Farmers National Banc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FMNB Stock | USD 11.97 0.06 0.50% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Farmers National Banc is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Farmers National buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FMNB positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Farmers National's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Farmers National's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 13.26 | Target Price 14 | Hype Value 11.96 | Market Value 11.97 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Farmers National Banc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Farmers National. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Farmers National Banc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Farmers |
Execute Farmers National Buy or Sell Advice
The Farmers recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Farmers National Banc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Farmers National Banc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Farmers National's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Farmers National Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Farmers National generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from jamaica-gleaner.com: Major changes coming for Hanover agri show |
Farmers National Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Farmers National's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Farmers National's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Farmers National daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Farmers National Banc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Farmers National returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Farmers National.
| Mean Return | -0.15 | Value At Risk | -3.25 | Potential Upside | 3.22 | Standard Deviation | 1.79 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Farmers National historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Farmers Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Farmers National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Farmers National Banc backward and forwards among themselves. Farmers National's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Farmers National's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | American Century Companies Inc | 2023-12-31 | 282 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 225.8 K | Schneider Downs Wealth Management Advisors, Lp | 2023-12-31 | 220.2 K | Ing Investment Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 183.5 K | Staley Capital Advisers Inc | 2023-12-31 | 172.3 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 161.9 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 146.9 K | John W. Rosenthal Capital Management, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 143.9 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 135.1 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 3 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 2.1 M |
Farmers National Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 12.8M | 183.9M | (141.8M) | (37.2M) | 28.1M | 29.5M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 37.3M | 46.3M | 53.6M | 78.2M | 58.4M | 61.3M | |
| Depreciation | 2.8M | 3.1M | 3.5M | 4.9M | 7.3M | 7.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 2.3M | 9.3M | 7.0M | 6.3M | (2.2M) | (2.1M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 10.5M | 12.7M | 14.1M | 22.0M | 25.4M | 26.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.5M | 3.7M | 1.4M | 5.5M | 3.9M | 4.1M | |
| Net Income | 35.8M | 41.9M | 51.8M | 60.6M | 49.9M | 52.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 70.8M | 254.6M | 112.8M | 75.6M | 103.7M | 57.0M | |
| Investments | (91.6M) | (141.5M) | (508.9M) | (201.0M) | 77.9M | 81.8M | |
| Net Borrowings | (128.6M) | (97.1M) | 2K | 95M | 85.5M | 89.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.7M | 7.6M | 1.5M | 3.5M | 4.1M | 3.0M |
Farmers National Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Farmers National or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Farmers National's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Farmers stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Farmers National Volatility Alert
Farmers National Banc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.07 and kurtosis of 2.15. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Farmers National's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Farmers National's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Farmers National Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Farmers National's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Farmers National's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Farmers National and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Farmers National or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Farmers National's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Farmers National by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Farmers National to competition |
| Fundamentals | Farmers National | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0109 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.29 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.45 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 800.65 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 37.55 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 4.13 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 39.44 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 559.78 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 8.92 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.12 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.65 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 213.34 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 158.87 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 58.7 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 49.93 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 68.59 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.01 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 443.66 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 10.57 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 10.78 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 62.31 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.87 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.33 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 15.25 | |
| Number Of Employees | 666 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.85 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 451.68 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 5.08 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 236.76 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.06 % | |
| Five Year Return | 2.65 % | |
| Net Asset | 5.08 B |
Note: Purchase by Mark Wenick of 210 shares of Farmers National [view details]
Farmers National Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Farmers . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1587.07 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.19) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 12.04 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 12.02 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.10) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.06) |
About Farmers National Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Farmers National Banc? Buying financial instruments such as Farmers Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 87.8M | 183.2M | 443.7M | 465.8M | Total Assets | 4.1B | 4.1B | 5.1B | 5.3B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Farmers National in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Corona Opportunity
Firms that are involved in some capacity in making products or providing services to the public to buttle the virus directly or indirectly. This also includes some defencive and contrarian stocks and ETFs that are managing to avoid the big market correction coused by coronavirus. The Corona Opportunity theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Corona Opportunity Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Farmers National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Complementary Tools for Farmers Stock analysis
When running Farmers National's price analysis, check to measure Farmers National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Farmers National is operating at the current time. Most of Farmers National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Farmers National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Farmers National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Farmers National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Farmers National's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Farmers National. If investors know Farmers will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Farmers National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share 0.68 | Earnings Share 1.33 | Revenue Per Share 4.561 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.201 | Return On Assets 0.0109 |
The market value of Farmers National Banc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Farmers that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Farmers National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Farmers National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Farmers National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Farmers National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Farmers National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Farmers National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Farmers National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.