ConocoPhillips Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides ConocoPhillips buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ConocoPhillips positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of ConocoPhillips available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from ConocoPhillips buy-and-hold prospective. Check also ConocoPhillips Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Investment Horizon

  

Risk Tolerance

  
Symbol
Execute Advice
ConocoPhillips -- USA Stock  

USD 50.13  0.05  0.0998%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding ConocoPhillips is 'Sell'.
For the selected time horizon ConocoPhillips has a mean deviation of 0.8953, semi deviation of 0.0, standard deviation of 1.26, variance of 1.58, downside variance of 0.0 and semi variance of 0.0
Macroaxis buy, hold, or sell recommendation tool can be used to complement ConocoPhillips buy or sell advice provided by experts. It analyzes the organization potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure ConocoPhillips is not overpriced, please confirm all ConocoPhillips fundamentals including its Current Ratio, Retained Earnings and the relationship between Net Income and Price to Earnings To Growth . Given that ConocoPhillips has Price to Earning of (16.25) times, we suggest you validate ConocoPhillips market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.007898Value At Risk2.02
Potential Upside1.86Standard Deviation1.26
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

ConocoPhillips Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.003978
βBeta against DOW=0.48
σ
Overall volatility
=1.29
 IrInformation ratio =0.04

ConocoPhillips Volatility Alert

ConocoPhillips exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.3 and kurtosis of 0.79. However, we advise investors to further study ConocoPhillips technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare ConocoPhillips to competition
FundamentalsConocoPhillipsPeer Average
Return On Equity(11.33) % (15.17) %
Return On Asset(0.75) % (15.64) %
Profit Margin(14.02) % (5.5) %
Operating Margin(3.74) % (10.91) %
Current Valuation76.15 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding1.2 B1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders0.09 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions71.67 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted31.48 M3.24 M
Price to Earning(16.25) times40.69 times
Price to Book2.06 times14.44 times
Price to Sales2.19 times17.81 times
Revenue28.02 B9.85 B
Gross Profit8.03 B21.75 B
EBITDA7.5 B1.41 B
Net Income(3.93 B)517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents11.8 B3.89 B
Cash per Share9.7 times5.17 times
Total Debt23.47 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity76.9 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio2 times3.3 times
Book Value Per Share24.89 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations6.26 B1.25 B
Short Ratio4 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share(3.17) times2.3 times
Price to Earnings To Growth(3) times1.22 times
Number of Employees14.9 K10.67 K
Beta1.440.34
Market Capitalization61.25 B29.78 B
Total Asset97.48 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings36.41 B38.24 B
Working Capital(467 M)3.58 B
Current Asset8.79 B36.8 B
SellBuy
Sell

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

   Payment of 13815 shares by Matthew Fox of ConocoPhillips subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.0045
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.0471
Mean Deviation0.8953
Coefficient Of Variation(15,893)
Standard Deviation1.26
Variance1.58
Information Ratio(0.037258)
Jensen Alpha(0.003978)
Total Risk Alpha(0.11)
Treynor Ratio0.0371
Maximum Drawdown5.55
Value At Risk(2.02)
Potential Upside1.86
Skewness0.2957
Kurtosis0.7852

Current Valuation

ConocoPhillips Current Valuation Analysis
ConocoPhillips is rated second in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Oil And Gas industry is currently estimated at about 247 Billion. ConocoPhillips totals roughly 76.15 Billion in current valuation claiming about 31% of all equities under Oil And Gas industry.