Ford Motor Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Ford Motor Company buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Ford Motor positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Ford Motor Company available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Ford Motor buy-and-hold prospective. Additionally see Ford Motor Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Investment Horizon

  

Risk Tolerance

  
Symbol
Execute Advice
Ford Motor Company -- USA Stock  

USD 12.12  0.01  0.0824%

Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Ford Motor Company is 'Strong Hold'.
For the selected time horizon Ford Motor Company has a risk adjusted performance of 0.02, jensen alpha of (0.025398), total risk alpha of (0.1), sortino ratio of (0.032253) and treynor ratio of 0.0255
This buy or sell advice tool can be used to cross verify current analyst consensus on Ford Motor and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Ford Motor is not overpriced, please confirm all Ford Motor fundamentals including its Cash per Share, Earnings Per Share and the relationship between EBITDA and Current Ratio . Given that Ford Motor has Price to Earning of 12.64 times, we urge you verify Ford Motor Company market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.034208Value At Risk1.38
Potential Upside1.4Standard Deviation0.93
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares267.9 M3.2 B
Blackrock IncCommon Shares227.5 M2.7 B
Evercore Trust Company NaCommon Shares195.8 M2.3 B
State Street CorpCommon Shares156.4 M1.9 B
Wellington Management Group LlpCommon Shares68.7 M822.9 M
Bank Of America CorpCommon Shares60.7 M726 M
Franklin Resources IncCommon Shares50.7 M607.2 M
Susquehanna International Group LlpPut Options24.5 M292.9 M

Ford Motor Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.03
βBeta against DOW=0.95
σ
Overall volatility
=0.91
 IrInformation ratio =0.03

Ford Motor Volatility Alert

Ford Motor Company has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.03, Maximum Drawdown of 3.37 and kurtosis of -0.66. However, we advice all investors to further analyze Ford Motor Company to make certain all market information is desiminated and is consistent with the current expectations about Ford Motor upside potential.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Ford Motor to competition
FundamentalsFord MotorPeer Average
Return On Equity12.02 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset0.8 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin2.48 % (5.5) %
Operating Margin2.03 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation165.4 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding3.9 B1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders23.97 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions7.61 % 18.37 %
Price to Earning12.64 times40.69 times
Price to Book1.48 times14.44 times
Price to Sales0.31 times17.81 times
Revenue153.6 B9.85 B
Gross Profit16.31 B21.75 B
EBITDA13.99 B1.41 B
Net Income3.8 B517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents28.43 B3.89 B
Cash per Share7.16 times5.17 times
Total Debt146.01 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity451.2 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio1.2 times3.3 times
Book Value Per Share8.12 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations17.85 B1.25 B
Earnings Per Share0.95 times2.3 times
Price to Earnings To Growth(0.8) times1.22 times
Number of Employees199 K10.67 K
Beta1.360.34
Market Capitalization47.71 B29.78 B
Total Asset224.93 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings15.63 B38.24 B
Working Capital(34.84 B)3.58 B
Current Asset43.49 B36.8 B
Current Liabilities78.34 B33.34 B
Five Year Return3.63 %
SellBuy
Strong Hold

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

   Exercise or conversion by Robert Shanks of 30000 shares of Ford Motor subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.02
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.0355
Mean Deviation0.7393
Semi Deviation0.808
Downside Deviation0.8676
Coefficient Of Variation2710.25
Standard Deviation0.9271
Variance0.8596
Information Ratio(0.030181)
Jensen Alpha(0.025398)
Total Risk Alpha(0.1)
Sortino Ratio(0.032253)
Treynor Ratio0.0255
Maximum Drawdown3.37
Value At Risk(1.38)
Potential Upside1.4
Downside Variance0.7527
Semi Variance0.6529
Expected Short fall(0.94)
Skewness0.0029
Kurtosis(0.66)

Current Valuation

Ford Motor Current Valuation Analysis
Ford Motor Company is rated # 2 in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Car Truck And Bus Manufacturers industry is currently estimated at about 515.67 Billion. Ford Motor totals roughly 165.4 Billion in current valuation claiming about 32% of stocks in Car Truck And Bus Manufacturers industry.