Golub Capital Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GBDC -- USA Stock  

USD 17.90  0.01  0.06%

Given the investment horizon of 30 days, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Golub Capital BDC is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Golub Capital buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GBDC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Golub Capital BDC available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from GBDC buy-and-hold prospective. Please also check Golub Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Golub CapitalBuy Golub Capital
Strong Hold

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon Golub Capital BDC has a risk adjusted performance of 0.0688, jensen alpha of 0.0053, total risk alpha of (0.11), sortino ratio of (0.12) and treynor ratio of 0.1716
Our buy, hold, or sell suggestion tool can be used to cross verify current analyst consensus on Golub Capital and to analyze the organization potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Golub Capital BDC is not overpriced, please check out all Golub Capital fundamentals including its Price to Book, Net Income and the relationship between Number of Shares Shorted and Revenue . Given that Golub Capital BDC has Number of Shares Shorted of 1.77M, we strongly advise you confirm Golub Capital BDC market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Golub Capital Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.08Value At Risk0.86
Potential Upside1.45Standard Deviation0.78
 Return Density 

Golub Capital Greeks

Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.40
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.12

Golub Capital Volatility Alert

Golub Capital BDC exhibits relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.27 and kurtosis of 1.33. However, we advice investors to further investigate Golub Capital BDC to make sure all market statistics is disseminated and is consistent with investors' estimations about Golub Capital upside potential.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Golub Capital to competition

Golub Capital Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsGolub CapitalPeer Average
Return On Equity8.23% (15.17)%
Return On Asset3.72% (15.64)%
Profit Margin50.99% (5.50)%
Operating Margin72.57% (10.91)%
Current Valuation2.06B152.14B
Shares Outstanding60.42M1.43B
Shares Owned by Insiders1.17% 6.91%
Shares Owned by Institutions41.58% 18.37%
Number of Shares Shorted1.77M3.24M
Price to Earning13.57X40.69X
Price to Book1.12X14.44X
Price to Sales6.97X17.81X
Gross Profit152.17M21.75B
Net Income79.09M517.71M
Cash and Equivalents13M3.89B
Cash per Share0.22X5.17X
Total Debt989.71M7.36B
Debt to Equity102.50% 0.72%
Current Ratio1.28X3.30X
Book Value Per Share15.97X13.64X
Cash Flow from Operations(113.02M)1.25B
Short Ratio8.56X2.09X
Earnings Per Share1.32X2.30X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.40X1.22X
Number of Employees810.67K
Market Capitalization1.08B29.78B
Total Asset1.76B126.86B
Retained Earnings22.77M38.24B
Z Score0.6708.73
Five Year Return7.16%
Last Dividend Paid1.28
   Sale by David Golub of 955896 shares of Golub Capital [view details]

Golub Capital Alerts

Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Golub Capital BDC generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Golub Capital BDC has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Golub Capital BDC currently holds about 13M in cash with (113.02M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.22.

Latest Analysts View

Golub Capital Current Analysts Recommendations

Target Median Price18.50
Target Mean Price19.20
Target High Price22.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions5
Target Low Price18.00
Please also check Golub Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool. Please also try Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine historical correlation between any two equity instruments.
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