Global Indemnity Plc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GBLI Stock | USD 31.36 1.14 3.51% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Global Indemnity PLC is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Global Indemnity buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GBLI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Global Indemnity's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Global Indemnity's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 37.13 | Target Price 60 | Hype Value 31.35 | Market Value 31.36 | Naive Value 31.09 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Global Indemnity PLC given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Global Indemnity. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Global Indemnity PLC, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Global |
Execute Global Indemnity Buy or Sell Advice
The Global recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Global Indemnity PLC. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Global Indemnity PLC or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Global Indemnity's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves slightly opposite to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Global Indemnity Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Global Indemnity PLC has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 28th of March 2024 Global Indemnity paid $ 0.35 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Global Indemnity Group 2024 First Quarter Earnings Release Conference Call |
Global Indemnity Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Global Indemnity's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Global Indemnity's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Global Indemnity daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Global Indemnity PLC price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Global Indemnity returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Global Indemnity.
| Mean Return | 0.16 | Value At Risk | -2.19 | Potential Upside | 3.15 | Standard Deviation | 1.72 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Global Indemnity historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Global Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Global Indemnity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global Indemnity PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Global Indemnity's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Global Indemnity's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Bank Of America Corp | 2023-12-31 | 3 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 326 | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 228 | Advisor Group Holdings, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 200 | Goss Wealth Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 93.0 | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2023-12-31 | 82.0 | Cullen/frost Bankers Inc | 2023-12-31 | 0.0 | Wells Fargo & Co | 2023-12-31 | 0.0 | Tower Research Capital Llc | 2023-09-30 | 0.0 | Essex Equity Capital Management Llc | 2023-09-30 | 2.4 M | Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1 M |
Global Indemnity Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Net Income | 70.0M | (21.0M) | 29.4M | (850K) | 25.4M | 20.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 44.3M | 67.4M | 78.3M | 38.8M | 38.0M | 36.1M | |
| Change In Cash | (55.2M) | 23.1M | 10.9M | (39.4M) | (809K) | (849.5K) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 8.3M | 7.0M | 90.8M | 44.2M | 42.9M | 23.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (30.2M) | 31.2M | (35.1M) | 21.0M | (7.0M) | (6.7M) | |
| Depreciation | 7.1M | 7.0M | 10.4M | 8.4M | 6.2M | 5.1M | |
| Dividends Paid | 14.2M | 14.4M | 14.9M | 14.8M | 14.7M | 18.6M | |
| Investments | 24.1M | 25.7M | (105.0M) | (28.9M) | 34.5M | 36.2M | |
| Change Receivables | 4.9M | 12.0M | (53.6M) | 18.7M | 16.8M | 12.1M | |
| Net Borrowings | (6.4M) | 7.8M | (173.6M) | (130M) | (117M) | (111.2M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (19.3M) | 22.6M | (39.6M) | 25.0M | 28.7M | 30.1M |
Global Indemnity Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Global Indemnity or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Global Indemnity's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Global stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.8 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Global Indemnity Volatility Alert
Global Indemnity PLC has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.44 and kurtosis of 5.85. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Global Indemnity's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Global Indemnity's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Global Indemnity Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Global Indemnity's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Global Indemnity's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Global Indemnity and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Global Indemnity or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Global Indemnity's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Global Indemnity by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Global Indemnity to competition |
| Fundamentals | Global Indemnity | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0399 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0126 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.08 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 420.01 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 9.79 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 30.01 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 60.46 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.41 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 41.07 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.68 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.83 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 528.13 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 3.96 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 32.98 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 25.43 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 60.41 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.14 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 12.73 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.03 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.17 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 47.53 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 42.89 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.02 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.83 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (12.44) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 55.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 266 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.47 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 441.31 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.74 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 244.99 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % |
Note: Acquisition by Tolman Gary Charles of 4105 shares of Global Indemnity at 33.83 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Global Indemnity Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Global . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Global Indemnity Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Global Indemnity PLC? Buying financial instruments such as Global Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Total Stockholder Equity | 706.6M | 626.2M | 648.8M | 738.3M | Total Assets | 2.0B | 1.8B | 1.7B | 1.7B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Global Indemnity in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Military Industrial Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Global Indemnity Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
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Is Global Indemnity's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Global Indemnity. If investors know Global will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Global Indemnity listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.789 | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 1.83 | Revenue Per Share 39.004 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.29) |
The market value of Global Indemnity PLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Global that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Global Indemnity's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Global Indemnity's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Global Indemnity's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Global Indemnity's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Indemnity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Indemnity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Indemnity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.