Country Pink Sheet Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

Pink Sheets . USA . 
Stock . Country Garden Holdings
CTRYF Stock  USD 0.20  0.00  0.00%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Country Garden Holdings is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Country Garden buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CTRYF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Country Garden's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Country Garden's buy-and-hold perspective. Check out Country Garden Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Country and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Country Garden Holdings.

Execute Country Garden Buy or Sell Advice

The Country recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Country Garden Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Country Garden Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Country Garden's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Country GardenBuy Country Garden
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very Weak
Details

Volatility

Out of control
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Hype Condition

Stale
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Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
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Odds of Distress

Very Small
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Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closely
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Analyst Consensus

Not Available
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Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Inapplicable
Details
For the selected time horizon Country Garden Holdings has a Mean Deviation of 1.66, Standard Deviation of 3.97 and Variance of 15.78
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Country Garden Holdings. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Country Garden is not overpriced, please confirm all Country Garden Holdings fundamentals, including its gross profit, earnings per share, annual yield, as well as the relationship between the total debt and total asset . As Country Garden Holdings appears to be a penny stock we also recommend to validate its price to book numbers.

Country Garden Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Country Garden generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Country Garden has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Country Garden has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Country Garden is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Country Garden Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Country Garden's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Country Garden's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Country Garden stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Country Garden Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Country Garden returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Country Garden.
Mean Return-0.67Value At Risk-6.06
Potential Upside0.00Standard Deviation3.97
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Country Garden historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Backtest Country Garden Holdings

Country Garden Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Country Garden or Real Estate sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Country Garden's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Country pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite		-0.62
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.88
σ
Overall volatility		3.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Country Garden Volatility Alert

Country Garden Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -4.55 and kurtosis of 26.63. However, we advise investors to further study Country Garden Holdings technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Country Garden Holdings is a potential penny stock. Although Country Garden may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny pink sheets are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Country Garden Holdings. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Country instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Country Garden Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Country Garden's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Country Garden's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Country Garden and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Country Garden or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Country Garden's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Country Garden by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Country Garden to competition
FundamentalsCountry GardenPeer Average
Return On Equity0.07 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset0.0121 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin0.0276 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation32.25 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding27.64 B571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders53.00 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions12.25 %39.21 %
Price to Earning1.39 X28.72 X
Price to Book0.36 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.0225 X11.42 X
Revenue523.06 B9.43 B
Gross Profit92.78 B27.38 B
EBITDA71.34 B3.9 B
Net Income26.8 B570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents134.6 B2.7 B
Cash per Share5.88 X5.01 X
Total Debt238.9 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.97 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.25 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share8.63 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations10.86 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.08 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.13 X4.89 X
Number of Employees78.53 K18.84 K
Beta2.05-0.15
Market Capitalization9.4 B19.03 B
Total Asset1948.37 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings39.6 B9.33 B
Working Capital86.9 B1.48 B
Current Asset333.74 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities246.84 B7.9 B
Annual Yield0.09 %

About Country Garden Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Country Garden Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Country Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Aluminum Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Country Garden Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Country Garden's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Country Garden is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Country Garden's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party. Check out Country Garden Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Macroaxis helps investors of all levels and skills to maximize the upside of all their holdings and minimize the risk associated with market volatility, economic swings, and company-specific events. View terms and conditions
 
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