Gencor Industries Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GENC Stock  USD 16.69  0.33  2.02%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Gencor Industries is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Gencor Industries buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GENC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Gencor Industries' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Gencor Industries' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
17.69
Target Price
19
Hype Value
16.7
Market Value
16.69
Naive Value
16.71
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Gencor Industries given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Gencor Industries. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Gencor Industries, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Gencor Industries Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Gencor Stock refer to our How to Trade Gencor Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Gencor and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Gencor Industries. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Gencor Industries Buy or Sell Advice

The Gencor recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Gencor Industries. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Gencor Industries or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Gencor Industries' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Gencor IndustriesBuy Gencor Industries
Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Gencor Industries has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0192, Jensen Alpha of (0.16), Total Risk Alpha of (0.34), Sortino Ratio of (0.06) and Treynor Ratio of 0.0179
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Gencor Industries and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Gencor Industries is not overpriced, please check out all Gencor Industries fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, ebitda, current ratio, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and cash per share . Given that Gencor Industries has a number of shares shorted of 21.03 K, we strongly advise you to confirm Gencor Industries market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Gencor Industries Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Snow Lake Initiates 2024 Exploration Program at Engo Valley Uranium Project

Gencor Industries Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Gencor Industries' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Gencor Industries' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Gencor Industries daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Gencor Industries price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Gencor Industries returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Gencor Industries.
Mean Return
0.04
Value At Risk
-2.35
Potential Upside
3.20
Standard Deviation
1.63
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Gencor Industries historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Gencor Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Gencor Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gencor Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Gencor Industries' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Gencor Industries' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Rbf Llc2023-12-31
91.3 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
86.3 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
71.8 K
Acuitas Investments, Llc2023-12-31
69.6 K
Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc2023-12-31
64.5 K
Orion Portfolio Solutions, Llc2023-12-31
60.8 K
Perritt Capital Management Inc.2023-12-31
56.4 K
Gabelli Funds Llc2023-12-31
49 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2023-12-31
43.8 K
Systematic Financial Management Lp2023-12-31
1.2 M
Royce & Associates, Lp2023-12-31
1.2 M
Note, although Gencor Industries' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Gencor Industries Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(1.7M)(4.4M)(13.9M)(15.7M)(14.1M)(13.4M)
Change In Cash25.3M(12.4M)(13.7M)7.5M8.6M9.0M
Free Cash Flow25.2M1.2M(13.7M)7.5M8.6M9.0M
Depreciation1.6M2.6M2.8M2.8M3.3M1.6M
Other Non Cash Items15.9M(1.8M)5.9M7.9M7.1M7.5M
Capital Expenditures1.6M2.7M4.5M2.7M3.2M3.3M
Net Income5.5M5.8M(372K)14.7M16.9M17.7M
End Period Cash Flow35.6M23.2M9.6M17.0M19.6M20.6M
Change To Netincome(6.0M)21.2M(2.0M)(8.8M)(7.9M)(7.5M)
Investments(1.6M)(16.4M)(4.5M)(2.7M)(2.5M)(2.6M)

Gencor Industries Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Gencor Industries or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Gencor Industries' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Gencor stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.16
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.50
σ
Overall volatility
1.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Gencor Industries Volatility Alert

Gencor Industries has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.02 and kurtosis of 0.84. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Gencor Industries' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Gencor Industries' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Gencor Industries Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Gencor Industries' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Gencor Industries' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Gencor Industries and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Gencor Industries or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Gencor Industries' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gencor Industries by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Gencor Industries to competition
FundamentalsGencor IndustriesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0871-0.31
Return On Asset0.047-0.14
Profit Margin0.15 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.13 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation135.25 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding12.34 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders17.22 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions57.00 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted21.03 K4.71 M
Price To Earning65.72 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.29 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.27 X11.42 X
Revenue105.08 M9.43 B
Gross Profit20.54 M27.38 B
EBITDA13.02 M3.9 B
Net Income14.67 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents110.59 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share7.55 X5.01 X
Total Debt328 K5.32 B
Debt To Equity0 %48.70 %
Current Ratio11.32 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share12.68 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations10.2 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.89 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.06 X3.12 X
Target Price19.0
Number Of Employees31418.84 K
Beta0.48-0.15
Market Capitalization238.77 M19.03 B
Total Asset195.75 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings167.53 M9.33 B
Working Capital164.79 M1.48 B
Current Asset123.42 M9.34 B
Note: Gencor Industries exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

Gencor Industries Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Gencor . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Gencor Industries Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Gencor Industries? Buying financial instruments such as Gencor Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total396K328K377.2K358.3K
Total Assets179.3M195.7M225.1M236.4M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Gencor Industries in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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When determining whether Gencor Industries offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Gencor Industries' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gencor Industries Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gencor Industries Stock:
Check out Gencor Industries Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Gencor Stock refer to our How to Trade Gencor Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

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Is Gencor Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gencor Industries. If investors know Gencor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gencor Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.245
Earnings Share
1.06
Revenue Per Share
7.182
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.007
Return On Assets
0.047
The market value of Gencor Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gencor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gencor Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gencor Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gencor Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gencor Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gencor Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gencor Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gencor Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.