M48.1M10.6M10.7M
Net Income(670.1M)(1.4B)(1.7B)(320.5M)(3.3B)(9.4M)
End Period Cash Flow2.5B1.3B1.2B776.0M677.0M2.0M
Other Non Cash Items494.9M1.0B(543.9M)2.6B3.0B3.1B
Depreciation46.9M125.0M127.1M114.4M84.5M344.8K
Change To Inventory(144.9M)(177.1M)17.2M173.2M55.6M(3.4M)
Net Borrowings595.3M(100.2M)877.5M(50.8M)2.1M2.0M
Change To Netincome384.9M627.5M1.2B(523.6M)3.7M3.5M

Canopy Growth Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Canopy Growth or Pharmaceuticals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Canopy Growth's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Canopy stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
1.44
β
Beta against NYSE Composite3.46
σ
Overall volatility
12.81
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Canopy Growth Volatility Alert

Canopy Growth Corp is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Canopy Growth's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Canopy Growth's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Canopy Growth Implied Volatility

Canopy Growth's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Canopy Growth Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Canopy Growth's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Canopy Growth stock will not fluctuate a lot when Canopy Growth's options are near their expiration.

Canopy Growth Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Canopy Growth's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Canopy Growth's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Canopy Growth and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Canopy Growth or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Canopy Growth's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Canopy Growth by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Canopy Growth to competition
FundamentalsCanopy GrowthPeer Average
Return On Equity-1.22-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0889-0.14
Operating Margin(0.32) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.22 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding91.11 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.20 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions4.86 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted11.5 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(20.08) X28.72 X
Price To Book1.79 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.97 X11.42 X
Revenue402.9 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(81.94 M)27.38 B
EBITDA1.75 B3.9 B
Net Income(3.31 B)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.23 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.94 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.31 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.95 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.94 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share6.57 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(557.55 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio0.71 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(15.50) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.11) X4.89 X
Target Price4.4
Number Of Employees1.62 K18.84 K
Beta2.03-0.15
Market Capitalization822.76 M19.03 B
Total Asset2.44 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(9.67 B)9.33 B
Working Capital273.41 M1.48 B
Current Asset1.21 B9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Kruh Willy of 6673 shares of Canopy Growth subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Canopy Growth Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Canopy . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Canopy Growth Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Canopy Growth Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Canopy Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2020 2021 2022 2024 (projected)
Total Stockholder Equity3.5B3.6B758.4M20.6M
Total Current Liabilities284.3M212.9M803.8M2.6M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Canopy Growth in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Recreation Thematic Idea Now

Recreation
Recreation Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Recreation theme has 34 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Recreation Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Canopy Growth Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Canopy Growth's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Canopy Growth Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Canopy Growth Corp Stock:
Check out Canopy Growth Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Canopy Growth Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Canopy Growth's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

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Is Canopy Growth's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Canopy Growth. If investors know Canopy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Canopy Growth listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(15.50)
Revenue Per Share
5.589
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
Return On Assets
(0.09)
Return On Equity
(1.22)
The market value of Canopy Growth Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Canopy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Canopy Growth's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Canopy Growth's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Canopy Growth's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Canopy Growth's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Canopy Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Canopy Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Canopy Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.