First National Bank Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FBAK Stock | USD 198.38 0.78 0.39% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding First National Bank is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides First National buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FBAK positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of First National's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting First National's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 164.89 | Hype Value 197.6 | Market Value 198.38 | Naive Value 197.68 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell First National Bank given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards First National. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for First National Bank, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
First |
Execute First National Buy or Sell Advice
The First recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on First National Bank. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in First National Bank or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute First National's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
First National Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of First National's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of First National's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of First National daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use First National Bank price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of First National returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for First National.
| Mean Return | 0.07 | Value At Risk | -1.66 | Potential Upside | 2.05 | Standard Deviation | 1.29 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of First National historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
First National Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to First National or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that First National's price will be affected by overall otc stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a First otc's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0002 |
First National Volatility Alert
First National Bank has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.02 and kurtosis of 3.99. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure First National's otc stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact First National's otc stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.First National Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing First National's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze First National's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between First National and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as First National or determine the otc stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of First National's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First National by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare First National to competition |
| Fundamentals | First National | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0109 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.38 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.50 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.57 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 3.17 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.87 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 13.33 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.91 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.61 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 170.27 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 156.4 M | 27.38 B |
| Net Income | 58.41 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 531.96 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 167.98 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 748.32 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 122.79 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 82.42 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 18.41 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 25 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.32 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 729.8 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 5.58 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 348.59 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.06 % | |
| Five Year Return | 5.18 % | |
| Net Asset | 5.58 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 12.8 |
First National Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About First National Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell First National Bank? Buying financial instruments such as First OTC Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having First National in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Construction Thematic Idea Now
Construction
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Construction theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Construction Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out First National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the First National Bank information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other First National's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Complementary Tools for First OTC Stock analysis
When running First National's price analysis, check to measure First National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First National is operating at the current time. Most of First National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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