Greif Bros Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GEF Stock  USD 68.54  1.64  2.45%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Greif Bros is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Greif Bros buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GEF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Greif Bros' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Greif Bros' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
66.79
Target Price
77.5
Hype Value
68.54
Market Value
68.54
Naive Value
66.01
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Greif Bros given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Greif Bros. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Greif Bros, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Greif Bros Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Greif Stock please use our How to Invest in Greif Bros guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Greif and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Greif Bros. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Execute Greif Bros Buy or Sell Advice

The Greif recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Greif Bros. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Greif Bros or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Greif Bros' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Greif BrosBuy Greif Bros
Strong Hold

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Greif Bros has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0369, Jensen Alpha of (0.06), Total Risk Alpha of (0.24), Sortino Ratio of (0.05) and Treynor Ratio of 0.0636
Macroaxis provides unbiased trade recommendations on Greif Bros that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Greif Bros. Our advice engine determines the entity's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Greif Bros is not overpriced, please check out all Greif Bros fundamentals, including its price to sales, cash per share, and the relationship between the number of shares shorted and ebitda . Given that Greif Bros has a price to book of 1.94 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Greif Bros market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Greif Bros Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Greif Completes Ipackchem Acquisition, Boosts Portfolio

Greif Bros Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Greif Bros' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Greif Bros' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Greif Bros daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Greif Bros price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Greif Bros returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Greif Bros.
Mean Return
0.08
Value At Risk
-1.73
Potential Upside
2.31
Standard Deviation
1.38
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Greif Bros historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Greif Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Greif Bros is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Greif Bros backward and forwards among themselves. Greif Bros' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Greif Bros' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-12-31
409.4 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
396.4 K
Gabelli Funds Llc2023-12-31
375.1 K
Aqr Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
338.6 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
300.6 K
Private Management Group Inc2023-12-31
293.7 K
Millennium Management Llc2023-12-31
292.9 K
Amvescap Plc.2023-12-31
279.7 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
265.5 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
3.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
M
Note, although Greif Bros' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Greif Bros Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory27.1M(205.6M)6.1M101M90.9M95.4M
Change In Cash28.6M18.7M22.5M33.8M38.9M40.8M
Free Cash Flow317.9M248.7M474.5M435.9M501.3M526.3M
Other Non Cash Items331.1M191.8M119M240.8M276.9M290.8M
Dividends Paid104.3M105.8M111.3M116.5M134.0M68.1M
Capital Expenditures136.8M147.3M183M213.6M245.6M136.7M
Net Income124.3M413.2M394M379.1M436.0M457.8M
End Period Cash Flow105.9M124.6M147.1M180.9M208.0M218.4M
Depreciation242.5M234.4M216.6M230.6M265.2M134.7M
Investments(3.6M)46.8M(28.2M)(670.2M)(603.2M)(573.0M)
Change Receivables55.1M(9.1M)(247.5M)25.1M22.6M23.7M
Net Borrowings(287.6M)(309.3M)(289.1M)290.7M261.6M274.7M
Change To Netincome47.9M(67.3M)140.1M1.4M1.6M1.5M

Greif Bros Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Greif Bros or Containers & Packaging sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Greif Bros' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Greif stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.05
σ
Overall volatility
1.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Greif Bros Volatility Alert

Greif Bros has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.87 and kurtosis of 3.77. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Greif Bros' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Greif Bros' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Greif Bros Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Greif Bros' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Greif Bros' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Greif Bros and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Greif Bros or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Greif Bros' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Greif Bros by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Greif Bros to competition
FundamentalsGreif BrosPeer Average
Return On Equity0.18-0.31
Return On Asset0.0609-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.06 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.62 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding25.79 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders5.09 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions84.94 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted519.69 K4.71 M
Price To Earning11.33 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.94 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.62 X11.42 X
Revenue5.22 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.15 B27.38 B
EBITDA813.1 M3.9 B
Net Income379.1 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents147.1 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.68 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.51 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.32 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.48 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share42.28 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations649.5 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.66 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.78 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.25 X4.89 X
Target Price78.5
Number Of Employees12 K18.84 K
Beta0.88-0.15
Market Capitalization3.17 B19.03 B
Total Asset5.96 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings2.34 B9.33 B
Working Capital429.8 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 7099 shares by Timothy Bergwall of Greif Bros subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Greif Bros Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Greif . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Greif Bros Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Greif Bros? Buying financial instruments such as Greif Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total2.2B2.5B2.9B3.0B
Total Assets5.5B6.0B6.9B7.2B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Greif Bros in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Information Technology ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Information Technology ETFs
Information Technology ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Information Technology ETFs theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Information Technology ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether Greif Bros is a strong investment it is important to analyze Greif Bros' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Greif Bros' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Greif Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Greif Bros Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Greif Stock please use our How to Invest in Greif Bros guide.
Note that the Greif Bros information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Greif Bros' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.

Complementary Tools for Greif Stock analysis

When running Greif Bros' price analysis, check to measure Greif Bros' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greif Bros is operating at the current time. Most of Greif Bros' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greif Bros' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greif Bros' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greif Bros to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets
FinTech Suite
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Is Greif Bros' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Greif Bros. If investors know Greif will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Greif Bros listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.24)
Dividend Share
2.06
Earnings Share
5.78
Revenue Per Share
109.793
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
The market value of Greif Bros is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Greif that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Greif Bros' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Greif Bros' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Greif Bros' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Greif Bros' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Greif Bros' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Greif Bros is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Greif Bros' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.