Greif Bros Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
GEF Stock | USD 68.54 1.64 2.45% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Greif Bros is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Greif Bros buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GEF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Greif Bros' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Greif Bros' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 66.79 | Target Price 77.5 | Hype Value 68.54 | Market Value 68.54 | Naive Value 66.01 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Greif Bros given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Greif Bros. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Greif Bros, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Greif |
Execute Greif Bros Buy or Sell Advice
The Greif recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Greif Bros. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Greif Bros or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Greif Bros' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Greif Bros Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from zacks.com: Greif Completes Ipackchem Acquisition, Boosts Portfolio |
Greif Bros Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Greif Bros' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Greif Bros' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Greif Bros daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Greif Bros price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Greif Bros returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Greif Bros.
Mean Return | 0.08 | Value At Risk | -1.73 | Potential Upside | 2.31 | Standard Deviation | 1.38 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Greif Bros historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Greif Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Greif Bros is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Greif Bros backward and forwards among themselves. Greif Bros' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Greif Bros' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 409.4 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 396.4 K | Gabelli Funds Llc | 2023-12-31 | 375.1 K | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 338.6 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 300.6 K | Private Management Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 293.7 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 292.9 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 279.7 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 265.5 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 3.1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 3 M |
Greif Bros Cash Flow Accounts
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Change To Inventory | 27.1M | (205.6M) | 6.1M | 101M | 90.9M | 95.4M | |
Change In Cash | 28.6M | 18.7M | 22.5M | 33.8M | 38.9M | 40.8M | |
Free Cash Flow | 317.9M | 248.7M | 474.5M | 435.9M | 501.3M | 526.3M | |
Other Non Cash Items | 331.1M | 191.8M | 119M | 240.8M | 276.9M | 290.8M | |
Dividends Paid | 104.3M | 105.8M | 111.3M | 116.5M | 134.0M | 68.1M | |
Capital Expenditures | 136.8M | 147.3M | 183M | 213.6M | 245.6M | 136.7M | |
Net Income | 124.3M | 413.2M | 394M | 379.1M | 436.0M | 457.8M | |
End Period Cash Flow | 105.9M | 124.6M | 147.1M | 180.9M | 208.0M | 218.4M | |
Depreciation | 242.5M | 234.4M | 216.6M | 230.6M | 265.2M | 134.7M | |
Investments | (3.6M) | 46.8M | (28.2M) | (670.2M) | (603.2M) | (573.0M) | |
Change Receivables | 55.1M | (9.1M) | (247.5M) | 25.1M | 22.6M | 23.7M | |
Net Borrowings | (287.6M) | (309.3M) | (289.1M) | 290.7M | 261.6M | 274.7M | |
Change To Netincome | 47.9M | (67.3M) | 140.1M | 1.4M | 1.6M | 1.5M |
Greif Bros Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Greif Bros or Containers & Packaging sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Greif Bros' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Greif stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Greif Bros Volatility Alert
Greif Bros has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.87 and kurtosis of 3.77. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Greif Bros' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Greif Bros' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Greif Bros Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Greif Bros' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Greif Bros' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Greif Bros and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Greif Bros or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Greif Bros' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Greif Bros by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Greif Bros to competition |
Fundamentals | Greif Bros | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | 0.18 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | 0.0609 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | 0.06 % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 5.62 B | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 25.79 M | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.09 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 84.94 % | 39.21 % |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 519.69 K | 4.71 M |
Price To Earning | 11.33 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 1.94 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 0.62 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 5.22 B | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 1.15 B | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | 813.1 M | 3.9 B |
Net Income | 379.1 M | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 147.1 M | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 2.68 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 2.51 B | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 1.32 % | 48.70 % |
Current Ratio | 1.48 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 42.28 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | 649.5 M | 971.22 M |
Short Ratio | 3.66 X | 4.00 X |
Earnings Per Share | 5.78 X | 3.12 X |
Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.25 X | 4.89 X |
Target Price | 78.5 | |
Number Of Employees | 12 K | 18.84 K |
Beta | 0.88 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 3.17 B | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 5.96 B | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | 2.34 B | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | 429.8 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 7099 shares by Timothy Bergwall of Greif Bros subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Greif Bros Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Greif . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Greif Bros Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Greif Bros? Buying financial instruments such as Greif Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 2.2B | 2.5B | 2.9B | 3.0B | Total Assets | 5.5B | 6.0B | 6.9B | 7.2B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Greif Bros in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Information Technology ETFs theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Information Technology ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Greif Bros Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Greif Stock please use our How to Invest in Greif Bros guide.Note that the Greif Bros information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Greif Bros' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Complementary Tools for Greif Stock analysis
When running Greif Bros' price analysis, check to measure Greif Bros' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greif Bros is operating at the current time. Most of Greif Bros' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greif Bros' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greif Bros' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greif Bros to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Greif Bros' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Greif Bros. If investors know Greif will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Greif Bros listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | Dividend Share 2.06 | Earnings Share 5.78 | Revenue Per Share 109.793 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Greif Bros is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Greif that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Greif Bros' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Greif Bros' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Greif Bros' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Greif Bros' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Greif Bros' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Greif Bros is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Greif Bros' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.