Comtech Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

Stocks . USA . 
Stock . Comtech Telecommunications Corp
CMTL Stock  USD 12.19  0.33  2.64%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Comtech Telecommunications Corp is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Comtech Telecommunicatio buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CMTL positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Comtech Telecommunicatio's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Comtech Telecommunicatio's buy-and-hold perspective. Check out Comtech Telecommunicatio Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Comtech Stock please use our How to buy in Comtech Stock guide.We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Comtech and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Comtech Telecommunications Corp.

Execute Comtech Telecommunicatio Buy or Sell Advice

The Comtech recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Comtech Telecommunications Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Comtech Telecommunications Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Comtech Telecommunicatio's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Comtech TelecommunicatioBuy Comtech Telecommunicatio
Strong Hold

Volatility

Not too volatile
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Hype Condition

Under hyped
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Current Valuation

Undervalued
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Odds of Distress

Below Average
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Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the market
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Analyst Consensus

Hold
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Financial Strenth (F Score)

Healthy
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Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
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Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely Manipulator
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For the selected time horizon Comtech Telecommunications Corp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0121, Jensen Alpha of 0.0723, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1391, Sortino Ratio of 0.0117 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0043
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Comtech Telecommunicatio and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Comtech Telecommunicatio is not overpriced, please confirm all Comtech Telecommunicatio fundamentals, including its price to earning, debt to equity, market capitalization, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and earnings per share . Given that Comtech Telecommunicatio has a price to book of 0.80 X, we suggest you to validate Comtech Telecommunications Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Comtech Telecommunicatio Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Comtech Telecommunicatio has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 486.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 180.94 M.
Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 17th of February 2023 Comtech Telecommunicatio paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Comtech Awarded 29 Million for Blended Communications Technologies and Location Services

Comtech Telecommunicatio Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Comtech Telecommunicatio's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Comtech Telecommunicatio's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Comtech Telecommunicatio stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Comtech Telecommunications Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Comtech Telecommunicatio returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Comtech Telecommunicatio.
Mean Return0.0172Value At Risk-3.91
Potential Upside4.98Standard Deviation3.25
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Comtech Telecommunicatio historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Comtech Telecommunicatio Cash Flow Accounts

201820192020202120222023 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(8.79 M)(7.22 M)(16.04 M)(19.62 M)(17.66 M)(18.12 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion11.93 M10.56 M9.38 M10.31 M11.86 M12.1 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents2.09 M2.3 M(17.02 M)(9.21 M)(10.59 M)(11.42 M)
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares1.15 M1.32 M809 K734 K844.1 K910.74 K
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities(7.44 M)(16.3 M)51.43 M(71.16 M)(81.83 M)(83.98 M)
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions(9.79 M)(10.02 M)(10.33 M)(11.05 M)(12.71 M)(13.71 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(21.27 M)(30.28 M)39.1 M8.41 M9.68 M10.44 M
Net Cash Flow from Investing(44.67 M)(20.18 M)(15.48 M)(19.62 M)(22.56 M)(24.34 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations68.03 M52.76 M(40.64 M)2 M1.8 M1.84 M
Share Based Compensation11.43 M9.28 M9.98 M15.15 M17.43 M18.8 M
Backtest Comtech Telecommunicatio

Comtech Telecommunicatio Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Comtech Telecommunicatio or Communications Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Comtech Telecommunicatio's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Comtech stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite		0.07
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.68
σ
Overall volatility		3.35
Ir
Information ratio 0.0141

Comtech Telecommunicatio Volatility Alert

Comtech Telecommunications Corp shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Comtech Telecommunications Corp further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Comtech Telecommunicatio future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Comtech Telecommunicatio's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Comtech Telecommunicatio's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Comtech Telecommunicatio Implied Volatility

Comtech Telecommunicatio's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Comtech Telecommunications Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Comtech Telecommunicatio's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Comtech Telecommunicatio stock will not fluctuate a lot when Comtech Telecommunicatio's options are near their expiration.

Comtech Telecommunicatio Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Comtech Telecommunicatio's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Comtech Telecommunicatio's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Comtech Telecommunicatio and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Comtech Telecommunicatio or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Comtech Telecommunicatio's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Comtech Telecommunicatio by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Comtech Telecommunicatio to competition
FundamentalsComtech TelecommunicatioPeer Average
Return On Equity(0.0375) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(0.0023) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(0.041) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.0069) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation638.01 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding27.86 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders4.31 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions77.20 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted272.49 K4.71 M
Price to Earning328.11 X28.72 X
Price to Book0.80 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.71 X11.42 X
Revenue486.24 M9.43 B
Gross Profit180.94 M27.38 B
EBITDA(334 K)3.9 B
Net Income(33.05 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents21.65 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.78 X5.01 X
Total Debt130 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.32 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.36 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share16.01 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations2 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.32 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.01) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth3.80 X4.89 X
Target Price16.8
Number of Employees1.99 K18.84 K
Beta1.72-0.15
Market Capitalization339.66 M19.03 B
Total Asset974.3 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings478.61 M9.33 B
Working Capital119.49 M1.48 B
   Exercise or conversion by Michael Bondi of 429 shares of Comtech Telecom subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

About Comtech Telecommunicatio Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Comtech Telecommunications Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Comtech Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2020 2021 2022 2023 (projected)
Receivables158.11 M123.71 M111.34 M104.4 M
Inventories80.36 M96.32 M86.69 M76.4 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Comtech Telecommunicatio in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Stores
Stores Theme
Companies providing different types of retail and wholesale services. The Stores theme has 39 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Stores Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Comtech Telecommunicatio Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Comtech Stock please use our How to buy in Comtech Stock guide. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

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Is Comtech Telecommunicatio's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Comtech Telecommunicatio. If investors know Comtech will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Comtech Telecommunicatio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.87
Dividend Share
0.4
Earnings Share
(1.01) 
Revenue Per Share
18.877
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.111
The market value of Comtech Telecommunicatio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Comtech that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Comtech Telecommunicatio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Comtech Telecommunicatio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Comtech Telecommunicatio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Comtech Telecommunicatio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Altman
Z Score
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Piotroski
F Score
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Beneish
M Score
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Financial
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Buy or Sell
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Technical
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Comtech Telecommunicatio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Comtech Telecommunicatio value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Comtech Telecommunicatio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
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