Expedia Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

EXPE Stock  USD 138.99  2.37  1.73%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Expedia Group is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Expedia buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Expedia positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Expedia's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Expedia's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
134.46
Target Price
126.72
Hype Value
139.23
Market Value
138.99
Naive Value
135.47
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Expedia Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Expedia. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Expedia Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Expedia Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Expedia and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Expedia Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute Expedia Buy or Sell Advice

The Expedia recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Expedia Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Expedia Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Expedia's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ExpediaBuy Expedia
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Expedia Group has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), Jensen Alpha of (0.25), Total Risk Alpha of (0.72) and Treynor Ratio of (0.14)
Macroaxis provides advice on Expedia Group to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Expedia Group. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Expedia is not overpriced, please confirm all Expedia Group fundamentals, including its price to book, total debt, target price, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and cash flow from operations . Given that Expedia Group has a price to earning of 34.18 X, we urge you to verify Expedia Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Expedia Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Expedia Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company currently holds 6.57 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.76, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Expedia Group has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Expedia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Expedia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Expedia Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Expedia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Expedia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Expedia Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 97.0% of Expedia shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Disposition of 10704 shares by Gorin Ariane of Expedia subject to Rule 16b-3

Expedia Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Expedia's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Expedia's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Expedia daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Expedia Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Expedia returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Expedia.
Mean Return
-0.12
Value At Risk
-2.23
Potential Upside
2.51
Standard Deviation
2.62
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Expedia historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Expedia Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Expedia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Expedia Group backward and forwards among themselves. Expedia's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Expedia's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Norges Bank2023-12-31
2.2 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
1.9 M
Lyrical Asset Management Lp2023-12-31
1.8 M
Alkeon Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
1.8 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
1.7 M
Whale Rock Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
1.6 M
Fisher Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
1.4 M
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
1.4 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
1.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
15.5 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
9.9 M
Note, although Expedia's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Expedia Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Capital Expenditures1.2B797M673M662M846M888.3M
Net Income572M(2.7B)15M343M797M836.9M
End Period Cash Flow4.1B4.1B5.8B5.9B5.7B5.9B
Change In Cash1.4B41M1.7B46M(190M)(180.5M)
Free Cash Flow1.6B(4.6B)3.1B2.8B1.8B1.9B
Depreciation910M1.1B814M792M807M546.7M
Other Non Cash Items(56M)1.0B26M600M340M246.6M
Change To Inventory(29M)(193M)(188M)(224M)(201.6M)(191.5M)
Investments(494M)476M(178M)145M(701M)(666.0M)
Net Borrowings831M3.2B258M(2.2B)(1.9B)(1.8B)
Dividends Paid175.8M186M195M123M67M0.0
Change To Netincome101M580M247M940M1.1B1.1B

Expedia Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Expedia or Internet & Direct Marketing Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Expedia's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Expedia stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.25
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.94
σ
Overall volatility
2.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Expedia Volatility Alert

Expedia Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -4.73 and kurtosis of 31.99. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Expedia's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Expedia's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Expedia Implied Volatility

Expedia's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Expedia Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Expedia's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Expedia stock will not fluctuate a lot when Expedia's options are near their expiration.

Expedia Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Expedia's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Expedia's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Expedia and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Expedia or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Expedia's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Expedia by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Expedia to competition
FundamentalsExpediaPeer Average
Return On Equity0.21-0.31
Return On Asset0.0424-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation20.94 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding130.76 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.59 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions96.90 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted6.01 M4.71 M
Price To Earning34.18 X28.72 X
Price To Book12.14 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.46 X11.42 X
Revenue12.84 B9.43 B
Gross Profit10.01 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.27 B3.9 B
Net Income797 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents4.64 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share29.71 X5.01 X
Total Debt6.57 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.76 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.83 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share11.19 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations2.69 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.59 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.31 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.43 X4.89 X
Target Price162.84
Number Of Employees17.1 K18.84 K
Beta1.87-0.15
Market Capitalization18.71 B19.03 B
Total Asset21.64 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(632 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(2.55 B)1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 10704 shares by Gorin Ariane of Expedia subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Expedia Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Expedia . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Expedia Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Expedia Group? Buying financial instruments such as Expedia Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2023 2024 (projected)
Other Current Liabilities840M752M855.7M
Total Assets21.5B21.6B11.8B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Expedia in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Precious Metals ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Precious Metals ETFs
Precious Metals ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Precious Metals ETFs theme has 29 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Precious Metals ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Expedia Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Expedia's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Expedia's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Expedia Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Expedia Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Expedia Stock analysis

When running Expedia's price analysis, check to measure Expedia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Expedia is operating at the current time. Most of Expedia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Expedia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Expedia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Expedia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Expedia's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Expedia. If investors know Expedia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Expedia listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.17)
Earnings Share
5.31
Revenue Per Share
88.565
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.103
Return On Assets
0.0424
The market value of Expedia Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Expedia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Expedia's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Expedia's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Expedia's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Expedia's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Expedia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Expedia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Expedia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.