Country Garden Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CTRYF Stock  USD 0.08  0.02  20.00%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Country Garden Holdings is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Country Garden buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CTRYF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Country Garden's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Country Garden's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
0.0768
Hype Value
0.08
Market Value
0.08
Naive Value
0.0437
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Country Garden Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Country Garden. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Country Garden Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Country Garden Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Country and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Country Garden Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.

Execute Country Garden Buy or Sell Advice

The Country recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Country Garden Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Country Garden Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Country Garden's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Country GardenBuy Country Garden
Strong Sell

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Country Garden Holdings has a Mean Deviation of 6.6, Semi Deviation of 7.27, Standard Deviation of 17.12, Variance of 293.16, Downside Variance of 392.34 and Semi Variance of 52.88
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Country Garden Holdings. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Country Garden is not overpriced, please confirm all Country Garden Holdings fundamentals, including its gross profit, earnings per share, annual yield, as well as the relationship between the total debt and total asset . As Country Garden Holdings appears to be a penny stock we also recommend to validate its price to book numbers.

Country Garden Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Country Garden is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Country Garden has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Country Garden appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Country Garden Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Country Garden's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Country Garden's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Country Garden daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Country Garden Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Country Garden returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Country Garden.
Mean Return
1.21
Value At Risk
-12.5
Potential Upside
14.29
Standard Deviation
17.12
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Country Garden historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Country Garden Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Country Garden or Real Estate sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Country Garden's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Country pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
1.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.43
σ
Overall volatility
17.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Country Garden Volatility Alert

Country Garden Holdings is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Country Garden Holdings is a penny stock. Although Country Garden may be in fact a good investment, many penny pink sheets are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Country Garden Holdings. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on Country instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Country Garden Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Country Garden's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Country Garden's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Country Garden and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Country Garden or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Country Garden's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Country Garden by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Country Garden to competition
FundamentalsCountry GardenPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0705-0.31
Return On Asset0.0121-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation32.25 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding27.64 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders53.00 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions12.25 %39.21 %
Price To Earning1.39 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.36 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.02 X11.42 X
Revenue523.06 B9.43 B
Gross Profit92.78 B27.38 B
EBITDA71.34 B3.9 B
Net Income26.8 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents134.6 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share5.88 X5.01 X
Total Debt238.9 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.97 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.25 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share8.63 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations10.86 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.08 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.13 X4.89 X
Number Of Employees78.53 K18.84 K
Beta2.05-0.15
Market Capitalization9.4 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.95 T29.47 B
Retained Earnings39.6 B9.33 B
Working Capital86.9 B1.48 B
Current Asset333.74 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities246.84 B7.9 B
Annual Yield0.09 %

Country Garden Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Country . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Country Garden Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Country Garden Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Country Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Country Garden in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Healthcare Funds Thematic Idea Now

Healthcare Funds
Healthcare Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs investing in medical and healthcare goods or services as well as hospital management or maintenance organizations. The Healthcare Funds theme has 36 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Healthcare Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
Check out Country Garden Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

Complementary Tools for Country Pink Sheet analysis

When running Country Garden's price analysis, check to measure Country Garden's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Country Garden is operating at the current time. Most of Country Garden's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Country Garden's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Country Garden's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Country Garden to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Please note, there is a significant difference between Country Garden's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Country Garden is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Country Garden's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.