Emcor Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
EME Stock | USD 328.63 7.43 2.21% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding EMCOR Group is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides EMCOR buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding EMCOR positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of EMCOR's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting EMCOR's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 303.93 | Target Price 237.5 | Hype Value 334.71 | Market Value 328.63 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell EMCOR Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards EMCOR. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for EMCOR Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
EMCOR |
Execute EMCOR Buy or Sell Advice
The EMCOR recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on EMCOR Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in EMCOR Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute EMCOR's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Strong | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
EMCOR Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: EMCOR Group Set to Announce Earnings on Thursday - MarketBeat |
EMCOR Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of EMCOR's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of EMCOR's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of EMCOR daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use EMCOR Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of EMCOR returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for EMCOR.
Mean Return | 0.66 | Value At Risk | -1.75 | Potential Upside | 2.81 | Standard Deviation | 1.83 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of EMCOR historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
EMCOR Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as EMCOR is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EMCOR Group backward and forwards among themselves. EMCOR's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase EMCOR's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Burgundy Asset Management Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 679.9 K | Lord, Abbett & Co Llc | 2023-12-31 | 663.6 K | Congress Asset Management Company, Llp | 2023-12-31 | 624.5 K | Wells Fargo & Co | 2023-12-31 | 592.6 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 573.6 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 453.9 K | Timessquare Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 426.1 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 420.9 K | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 388.8 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5.4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 4.9 M |
EMCOR Cash Flow Accounts
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Change To Inventory | 4.3M | (12.7M) | (116K) | (31.5M) | (23.4M) | (22.3M) | |
Change In Cash | (6.3M) | 543.6M | (81.0M) | (365.5M) | 333.3M | 349.9M | |
Free Cash Flow | 307.3M | 758.4M | 282.6M | 448.6M | 821.3M | 862.3M | |
Depreciation | 92.1M | 106.7M | 112.4M | 108.6M | 119.0M | 124.9M | |
Other Non Cash Items | 4.3M | 237.3M | 10.4M | (302K) | 8.8M | 8.3M | |
Capital Expenditures | 48.4M | 48.0M | 36.2M | 49.3M | 78.4M | 82.3M | |
Net Income | 325.1M | 132.9M | 383.7M | 406.1M | 633.0M | 664.6M | |
End Period Cash Flow | 359.9M | 903.6M | 822.6M | 457.1M | 790.4M | 829.9M | |
Dividends Paid | 18.0M | 17.7M | 28.2M | 27.2M | (32.7M) | (31.0M) | |
Investments | (1.4M) | (94.9M) | (1.4M) | (140.8M) | (151.9M) | (144.3M) | |
Change Receivables | (136.0M) | 139.4M | (246.9M) | (340.1M) | (306.1M) | (290.8M) | |
Net Borrowings | (16.7M) | 5.2M | (41.5M) | (13.9M) | (12.5M) | (11.9M) | |
Change To Netincome | 4.4M | 199.5M | 18.0M | 9.3M | 8.3M | 7.9M |
EMCOR Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to EMCOR or Construction & Engineering sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that EMCOR's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a EMCOR stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.60 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.32 |
EMCOR Volatility Alert
EMCOR Group has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.07 and kurtosis of 9.76. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure EMCOR's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact EMCOR's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.EMCOR Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing EMCOR's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze EMCOR's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between EMCOR and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as EMCOR or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of EMCOR's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EMCOR by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare EMCOR to competition |
Fundamentals | EMCOR | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | 0.28 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | 0.0903 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | 0.05 % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | 0.08 % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 15.37 B | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 47.06 M | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.46 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 94.82 % | 39.21 % |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 358.45 K | 4.71 M |
Price To Earning | 59.08 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 6.71 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 1.32 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 12.58 B | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 1.6 B | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | 997.07 M | 3.9 B |
Net Income | 632.99 M | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 456.44 M | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 5.32 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 339.97 M | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 0.28 % | 48.70 % |
Current Ratio | 1.30 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 52.50 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | 899.65 M | 971.22 M |
Short Ratio | 0.67 X | 4.00 X |
Earnings Per Share | 13.30 X | 3.12 X |
Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.32 X | 4.89 X |
Target Price | 362.5 | |
Number Of Employees | 38.3 K | 18.84 K |
Beta | 1.08 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 15.82 B | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 6.61 B | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | 3.81 B | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | 928.62 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Maxine Mauricio of 3000 shares of EMCOR subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
EMCOR Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as EMCOR . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution | 21298.79 | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | (0.71) | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
Day Median Price | 332.62 | |||
Day Typical Price | 331.29 | |||
Price Action Indicator | (7.71) | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | (7.43) |
About EMCOR Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell EMCOR Group? Buying financial instruments such as EMCOR Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 540.3M | 535.2M | 340.0M | 263.4M | Total Assets | 5.4B | 5.5B | 6.6B | 6.9B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having EMCOR in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out EMCOR Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Complementary Tools for EMCOR Stock analysis
When running EMCOR's price analysis, check to measure EMCOR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EMCOR is operating at the current time. Most of EMCOR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EMCOR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EMCOR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EMCOR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is EMCOR's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EMCOR. If investors know EMCOR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about EMCOR listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.696 | Dividend Share 0.72 | Earnings Share 13.3 | Revenue Per Share 265.694 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.166 |
The market value of EMCOR Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EMCOR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EMCOR's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EMCOR's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EMCOR's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EMCOR's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EMCOR's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if EMCOR is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EMCOR's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.