Greenbrier Companies Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GBX Stock | USD 51.87 0.61 1.19% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Greenbrier Companies is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Greenbrier Companies buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GBX positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Greenbrier Companies' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Greenbrier Companies' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 48.92 | Target Price 47.2 | Hype Value 51.35 | Market Value 51.87 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Greenbrier Companies given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Greenbrier Companies. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Greenbrier Companies, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Greenbrier |
Execute Greenbrier Companies Buy or Sell Advice
The Greenbrier recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Greenbrier Companies. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Greenbrier Companies or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Greenbrier Companies' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Greenbrier Companies Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Insider Selling Martin R. Baker Unloads 234K Of Greenbrier Companies Stock |
Greenbrier Companies Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Greenbrier Companies' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Greenbrier Companies' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Greenbrier Companies daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Greenbrier Companies price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Greenbrier Companies returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Greenbrier Companies.
| Mean Return | 0.20 | Value At Risk | -2.65 | Potential Upside | 2.22 | Standard Deviation | 1.77 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Greenbrier Companies historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Greenbrier Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Greenbrier Companies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Greenbrier Companies backward and forwards among themselves. Greenbrier Companies' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Greenbrier Companies' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 555.2 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2023-12-31 | 534.1 K | Mirae Asset Global Investments (korea) Co Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 524.6 K | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 507.9 K | Fisher Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 488.1 K | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2023-12-31 | 406.4 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 392.9 K | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2023-12-31 | 387.8 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 354.2 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5.3 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 3.6 M |
Greenbrier Companies Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 166.6M | (166.5M) | (267.9M) | (17.2M) | (15.5M) | (16.3M) | |
| Change In Cash | 503.6M | (170.7M) | (112.3M) | (256.4M) | (230.8M) | (219.2M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 205.4M | (179.5M) | (531.1M) | (290.9M) | (261.8M) | (248.7M) | |
| Depreciation | 109.9M | 100.7M | 102M | 106.3M | 122.2M | 128.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (11.9M) | 16.8M | (31.8M) | 41.5M | 37.4M | 39.2M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 66.9M | 139.0M | 380.7M | 362.1M | 416.4M | 437.2M | |
| Net Income | 87.6M | 35.1M | 53.8M | 75.6M | 86.9M | 59.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 842.1M | 671.4M | 559.1M | 302.7M | 348.1M | 201.4M | |
| Dividends Paid | 74.1M | 61.0M | 52.7M | 49.1M | 56.5M | 59.3M | |
| Investments | (1.8M) | (117.8M) | 1.2M | (280M) | (252M) | (239.4M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 292.9M | 76.5M | 308.6M | 33M | 38.0M | 36.1M | |
| Change To Netincome | (19.4M) | 78.2M | 3.5M | 73.9M | 85.0M | 89.2M |
Greenbrier Companies Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Greenbrier Companies or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Greenbrier Companies' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Greenbrier stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Greenbrier Companies Volatility Alert
Greenbrier Companies has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.26 and kurtosis of 0.94. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Greenbrier Companies' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Greenbrier Companies' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Greenbrier Companies Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Greenbrier Companies' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Greenbrier Companies' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Greenbrier Companies and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Greenbrier Companies or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Greenbrier Companies' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Greenbrier Companies by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Greenbrier Companies to competition |
| Fundamentals | Greenbrier Companies | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.083 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0399 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.32 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 31.13 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.19 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 98.00 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.9 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 149.06 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.25 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.44 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.94 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 441.1 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 341.5 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 75.6 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 281.7 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 14.18 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.61 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.06 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.24 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 41.76 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 71.2 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 6.62 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.39 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.93 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 60.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 13.8 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.63 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.6 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.98 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 897.5 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 908.7 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Matthew Meyer of 3496 shares of Greenbrier Companies subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Greenbrier Companies Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Greenbrier . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 6559.61 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5126 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 51.79 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 51.81 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.39 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.61 |
About Greenbrier Companies Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Greenbrier Companies? Buying financial instruments such as Greenbrier Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 1.6B | 1.6B | 1.9B | 1.9B | Total Assets | 3.9B | 4.0B | 4.6B | 4.8B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Greenbrier Companies in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Sector ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Sector ETFs theme has 421 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Sector ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Greenbrier Companies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Greenbrier Stock please use our How to Invest in Greenbrier Companies guide.Note that the Greenbrier Companies information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Greenbrier Companies' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Complementary Tools for Greenbrier Stock analysis
When running Greenbrier Companies' price analysis, check to measure Greenbrier Companies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greenbrier Companies is operating at the current time. Most of Greenbrier Companies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greenbrier Companies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greenbrier Companies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greenbrier Companies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| AI Portfolio Architect Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities | |
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings |
Is Greenbrier Companies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Greenbrier Companies. If investors know Greenbrier will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Greenbrier Companies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.063 | Dividend Share 1.2 | Earnings Share 3.39 | Revenue Per Share 119.488 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.23) |
The market value of Greenbrier Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Greenbrier that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Greenbrier Companies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Greenbrier Companies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Greenbrier Companies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Greenbrier Companies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Greenbrier Companies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Greenbrier Companies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Greenbrier Companies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.