Gencor Industries Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
GENC Stock | USD 16.69 0.33 2.02% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Gencor Industries is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Gencor Industries buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GENC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Gencor Industries' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Gencor Industries' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 17.69 | Target Price 19 | Hype Value 16.7 | Market Value 16.69 | Naive Value 16.71 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Gencor Industries given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Gencor Industries. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Gencor Industries, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Gencor |
Execute Gencor Industries Buy or Sell Advice
The Gencor recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Gencor Industries. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Gencor Industries or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Gencor Industries' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Hold
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Gencor Industries Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Snow Lake Initiates 2024 Exploration Program at Engo Valley Uranium Project |
Gencor Industries Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Gencor Industries' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Gencor Industries' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Gencor Industries daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Gencor Industries price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Gencor Industries returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Gencor Industries.
Mean Return | 0.04 | Value At Risk | -2.35 | Potential Upside | 3.20 | Standard Deviation | 1.63 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Gencor Industries historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Gencor Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Gencor Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gencor Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Gencor Industries' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Gencor Industries' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Rbf Llc | 2023-12-31 | 91.3 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 86.3 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 71.8 K | Acuitas Investments, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 69.6 K | Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 64.5 K | Orion Portfolio Solutions, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 60.8 K | Perritt Capital Management Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 56.4 K | Gabelli Funds Llc | 2023-12-31 | 49 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 43.8 K | Systematic Financial Management Lp | 2023-12-31 | 1.2 M | Royce & Associates, Lp | 2023-12-31 | 1.2 M |
Gencor Industries Cash Flow Accounts
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Change To Inventory | (1.7M) | (4.4M) | (13.9M) | (15.7M) | (14.1M) | (13.4M) | |
Change In Cash | 25.3M | (12.4M) | (13.7M) | 7.5M | 8.6M | 9.0M | |
Free Cash Flow | 25.2M | 1.2M | (13.7M) | 7.5M | 8.6M | 9.0M | |
Depreciation | 1.6M | 2.6M | 2.8M | 2.8M | 3.3M | 1.6M | |
Other Non Cash Items | 15.9M | (1.8M) | 5.9M | 7.9M | 7.1M | 7.5M | |
Capital Expenditures | 1.6M | 2.7M | 4.5M | 2.7M | 3.2M | 3.3M | |
Net Income | 5.5M | 5.8M | (372K) | 14.7M | 16.9M | 17.7M | |
End Period Cash Flow | 35.6M | 23.2M | 9.6M | 17.0M | 19.6M | 20.6M | |
Change To Netincome | (6.0M) | 21.2M | (2.0M) | (8.8M) | (7.9M) | (7.5M) | |
Investments | (1.6M) | (16.4M) | (4.5M) | (2.7M) | (2.5M) | (2.6M) |
Gencor Industries Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Gencor Industries or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Gencor Industries' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Gencor stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Gencor Industries Volatility Alert
Gencor Industries has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.02 and kurtosis of 0.84. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Gencor Industries' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Gencor Industries' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Gencor Industries Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Gencor Industries' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Gencor Industries' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Gencor Industries and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Gencor Industries or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Gencor Industries' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gencor Industries by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Gencor Industries to competition |
Fundamentals | Gencor Industries | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | 0.0871 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | 0.047 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | 0.15 % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | 0.13 % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 135.25 M | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 12.34 M | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 17.22 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 57.00 % | 39.21 % |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 21.03 K | 4.71 M |
Price To Earning | 65.72 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 1.29 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 2.27 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 105.08 M | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 20.54 M | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | 13.02 M | 3.9 B |
Net Income | 14.67 M | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 110.59 M | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 7.55 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 328 K | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 0 % | 48.70 % |
Current Ratio | 11.32 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 12.68 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | 10.2 M | 971.22 M |
Short Ratio | 0.89 X | 4.00 X |
Earnings Per Share | 1.06 X | 3.12 X |
Target Price | 19.0 | |
Number Of Employees | 314 | 18.84 K |
Beta | 0.48 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 238.77 M | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 195.75 M | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | 167.53 M | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | 164.79 M | 1.48 B |
Current Asset | 123.42 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Gencor Industries exotic insider transaction detected [view details]
Gencor Industries Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Gencor . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution | 1101.18 | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | 0.7674 | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
Day Median Price | 16.51 | |||
Day Typical Price | 16.57 | |||
Price Action Indicator | 0.35 | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | 0.33 |
About Gencor Industries Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Gencor Industries? Buying financial instruments such as Gencor Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 396K | 328K | 377.2K | 358.3K | Total Assets | 179.3M | 195.7M | 225.1M | 236.4M |
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Check out Gencor Industries Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Gencor Stock refer to our How to Trade Gencor Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Complementary Tools for Gencor Stock analysis
When running Gencor Industries' price analysis, check to measure Gencor Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gencor Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Gencor Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gencor Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gencor Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gencor Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Gencor Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gencor Industries. If investors know Gencor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gencor Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.245 | Earnings Share 1.06 | Revenue Per Share 7.182 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.007 | Return On Assets 0.047 |
The market value of Gencor Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gencor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gencor Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gencor Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gencor Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gencor Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gencor Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gencor Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gencor Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.