Delek Logistics Partners Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| DKL Stock | USD 37.68 0.33 0.88% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Delek Logistics Partners is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Delek Logistics buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding DKL positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Delek Logistics' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Delek Logistics' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 42.33 | Target Price 45 | Hype Value 37.34 | Market Value 37.68 | Naive Value 35.37 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Delek Logistics Partners given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Delek Logistics. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Delek Logistics Partners, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Delek |
Execute Delek Logistics Buy or Sell Advice
The Delek recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Delek Logistics Partners. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Delek Logistics Partners or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Delek Logistics' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Delek Logistics Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Delek Logistics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has 1.72 B in debt. Delek Logistics Partners has a current ratio of 0.38, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Delek Logistics until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Delek Logistics' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Delek Logistics Partners sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Delek to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Delek Logistics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 8th of March 2024 Delek Logistics paid $ 0.245 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Delek Logistics announces 200 million senior notes offering |
Delek Logistics Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Delek Logistics' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Delek Logistics' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Delek Logistics daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Delek Logistics Partners price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Delek Logistics returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Delek Logistics.
| Mean Return | -0.21 | Value At Risk | -2.42 | Potential Upside | 1.93 | Standard Deviation | 2.00 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Delek Logistics historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Delek Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Delek Logistics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Delek Logistics Partners backward and forwards among themselves. Delek Logistics' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Delek Logistics' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 55.2 K | Ubs Group Ag | 2023-12-31 | 49.8 K | Wells Fargo & Co | 2023-12-31 | 48 K | Blackstone Inc | 2023-12-31 | 41 K | Raymond James & Associates | 2023-12-31 | 31.4 K | Bramshill Investments Llc | 2023-12-31 | 27.1 K | Pinnacle Holdings, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 24.6 K | Lpl Financial Corp | 2023-12-31 | 24.1 K | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2023-12-31 | 18.8 K | Alps Advisors Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.5 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 1.1 M |
Delek Logistics Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (7.7M) | 11.4M | 55K | 2.2M | (131K) | (124.5K) | |
| Change In Cash | 1.0M | (1.3M) | 49K | 3.7M | (4.2M) | (4.0M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 121.3M | 179.7M | 251.1M | 45.5M | 134.0M | 84.6M | |
| Depreciation | 33.9M | 42.9M | 50.0M | 70.2M | 100.3M | 105.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (833K) | 7.5M | 8.9M | 12.3M | 37.3M | 39.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 9.1M | 13.3M | 24.0M | 146.7M | 100.3M | 105.4M | |
| Net Income | 96.7M | 159.3M | 164.8M | 159.1M | 126.2M | 91.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 5.5M | 4.2M | 4.3M | 8.0M | 3.8M | 4.1M | |
| Change Receivables | 9.4M | (17.1M) | 67.5M | (67.4M) | (60.7M) | (57.7M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 131.7M | 158.2M | (90.8M) | 752.8M | 865.7M | 909.0M | |
| Dividends Paid | 82.0M | 156.8M | 161.7M | 171.1M | (180.0M) | (171.0M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (2.4M) | 3.6M | 5.9M | (6.0M) | (6.9M) | (6.6M) | |
| Investments | (138.5M) | (9.4M) | 7.4M | (770.4M) | (121.0M) | (127.0M) |
Delek Logistics Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Delek Logistics or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Delek Logistics' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Delek stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Delek Logistics Volatility Alert
Delek Logistics Partners exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -3.35 and kurtosis of 19.66. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Delek Logistics' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Delek Logistics' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Delek Logistics Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Delek Logistics' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Delek Logistics' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Delek Logistics and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Delek Logistics or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Delek Logistics' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Delek Logistics by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Delek Logistics to competition |
| Fundamentals | Delek Logistics | Peer Average |
| Return On Asset | 0.095 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.12 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.26 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.35 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 47.2 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 73.58 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 10.91 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 27.61 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 12.25 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.76 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.02 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 309.61 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 352.83 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 126.24 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 7.97 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.32 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.72 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | (35.06) % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.39 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (3.71) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 234.32 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.21 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.89 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.77 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 44.5 | |
| Beta | 2.08 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.76 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.64 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 485.59 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (14.32 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 47.04 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 20.69 M | 7.9 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.11 % |
Note: Disposition of 195 shares by Omalley Todd of Delek Logistics at 51.79 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Delek Logistics Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Delek . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Delek Logistics Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Delek Logistics Partners? Buying financial instruments such as Delek Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Current Liabilities | 81.8M | 25.8M | 17.3M | 15.9M | Total Assets | 935.1M | 1.7B | 1.6B | 1.7B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Delek Logistics in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Delek Logistics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Complementary Tools for Delek Stock analysis
When running Delek Logistics' price analysis, check to measure Delek Logistics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Delek Logistics is operating at the current time. Most of Delek Logistics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Delek Logistics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Delek Logistics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Delek Logistics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Delek Logistics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Delek Logistics. If investors know Delek will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Delek Logistics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | Dividend Share 4.16 | Earnings Share 2.89 | Revenue Per Share 23.413 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of Delek Logistics Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Delek that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Delek Logistics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Delek Logistics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Delek Logistics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Delek Logistics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Delek Logistics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Delek Logistics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Delek Logistics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.