Durect Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| DRRX Stock | USD 0.84 0.03 3.70% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Durect is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Durect buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Durect positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Durect's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Durect's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 0.79 | Hype Value 0.84 | Market Value 0.84 | Naive Value 0.99 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Durect given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Durect. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Durect, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Durect |
Execute Durect Buy or Sell Advice
The Durect recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Durect. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Durect or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Durect's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Abnormally volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves totally opposite to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Durect Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Durect had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Durect has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Durect has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (27.62 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.48 M. | |
| Durect currently holds about 51.89 M in cash with (34.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.23. |
Durect Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Durect's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Durect's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Durect daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Durect price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Durect returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Durect.
| Mean Return | 0.30 | Value At Risk | -9.7 | Potential Upside | 12.82 | Standard Deviation | 6.77 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Durect historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Durect Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Durect or Pharmaceuticals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Durect's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Durect stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -1.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Durect Volatility Alert
Durect is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Durect is a potential penny stock. Although Durect may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Durect. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Durect instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.Durect Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Durect's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Durect's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Durect and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Durect or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Durect's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Durect by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Durect to competition |
| Fundamentals | Durect | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -1.39 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.44 | -0.14 |
| Operating Margin | (2.34) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 16.05 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 31.04 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.97 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 22.55 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.03 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (3.09) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.62 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.78 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 8.55 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 16.48 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (36.74 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (27.62 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 51.89 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.23 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 20.75 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.68 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 4.44 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.49 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (34.41 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.61 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.20) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.46) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 6.75 | |
| Number Of Employees | 58 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.88 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 24.98 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 45.19 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (589.01 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 7.66 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 38.32 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Judith Robertson of 5500 shares of Durect at 5.29 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Durect Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Durect . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Durect Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Durect? Buying financial instruments such as Durect Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Durect in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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New or established large and mid-sized companies that are involved in the social media industry, including entities that provide web-based or mobile media applications and services across across large segment of population in multiple geographical areas. The Social Domain theme has 39 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Social Domain Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Durect Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Durect Stock please use our How to Invest in Durect guide.You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
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When running Durect's price analysis, check to measure Durect's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Durect is operating at the current time. Most of Durect's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Durect's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Durect's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Durect to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Durect's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Durect. If investors know Durect will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Durect listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Durect is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Durect that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Durect's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Durect's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Durect's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Durect's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Durect's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Durect is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Durect's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.