China Merchants Bank Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CIHKY Stock  USD 20.84  0.66  3.27%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding China Merchants Bank is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides China Merchants buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CIHKY positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of China Merchants' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting China Merchants' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
21.55
Hype Value
20.84
Market Value
20.84
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell China Merchants Bank given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards China Merchants. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for China Merchants Bank, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out China Merchants Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as China and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards China Merchants Bank. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.

Execute China Merchants Buy or Sell Advice

The China recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on China Merchants Bank. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in China Merchants Bank or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute China Merchants' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell China MerchantsBuy China Merchants
Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon China Merchants Bank has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0884, Jensen Alpha of 0.2443, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1255, Sortino Ratio of 0.1233 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2492
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on China Merchants. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure China Merchants is not overpriced, please confirm all China Merchants Bank fundamentals, including its total debt, and the relationship between the revenue and beta . Given that China Merchants Bank has a price to book of 1.07 X, we suggest you to validate China Merchants Bank market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

China Merchants Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of China Merchants' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of China Merchants' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of China Merchants daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use China Merchants Bank price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of China Merchants returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for China Merchants.
Mean Return
0.31
Value At Risk
-3.47
Potential Upside
5.72
Standard Deviation
2.40
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of China Merchants historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

China Merchants Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to China Merchants or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that China Merchants' price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a China pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.24
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.20
σ
Overall volatility
2.43
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

China Merchants Volatility Alert

China Merchants Bank currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.11 and Jensen Alpha of 0.24. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure China Merchants' pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact China Merchants' pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

China Merchants Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing China Merchants' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze China Merchants' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between China Merchants and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as China Merchants or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of China Merchants' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Merchants by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare China Merchants to competition
FundamentalsChina MerchantsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.15-0.31
Return On Asset0.0144-0.14
Profit Margin1.09 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin1.30 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation550.74 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding5.04 B571.82 M
Price To Earning6.23 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.07 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.48 X11.42 X
Revenue327.22 B9.43 B
Gross Profit126.55 B27.38 B
EBITDA275.81 B3.9 B
Net Income120.83 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents693.17 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share137.43 X5.01 X
Total Debt826.7 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share176.87 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations182.05 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share3.79 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.49 X4.89 X
Number Of Employees4818.84 K
Beta1.0-0.15
Market Capitalization146.93 B19.03 B
Total Asset9.25 T29.47 B
Retained Earnings296.72 B9.33 B
Working Capital(3.38 T)1.48 B
Current Asset1.06 T9.34 B
Current Liabilities4.43 T7.9 B
Annual Yield0.04 %
Five Year Return2.91 %
Net Asset9.25 T

China Merchants Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as China . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About China Merchants Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell China Merchants Bank? Buying financial instruments such as China Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having China Merchants in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Exotic Funds Thematic Idea Now

Exotic Funds
Exotic Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs with high minimum investment requirement that manage portfolios of alternative investments such as hedge funds, options, futures, real estate or commodities. The Exotic Funds theme has 48 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Exotic Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out China Merchants Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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When running China Merchants' price analysis, check to measure China Merchants' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Merchants is operating at the current time. Most of China Merchants' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Merchants' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Merchants' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Merchants to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between China Merchants' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if China Merchants is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, China Merchants' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.