FTI Consulting Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FCN
 Stock
  

USD 172.82  2.26  1.32%   

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding FTI Consulting is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides FTI Consulting buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FCN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of FTI Consulting's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from FTI Consulting's buy-and-hold perspective. Please check FTI Consulting Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as FTI Consulting and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards FTI Consulting.

Execute FTI Consulting Buy or Sell Advice

The FTI Consulting recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on FTI Consulting. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in FTI Consulting or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute FTI Consulting's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell FTI ConsultingBuy FTI Consulting
Hold

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon FTI Consulting has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0873, Jensen Alpha of 0.1426, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0231, Sortino Ratio of 0.0194 and Treynor Ratio of 0.8344
Macroaxis provides advice on FTI Consulting to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on FTI Consulting. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure FTI Consulting is not overpriced, please confirm all FTI Consulting fundamentals, including its net income, short ratio, and the relationship between the price to sales and debt to equity . Given that FTI Consulting has a price to earning of 23.33 X, we urge you to verify FTI Consulting market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself next year given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

FTI Consulting Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

FTI Consulting Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of FTI Consulting's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of FTI Consulting's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of FTI Consulting stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use FTI Consulting price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of FTI Consulting returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for FTI Consulting.
Mean Return0.16Value At Risk-3.01
Potential Upside3.26Standard Deviation2.98
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of FTI Consulting historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

FTI Consulting Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(32 M)(32.27 M)(41.81 M)(34.85 M)(68.67 M)(70.47 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion41.74 M39.7 M38.3 M43.05 M45.09 M43.4 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(26.2 M)122.11 M57.3 M(74.42 M)199.53 M215.28 M
Net Cash Flow Business Acquisitions and Disposals(8.93 M)50.28 M(18.79 M)(25.27 M)(10.43 M)(11.25 M)
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares(168.6 M)(17.26 M)(105.8 M)(353.59 M)(46.13 M)(49.78 M)
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities(229.51 M)(130 M)30 M(99.9 M)(89.91 M)(97.01 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(140.93 M)(117.52 M)(103.31 M)(360.05 M)(61.67 M)(66.54 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(40.64 M)18.74 M(60.61 M)(60.12 M)(79.09 M)(85.34 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations147.62 M230.67 M217.89 M327.07 M355.48 M383.55 M
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash7.75 M(9.79 M)3.33 M18.68 M(15.18 M)(15.58 M)
Share Based Compensation16.03 M15.58 M17.98 M22.9 M23.05 M21.9 M

FTI Consulting Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to FTI Consulting or Professional Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that FTI Consulting's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a FTI Consulting stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.14
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.19
σ
Overall volatility
3.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.0299

FTI Consulting Volatility Alert

FTI Consulting shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect FTI Consulting further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of FTI Consulting future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure FTI Consulting's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact FTI Consulting's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

FTI Consulting Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing FTI Consulting's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze FTI Consulting's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between FTI Consulting and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as FTI Consulting or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of FTI Consulting's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FTI Consulting by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare FTI Consulting to competition
FundamentalsFTI ConsultingPeer Average
Return On Equity0.14 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset0.06 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin0.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.1 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation6.17 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding34.42 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders2.46 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions97.50 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted2.37 M4.71 M
Price to Earning23.33 X28.72 X
Price to Book3.63 X9.51 X
Price to Sales2.03 X11.42 X
Revenue2.78 B9.43 B
Gross Profit860.72 M27.38 B
EBITDA363.33 M3.9 B
Net Income234.97 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents494.49 M2.7 B
Cash per Share9.72 X5.01 X
Total Debt297.16 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.34 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.15 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share48.89 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations355.48 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.39 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share6.34 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.61 X4.89 X
Target Price220.0
Number of Employees7.52 K18.84 K
Beta0.22-0.15
Market Capitalization5.95 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.1 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.26 B9.33 B
Working Capital394.55 M1.48 B
   Payment of 401 shares by Claudio Costamagna of Fti Consulting subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

About FTI Consulting Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell FTI Consulting? Buying financial instruments such as FTI Consulting Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Accounts Payable18.35 M13.12 M16.19 M14.28 M
Receivables728.48 M746.61 M784.38 M648.86 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having FTI Consulting in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Please check FTI Consulting Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the FTI Consulting information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FTI Consulting's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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Is FTI Consulting's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FTI Consulting. If investors know FTI Consulting will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FTI Consulting listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.097
Market Capitalization
5.9 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.11
Return On Assets
0.0583
Return On Equity
0.14
The market value of FTI Consulting is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FTI Consulting that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FTI Consulting's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FTI Consulting's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FTI Consulting's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FTI Consulting's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FTI Consulting's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine FTI Consulting value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FTI Consulting's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.