Americas Car Mart Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CRMT Stock | USD 58.72 1.87 3.29% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Americas Car Mart is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Americas Car buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CRMT positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Americas Car's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Americas Car's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 74.76 | Target Price 92 | Hype Value 58.52 | Market Value 58.72 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Americas Car Mart given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Americas Car. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Americas Car Mart, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Americas |
Execute Americas Car Buy or Sell Advice
The Americas recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Americas Car Mart. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Americas Car Mart or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Americas Car's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Very Weak | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Americas Car Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Americas Car Mart generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Americas Car Mart has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Americas Car Mart currently holds about 4.36 M in cash with (137.97 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.69. | |
| Americas Car Mart has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Signet Jewelers and Americas Car-Mart have been highlighted as Zacks Bull and Bear of the Day - Yahoo Movies Canada |
Americas Car Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Americas Car's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Americas Car's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Americas Car daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Americas Car Mart price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Americas Car returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Americas Car.
| Mean Return | -0.05 | Value At Risk | -5.19 | Potential Upside | 5.04 | Standard Deviation | 3.26 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Americas Car historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Americas Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Americas Car is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Americas Car Mart backward and forwards among themselves. Americas Car's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Americas Car's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 128.8 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 102.8 K | Royce & Associates, Lp | 2023-12-31 | 87.7 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 84.9 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 67.4 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 57.2 K | Franklin Resources Inc | 2023-12-31 | 52.2 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 47.3 K | Ballast Asset Management, Lp | 2023-12-31 | 44 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 996.3 K | Fmr Inc | 2023-12-31 | 774.8 K |
Americas Car Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 53.8M | 5.0M | 50.9M | 130.9M | 150.6M | 158.1M | |
| Change In Cash | 57.8M | (56.7M) | 39.7M | (17.1M) | (15.4M) | (14.7M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 15.5M | (62.8M) | (135.2M) | (160.2M) | (144.2M) | (137.0M) | |
| Depreciation | 3.8M | 3.7M | 4.0M | 5.6M | 6.4M | 6.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 180.4M | 183.0M | 265.3M | 363.8M | 418.4M | 439.3M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 5.4M | 9.0M | 20.9M | 22.2M | 25.6M | 26.8M | |
| Net Income | 51.3M | 104.1M | 93.3M | 20.4M | 23.5M | 22.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 59.6M | 2.9M | 42.6M | 25.4M | 29.3M | 30.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 162.2M | 176.6M | 287.4M | 367.4M | 422.5M | 443.6M | |
| Change Receivables | 750K | (269K) | (1.6M) | (1.2M) | (1.1M) | (1.0M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 61.1M | 11.8M | 218.3M | 192.5M | 221.4M | 232.4M | |
| Investments | (4.6M) | (8.3M) | (1.3M) | (25.3M) | (22.8M) | (21.7M) |
Americas Car Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Americas Car or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Americas Car's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Americas stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Americas Car Volatility Alert
Americas Car Mart exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.29 and kurtosis of 0.04. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Americas Car's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Americas Car's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Americas Car Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Americas Car's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Americas Car's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Americas Car and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Americas Car or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Americas Car's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Americas Car by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Americas Car to competition |
| Fundamentals | Americas Car | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0616 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0098 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.02) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.17 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 6.39 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 10.28 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 94.22 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.1 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 7.00 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.77 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.26 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.41 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 242.37 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 70.07 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 20.43 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 4.36 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.69 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 638.6 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.20 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 16.86 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 73.37 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (137.97 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.33 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (4.67) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.58 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 63.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.26 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.67 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 363.39 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.42 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 685.8 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 612.49 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Douglas Campbell of 2524 shares of Americas Car at 62.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Americas Car Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Americas . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1353.65 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.033149 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 58.3 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 58.44 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.36 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.87 |
About Americas Car Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Americas Car Mart? Buying financial instruments such as Americas Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 502.1M | 638.6M | 734.4M | 771.1M | Total Assets | 1.1B | 1.4B | 1.6B | 1.7B |
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In addition to having Americas Car in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Americas Car Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Americas Stock analysis
When running Americas Car's price analysis, check to measure Americas Car's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Americas Car is operating at the current time. Most of Americas Car's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Americas Car's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Americas Car's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Americas Car to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Americas Car's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Americas Car. If investors know Americas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Americas Car listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.70) | Earnings Share (4.67) | Revenue Per Share 221.88 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) | Return On Assets 0.0098 |
The market value of Americas Car Mart is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Americas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Americas Car's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Americas Car's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Americas Car's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Americas Car's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Americas Car's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Americas Car is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Americas Car's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.