Ford Motor Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

F Stock  USD 11.95  0.19  1.57%   
Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ford Motor is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Ford buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Ford positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Ford's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Osisko Gold Ro's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
11.79
Target Price
13.49
Hype Value
11.95
Market Value
11.95
Naive Value
10.94
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Ford Motor given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Ford. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Ford Motor, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Ford Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ford and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Ford Motor. Also, note that the market value of any Company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Ford Buy or Sell Advice

The Ford recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ford Motor. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ford Motor or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ford's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell FordBuy Ford
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Ford Motor has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0798, Jensen Alpha of 0.0819, Total Risk Alpha of (0.25), Sortino Ratio of 0.0487 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2245
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Ford Motor and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Ford is not overpriced, please confirm all Ford Motor fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, cash flow from operations, and the relationship between the gross profit and debt to equity . Given that Ford Motor has a price to book of 1.13 X, we urge you to verify Ford Motor market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Ford Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Ford Motor has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Acquisition by John Veihmeyer of 2199 shares of Ford subject to Rule 16b-3

Ford Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Ford's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ford's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ford stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ford Motor price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ford returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ford.
Mean Return
0.24
Value At Risk
-2.99
Potential Upside
3.17
Standard Deviation
2.10
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ford historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Ford Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Ford is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ford Motor backward and forwards among themselves. Ford's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Ford's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
27.3 M
Legal & General Group Plc2023-09-30
25.8 M
Amvescap Plc.2023-09-30
24.9 M
Barclays Plc2023-09-30
24.3 M
Gqg Partners Llc2023-12-31
23.9 M
Bank Of America Corp2023-09-30
22.3 M
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2023-12-31
21.5 M
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2023-12-31
20.9 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-09-30
20.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-09-30
339.9 M
Blackrock Inc2023-09-30
287 M
Note, although Ford's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Ford Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(7.6B)(5.7B)(6.2B)(6.9B)(8.2B)(8.9B)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion9.7B8.8B7.3B7.6B7.7B8.8B
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents834M8.2B(5.2B)4.6B(230M)(236.1M)
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares(131M)(164M)(237M)(484M)(335M)(361.4M)
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities(277M)3.1B(23.0B)5.3B8.2B8.8B
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions(2.4B)(596M)(403M)(2.0B)(5.0B)(5.1B)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(3.1B)2.3B(23.5B)2.5B2.6B2.8B
Net Cash Flow from Investing(13.7B)(18.6B)2.7B(4.3B)(17.6B)(19.0B)
Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals(6.1B)(14.7B)9.1B1.8B(8.7B)(9.4B)
Net Cash Flow from Operations17.6B24.3B15.8B6.9B14.9B14.5B
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash45M225M(232M)(414M)(104M)(112.2M)

Ford Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ford or Automobiles sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ford's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ford stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.03
σ
Overall volatility
2.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Ford Volatility Alert

Ford Motor has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.71 and kurtosis of 1.81. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Ford Motor to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ford's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ford's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Ford Implied Volatility

Ford's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ford Motor stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ford's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ford stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ford's options are near their expiration.

Ford Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Ford's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ford's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ford and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ford or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ford's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ford by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Ford to competition
FundamentalsFordPeer Average
Return On Equity0.1-0.31
Return On Asset0.0127-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.02) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation159.18 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding3.9 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.18 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions56.86 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted152.82 M4.71 M
Price To Earning6.14 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.13 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.27 X11.42 X
Revenue176.19 B9.43 B
Gross Profit17.21 B27.38 B
EBITDA5.46 B3.9 B
Net Income4.33 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents25.13 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share7.95 X5.01 X
Total Debt151.11 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity3.08 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.20 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share10.76 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations14.92 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.87 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.08 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.72 X4.89 X
Target Price12.06
Number Of Employees177 K18.84 K
Beta1.64-0.15
Market Capitalization48.24 B19.03 B
Total Asset273.31 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings31.03 B9.33 B
Working Capital19.95 B1.48 B
Note: Exercise or conversion by Wu Shengpo of 80183 shares of Ford subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Ford Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ford . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Ford Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Ford Motor? Buying financial instruments such as Ford Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Receivables43.9B54.4B62.0B66.0B
Inventories12.1B14.1B15.7B16.9B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Ford in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Tobacco Products
Tobacco Products Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Tobacco Products theme has 10 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Tobacco Products Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Ford Motor is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ford's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ford's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ford Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Ford Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Ford Motor information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ford's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

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Is Ford's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ford. If investors know Ford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ford listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.938
Dividend Share
0.6
Earnings Share
1.08
Revenue Per Share
44.07
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.045
The market value of Ford Motor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ford's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ford's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ford's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ford's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ford's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ford is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ford's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.