Golub Capital Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GBDC -- USA Stock  

USD 18.82  0.05  0.27%

Given the investment horizon of 30 days, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Golub Capital BDC is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Golub Capital buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GBDC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Golub Capital BDC available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from GBDC buy-and-hold prospective. Please also check Golub Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Sell Golub CapitalBuy Golub Capital
Strong Hold

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

For the selected time horizon Golub Capital BDC has a risk adjusted performance of 0.027192, jensen alpha of 0.09, total risk alpha of 0.24, sortino ratio of 0.0 and treynor ratio of 0.16
This buy, hold, or sell suggestion tool can be used to cross verify current analyst consensus on Golub Capital and to analyze the organization potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Golub Capital BDC is not overpriced, please check out all Golub Capital fundamentals including its Price to Book, Net Income and the relationship between Number of Shares Shorted and Revenue . Given that Golub Capital BDC has Number of Shares Shorted of 377.76 K, we strongly advise you confirm Golub Capital BDC market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Golub Capital Thematic Classifications

Financials IdeaFinancials
Banks, insurance companies, or other financial institutions

Golub Capital Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.03Value At Risk0.96
Potential Upside0.64Standard Deviation0.55
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Wells Fargo CompanyCommon Shares1.8 M32.1 M
Schroder Investment Management GroupCommon Shares1.1 M20.1 M
Muzinich Co IncCommon Shares975.5 K17.9 M
Ubs Group AgCommon Shares897.9 K16.4 M
Frontier Investment Mgmt CoCommon Shares871.4 K15.9 M
Clough Capital Partners L PCommon Shares716.3 K13.1 M
Confluence Investment Management LlcCommon Shares670.7 K12.3 M

Golub Capital Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.09
β
Beta against DOW=0.28
σ
Overall volatility
=0.56
Ir
Information ratio =0.39

Golub Capital Volatility Alert

Golub Capital BDC exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.63 and kurtosis of 0.31. However, we advise investors to further study Golub Capital BDC technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Golub Capital to competition

Golub Capital Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsGolub CapitalPeer Average
Return On Equity8.96 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset3.60 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin59.73 % (5.50) %
Operating Margin73.38 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation1.84 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding59.74 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders1.16 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions41.38 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted377.76 K3.24 M
Price to Earning13.21 times40.69 times
Price to Book1.12 times14.44 times
Price to Sales7.78 times17.81 times
Revenue137.76 M9.85 B
Gross Profit106.23 M21.75 B
Net Income82.29 M517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents3.99 M3.89 B
Cash per Share0.07 times5.17 times
Total Debt776.83 M7.36 B
Debt to Equity81.00 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio3.55 times3.30 times
Book Value Per Share16.08 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations62.2 M1.25 B
Short Ratio1.80 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share1.45 times2.30 times
Price to Earnings To Growth1.40 times1.22 times
Number of Employees810.67 K
Beta0.440.34
Market Capitalization1.15 B29.78 B
Total Asset1.76 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings22.77 M38.24 B
Z Score0.6708.73
Five Year Return7.22 %
Last Dividend Paid1.28
   Sale by David Golub of 955896 shares of Golub Capital [view details]

Golub Capital Alerts

Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Golub Capital BDC generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Golub Capital BDC has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
On September 6, 2018 Golub Capital paid $ 0.32 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from reagentsglobalmarket.com: Stock Watch Golub Capital BDC

Latest Analysts View

Golub Capital Current Analysts Recommendations

Target Mean Price19.50
Target Median Price19.50
Target High Price21.00
Recommendation Mean2.30
Number Of Analyst Opinions5
Target Low Price18.00
Please also check Golub Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool. Please also try Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
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