Vale SA (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CVLC Stock  EUR 11.55  0.03  0.26%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vale SA is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Vale SA buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Vale SA positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Vale SA's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Vale SA's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
11.17
Hype Value
11.55
Market Value
11.55
Naive Value
11.31
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Vale SA given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Vale SA. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Vale SA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Vale SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Vale and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Vale SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Execute Vale SA Buy or Sell Advice

The Vale recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vale SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vale SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vale SA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Vale SABuy Vale SA
Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Vale SA has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0326, Jensen Alpha of 0.0624, Total Risk Alpha of (0.55), Sortino Ratio of (0) and Treynor Ratio of 0.2544
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Vale SA and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Vale SA is not overpriced, please validate all Vale SA fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, shares owned by institutions, price to book, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by insiders and price to earning .

Vale SA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Vale SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Vale SA Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Vale SA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vale SA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vale SA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vale SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vale SA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vale SA.
Mean Return
0.13
Value At Risk
-2.08
Potential Upside
2.32
Standard Deviation
3.00
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vale SA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Vale SA Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vale SA or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vale SA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vale stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.48
σ
Overall volatility
3.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.0008

Vale SA Volatility Alert

Vale SA has relatively low volatility with skewness of 5.99 and kurtosis of 43.53. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vale SA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vale SA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Vale SA Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Vale SA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vale SA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vale SA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vale SA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vale SA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vale SA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Vale SA to competition
FundamentalsVale SAPeer Average
Return On Equity0.46-0.31
Return On Asset0.12-0.14
Profit Margin0.43 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.40 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation84.4 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding4.62 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders10.89 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions42.02 %39.21 %
Price To Earning18.06 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.34 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.31 X11.42 X
Revenue43.84 B9.43 B
Gross Profit19.81 B27.38 B
EBITDA23.85 B3.9 B
Net Income18.79 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents5.47 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.07 X5.01 X
Total Debt14.95 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity53.40 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.21 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share8.00 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations11.48 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share3.44 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth10.47 X4.89 X
Number Of Employees1018.84 K
Beta0.76-0.15
Market Capitalization76.21 B19.03 B
Total Asset86.89 B29.47 B
Z Score3.08.72
Annual Yield0.04 %
Net Asset86.89 B
Last Dividend Paid0.73

Vale SA Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vale . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Vale SA Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Vale SA? Buying financial instruments such as Vale Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Vale SA in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Housewares Theme
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Housewares Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Vale SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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When running Vale SA's price analysis, check to measure Vale SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vale SA is operating at the current time. Most of Vale SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vale SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vale SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vale SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Vale SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vale SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vale SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.