Drdgold Limited Adr Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

DRD Stock  USD 7.91  0.64  7.49%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your bold attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding DRDGOLD Limited ADR is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides DRDGOLD Limited buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding DRD positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of DRDGOLD Limited's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting DRDGOLD Limited's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
10.15
Target Price
17
Hype Value
7.9
Market Value
7.91
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell DRDGOLD Limited ADR given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards DRDGOLD Limited. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for DRDGOLD Limited ADR, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out DRDGOLD Limited Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as DRDGOLD and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards DRDGOLD Limited ADR. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute DRDGOLD Limited Buy or Sell Advice

The DRDGOLD recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on DRDGOLD Limited ADR. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in DRDGOLD Limited ADR or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute DRDGOLD Limited's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell DRDGOLD LimitedBuy DRDGOLD Limited
Buy

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon DRDGOLD Limited ADR has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0402, Jensen Alpha of (0), Total Risk Alpha of (0.25), Sortino Ratio of 0.0251 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0775
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on DRDGOLD Limited ADR. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available today. To make sure DRDGOLD Limited is not overpriced, please confirm all DRDGOLD Limited ADR fundamentals, including its current valuation, price to sales, cash per share, as well as the relationship between the number of shares shorted and ebitda . Given that DRDGOLD Limited ADR has a price to book of 2.18 X, we urge you to verify DRDGOLD Limited ADR market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself for few more years given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

DRDGOLD Limited Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

DRDGOLD Limited ADR had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
DRDGOLD Limited ADR is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
DRDGOLD Limited ADR has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
On 21st of March 2024 DRDGOLD Limited paid $ 0.1058 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: SG Americas Securities LLC Decreases Holdings in DRDGOLD Limited - Defense World

DRDGOLD Limited Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of DRDGOLD Limited's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of DRDGOLD Limited's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of DRDGOLD Limited daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use DRDGOLD Limited ADR price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of DRDGOLD Limited returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for DRDGOLD Limited.
Mean Return
0.16
Value At Risk
-3.99
Potential Upside
5.23
Standard Deviation
3.11
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of DRDGOLD Limited historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

DRDGOLD Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as DRDGOLD Limited is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading DRDGOLD Limited ADR backward and forwards among themselves. DRDGOLD Limited's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase DRDGOLD Limited's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Guggenheim Capital Llc2023-12-31
104.1 K
Ajovista Llc2023-12-31
99.6 K
Hrt Financial Llc2023-12-31
95.3 K
Bessemer Group Inc2023-12-31
87.2 K
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2023-12-31
84.6 K
Walleye Trading Advisors, Llc2023-12-31
73.9 K
Trexquant Investment Lp2023-12-31
72.6 K
Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., Llc2023-12-31
68.9 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2023-12-31
64.2 K
Van Eck Associates Corporation2023-12-31
6.1 M
Millennium Management Llc2023-12-31
999.1 K
Note, although DRDGOLD Limited's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

DRDGOLD Limited Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(26.4M)(44.7M)(18.9M)(13.6M)(12.2M)(11.6M)
Change In Cash1.4B464.9M345.6M(54.2M)(62.3M)(59.2M)
Free Cash Flow947.8M1.2B913.7M510.4M587.0M616.3M
Depreciation270.8M252.5M267.6M217.5M250.1M171.5M
Other Non Cash Items(596.8M)(419.5M)(324.4M)(327.1M)(294.4M)(279.7M)
Capital Expenditures181.1M395.7M584.1M1.1B1.3B1.4B
Net Income978.9M1.4B1.1B1.3B1.5B1.5B
End Period Cash Flow1.7B2.2B2.5B2.5B2.8B3.0B
Investments(202.5M)(446.6M)(28.9M)(1.2B)(1.1B)(1.0B)
Net Borrowings(11.4M)(11.6M)(19.7M)(16.9M)(15.2M)(14.4M)
Change To Netincome263.1M75.9M(1.5M)112.5M129.4M135.8M

DRDGOLD Limited Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to DRDGOLD Limited or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that DRDGOLD Limited's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a DRDGOLD stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.0035
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.97
σ
Overall volatility
3.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

DRDGOLD Limited Volatility Alert

DRDGOLD Limited ADR currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.02 and Jensen Alpha of 0.0. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure DRDGOLD Limited's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact DRDGOLD Limited's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

DRDGOLD Limited Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing DRDGOLD Limited's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze DRDGOLD Limited's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between DRDGOLD Limited and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as DRDGOLD Limited or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of DRDGOLD Limited's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DRDGOLD Limited by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare DRDGOLD Limited to competition
FundamentalsDRDGOLD LimitedPeer Average
Return On Equity0.22-0.31
Return On Asset0.12-0.14
Profit Margin0.23 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.22 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.32 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding86.15 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions15.93 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.28 M4.71 M
Price To Earning6.60 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.18 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.13 X11.42 X
Revenue5.5 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.59 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.88 B3.9 B
Net Income1.28 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.47 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share29.44 X5.01 X
Total Debt39.7 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.01 %48.70 %
Current Ratio4.92 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share73.14 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.66 B971.22 M
Short Ratio3.20 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.77 X3.12 X
Target Price13.25
Number Of Employees92718.84 K
Beta1.35-0.15
Market Capitalization737.68 M19.03 B
Total Asset8.15 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings86.2 M9.33 B
Working Capital2.5 B1.48 B
Current Asset57.55 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities31.92 M7.9 B

DRDGOLD Limited Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as DRDGOLD . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About DRDGOLD Limited Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell DRDGOLD Limited ADR? Buying financial instruments such as DRDGOLD Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total52.3M39.7M35.7M33.9M
Total Assets7.1B8.2B9.4B9.8B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having DRDGOLD Limited in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Investor Favorites
Investor Favorites Theme
Macroaxis most traded equities with largest long positions over the last 2 years. The Investor Favorites theme has 21 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Investor Favorites Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether DRDGOLD Limited ADR is a strong investment it is important to analyze DRDGOLD Limited's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact DRDGOLD Limited's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding DRDGOLD Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out DRDGOLD Limited Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

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Is DRDGOLD Limited's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DRDGOLD Limited. If investors know DRDGOLD will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about DRDGOLD Limited listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.095
Dividend Share
8.5
Earnings Share
0.77
Revenue Per Share
67.565
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.121
The market value of DRDGOLD Limited ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DRDGOLD that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of DRDGOLD Limited's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is DRDGOLD Limited's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because DRDGOLD Limited's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect DRDGOLD Limited's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between DRDGOLD Limited's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DRDGOLD Limited is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DRDGOLD Limited's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.