Capstone Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CGRN
 Stock
  

USD 1.66  0.01  0.60%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Capstone Green Energy is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Capstone Green buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CGRN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Capstone Green's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Capstone Green's buy-and-hold perspective. Continue to Capstone Green Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Capstone and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Capstone Green Energy.

Execute Capstone Green Buy or Sell Advice

The Capstone recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Capstone Green Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Capstone Green Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Capstone Green's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Capstone GreenBuy Capstone Green
Hold

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Capstone Green Energy has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.15), Jensen Alpha of (0.55), Total Risk Alpha of (0.65) and Treynor Ratio of (0.31)
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Capstone Green Energy. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Capstone Green is not overpriced, please confirm all Capstone Green Energy fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, and the relationship between the price to sales and cash flow from operations . Please also double-check Capstone Green Energy shares owned by institutions to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Capstone Green Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Capstone Green generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Capstone Green may become a speculative penny stock
Capstone Green has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 69.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (20.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.33 M.
Capstone Green Energy currently holds about 16.91 M in cash with (27.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.1.
Capstone Green has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures

Capstone Green Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Capstone Green's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Capstone Green's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Capstone Green stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Capstone Green Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Capstone Green returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Capstone Green.
Mean Return-0.43Value At Risk-7.88
Potential Upside6.59Standard Deviation4.23
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Capstone Green historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Capstone Green Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(1.75 M)(3.36 M)(4.21 M)(3.21 M)(9.92 M)(10.19 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion1.17 M1.26 M2.49 M1.83 M2.57 M2.23 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(297 K)10.32 M(14.66 M)34.47 M(26.97 M)(27.68 M)
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares13.58 M11.1 M9.96 M15.9 M11.27 M12.46 M
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities(3.46 M)20.4 M(613 K)20.14 M(685 K)(703.03 K)
Net Cash Flow from Financing10.1 M31.38 M9.25 M35.97 M10.45 M10.72 M
Net Cash Flow from Investing(1.75 M)(3.36 M)(4.21 M)(3.21 M)(9.92 M)(10.19 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations(8.64 M)(17.7 M)(19.7 M)1.7 M(27.5 M)(29.67 M)
Share Based Compensation586 K907 K913 K937 K1.25 M1.25 M

Capstone Green Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Capstone Green or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Capstone Green's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Capstone stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.55
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.44
σ
Overall volatility
4.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Capstone Green Volatility Alert

Capstone Green Energy exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.09 and kurtosis of 0.15. However, we advise investors to further study Capstone Green Energy technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Capstone Green's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Capstone Green's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Capstone Green Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Capstone Green's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Capstone Green's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Capstone Green and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Capstone Green or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Capstone Green's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Capstone Green by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Capstone Green to competition
FundamentalsCapstone GreenPeer Average
Return On Equity(1.66) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(0.07) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(0.25) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.17) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation75.17 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding18.33 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders2.75 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions21.15 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted231.65 K4.71 M
Price to Book5.34 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.40 X11.42 X
Revenue69.64 M9.43 B
Gross Profit9.33 M27.38 B
EBITDA(12.62 M)3.9 B
Net Income(20.21 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents16.91 M2.7 B
Cash per Share1.10 X5.01 X
Total Debt56.76 M5.32 B
Current Ratio1.80 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.33 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(27.5 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio3.88 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.29) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth(0.17) X4.89 X
Target Price13.0
Number of Employees13318.84 K
Beta1.83-0.15
Market Capitalization30.62 M19.03 B
Total Asset100.77 M29.47 B
Net Asset100.77 M
   Payment of 6085 shares by Jamison Darren of Capstone Green subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Capstone Green Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Capstone . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Capstone Green Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Capstone Green Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Capstone Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables16.24 M20.59 M24.66 M20.75 M
Inventories21.46 M11.83 M18.46 M20.22 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Capstone Green in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Hybrid Mix Thematic Idea Now

Hybrid Mix
Hybrid Mix Theme
Funds or Etfs that are made of portfolios of stocks, bonds, or cash instruments with different maturity horizons and characteristics. The Hybrid Mix theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Hybrid Mix Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Continue to Capstone Green Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

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Is Capstone Green's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capstone Green. If investors know Capstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Capstone Green listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
30.6 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.21
Return On Assets
(0.07) 
Return On Equity
(1.66) 
The market value of Capstone Green Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Capstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Capstone Green's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Capstone Green's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Capstone Green's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Capstone Green's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Capstone Green's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Capstone Green value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capstone Green's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.