Csg Systems International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CSGS Stock  USD 49.23  0.33  0.67%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding CSG Systems International is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides CSG Systems buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CSGS positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of CSG Systems' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting CSG Systems' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
60.62
Target Price
71.5
Hype Value
49.19
Market Value
49.23
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell CSG Systems International given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards CSG Systems. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for CSG Systems International, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out CSG Systems Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as CSG and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards CSG Systems International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute CSG Systems Buy or Sell Advice

The CSG recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on CSG Systems International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in CSG Systems International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute CSG Systems' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell CSG SystemsBuy CSG Systems
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon CSG Systems International has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0), Jensen Alpha of (0.15), Total Risk Alpha of (0.35) and Treynor Ratio of (0.04)
Our investment recommendation tool can be used to complement CSG Systems trade advice provided by experts. It analyzes the company's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure CSG Systems is not overpriced, please confirm all CSG Systems International fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, cash per share, number of employees, as well as the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that CSG Systems International has a price to earning of 33.55 X, we suggest you to validate CSG Systems International market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself for few more years given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

CSG Systems Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

CSG Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CSG Systems has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 28th of March 2024 CSG Systems paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: New Strong Buy Stocks for March 12th - Yahoo Movies UK

CSG Systems Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of CSG Systems' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of CSG Systems' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of CSG Systems daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use CSG Systems International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of CSG Systems returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for CSG Systems.
Mean Return
-0.04
Value At Risk
-3.59
Potential Upside
2.10
Standard Deviation
2.43
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of CSG Systems historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

CSG Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as CSG Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CSG Systems International backward and forwards among themselves. CSG Systems' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase CSG Systems' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
William Blair Investment Management, Llc2023-12-31
614 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
600.2 K
Palisade Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
532.7 K
Bahl & Gaynor Inc.2023-12-31
508.7 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
416 K
Royal Bank Of Canada2023-12-31
406.7 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
375.1 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-12-31
374.2 K
Value Holdings Management Co. Llc2023-12-31
336.2 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
5.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
3.8 M
Note, although CSG Systems' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

CSG Systems Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash17.3M32.2M37.2M(2.9M)35.9M37.7M
Free Cash Flow113.8M143.6M113.7M26.6M103.9M89.6M
Depreciation67.1M66.9M72.8M77.0M69.3M49.5M
Other Non Cash Items2.9M13.9M10.3M39.1M(100K)(95K)
Dividends Paid29.1M31.1M32.6M33.5M33.9M44.6M
Capital Expenditures37.3M29.4M26.6M37.0M28.0M28.3M
Net Income82.8M58.7M72.3M44.1M66.2M53.8M
End Period Cash Flow156.5M188.7M391.9M389.0M186.3M155.3M
Investments(2.1M)(25.4M)23.5M(9.0M)(27.8M)(26.4M)
Change Receivables(4.0M)14.7M(10.7M)(51.0M)(45.9M)(43.6M)
Net Borrowings(7.5M)(10.3M)21.6M25.2M29.0M30.4M
Change To Netincome19.9M35.1M31.1M38.7M44.6M23.6M

CSG Systems Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to CSG Systems or IT Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that CSG Systems' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a CSG stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.15
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.31
σ
Overall volatility
2.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

CSG Systems Volatility Alert

CSG Systems International exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 3.51 and kurtosis of 22.72. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure CSG Systems' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact CSG Systems' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

CSG Systems Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing CSG Systems' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze CSG Systems' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between CSG Systems and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as CSG Systems or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of CSG Systems' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CSG Systems by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare CSG Systems to competition
FundamentalsCSG SystemsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.21-0.31
Return On Asset0.063-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.11 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.79 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding29.79 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.98 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions96.02 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.52 M4.71 M
Price To Earning33.55 X28.72 X
Price To Book5.25 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.23 X11.42 X
Revenue1.17 B9.43 B
Gross Profit524.58 M27.38 B
EBITDA123.88 M3.9 B
Net Income66.25 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents135.04 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.38 X5.01 X
Total Debt592.8 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.24 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.04 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share9.66 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations131.9 M971.22 M
Short Ratio13.31 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.20 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.23 X4.89 X
Target Price66.44
Number Of Employees6 K18.84 K
Beta0.82-0.15
Market Capitalization1.46 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.44 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings968.13 M9.33 B
Working Capital301.39 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 16504 shares by Brian Shepherd of CSG Systems at 53.96 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

CSG Systems Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as CSG . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About CSG Systems Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell CSG Systems International? Buying financial instruments such as CSG Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total468.1M487.2M592.8M296.9M
Total Assets1.4B1.3B1.4B837.5M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having CSG Systems in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Heavy Metals Thematic Idea Now

Heavy Metals
Heavy Metals Theme
Companies involved in mining, production, and distribution of various industrial metals and minerals. The Heavy Metals theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Heavy Metals Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether CSG Systems International is a strong investment it is important to analyze CSG Systems' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CSG Systems' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CSG Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out CSG Systems Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the CSG Systems International information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other CSG Systems' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

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When running CSG Systems' price analysis, check to measure CSG Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CSG Systems is operating at the current time. Most of CSG Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CSG Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CSG Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CSG Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CSG Systems' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CSG Systems. If investors know CSG will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CSG Systems listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.33)
Dividend Share
1.12
Earnings Share
2.2
Revenue Per Share
39.056
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.026
The market value of CSG Systems International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CSG that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CSG Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CSG Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CSG Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CSG Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CSG Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CSG Systems is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CSG Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.