Csx Corporation Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CSX Stock | USD 34.34 0.05 0.15% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding CSX Corporation is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides CSX buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CSX positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of CSX's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting CSX's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 35.86 | Target Price 36.38 | Hype Value 34.39 | Market Value 34.34 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell CSX Corporation given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards CSX. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for CSX Corporation, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
CSX |
Execute CSX Buy or Sell Advice
The CSX recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on CSX Corporation. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in CSX Corporation or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute CSX's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
CSX Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| CSX Corporation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CSX Corporation is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of March 2024 CSX paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
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CSX Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of CSX's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of CSX's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of CSX daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use CSX Corporation price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of CSX returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for CSX.
| Mean Return | -0.0063 | Value At Risk | -1.5 | Potential Upside | 1.70 | Standard Deviation | 0.93 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of CSX historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
CSX Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as CSX is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CSX Corporation backward and forwards among themselves. CSX's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase CSX's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Lazard Asset Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 25.1 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2023-12-31 | 23.4 M | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2023-12-31 | 23 M | Fisher Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 22.3 M | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 21.8 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 20.6 M | Capital Research Global Investors | 2023-12-31 | 20 M | Fmr Inc | 2023-12-31 | 18.6 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 18.1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 175 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 142.6 M |
CSX Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 100M | 2.2B | (890M) | (281M) | (605M) | (574.8M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 3.2B | 2.6B | 3.3B | 3.5B | 3.3B | 3.4B | |
| Depreciation | 1.3B | 1.4B | 1.4B | 1.5B | 1.6B | 834.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 139M | (30M) | 185M | (255M) | 3.2B | 3.3B | |
| Dividends Paid | 763M | 797M | 839M | 852M | (882M) | (837.9M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.7B | 1.6B | 1.8B | 2.1B | 2.3B | 1.8B | |
| Net Income | 3.3B | 2.8B | 3.8B | 4.2B | 3.7B | 3.9B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 958M | 3.1B | 2.2B | 2.0B | 1.4B | 823.8M | |
| Change Receivables | 45M | 83M | (141M) | (101M) | (90.9M) | (86.4M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 1.5B | 255M | (426M) | 1.8B | 2.1B | 2.2B | |
| Change To Netincome | 53M | 113M | (102M) | (138M) | (124.2M) | (130.4M) | |
| Investments | (730M) | 998M | (70M) | (2.1B) | (2.0B) | (1.9B) |
CSX Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to CSX or Ground Transportation sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that CSX's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a CSX stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.90 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
CSX Volatility Alert
CSX Corporation exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.05 and kurtosis of -0.15. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure CSX's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact CSX's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.CSX Implied Volatility
CSX's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CSX Corporation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CSX's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CSX stock will not fluctuate a lot when CSX's options are near their expiration.
CSX Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing CSX's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze CSX's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between CSX and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as CSX or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of CSX's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CSX by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare CSX to competition |
| Fundamentals | CSX | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.29 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.081 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.25 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.37 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 87.79 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.96 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.21 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 78.03 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 25.09 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 17.03 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 5.71 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.72 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 14.66 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 7.39 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 7.17 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 3.71 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.4 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.12 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 19.09 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.40 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.72 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 6.12 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 5.55 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.32 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.85 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.10 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 39.98 | |
| Number Of Employees | 23 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.17 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 67.32 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 42.97 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 9.79 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 160 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Kevin Boone of 83775 shares of CSX subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
CSX Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as CSX . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 161292.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.12) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 34.41 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 34.38 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.09) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.05) |
About CSX Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell CSX Corporation? Buying financial instruments such as CSX Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 16.4B | 18.0B | 19.1B | 20.0B | Total Assets | 40.5B | 41.9B | 43.0B | 27.0B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having CSX in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Shipbuilding Railroad Equipment Thematic Idea Now
Shipbuilding Railroad Equipment
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Shipbuilding Railroad Equipment theme has 16 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Shipbuilding Railroad Equipment Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out CSX Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Complementary Tools for CSX Stock analysis
When running CSX's price analysis, check to measure CSX's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CSX is operating at the current time. Most of CSX's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CSX's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CSX's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CSX to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CSX's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CSX. If investors know CSX will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CSX listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.1) | Dividend Share 0.33 | Earnings Share 1.85 | Revenue Per Share 7.287 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of CSX Corporation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CSX that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CSX's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CSX's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CSX's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CSX's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CSX's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CSX is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CSX's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.