Guess Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Guess Inc buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Guess positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Guess Inc available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Guess buy-and-hold prospective. Please also check Guess Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Guess Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 17.51  0.71  3.9%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Guess Inc is 'Strong Sell'.
For the selected time horizon Guess Inc has a mean deviation of 1.73, semi deviation of 1.76, standard deviation of 2.16, variance of 4.66, downside variance of 4.14 and semi variance of 3.1
This buy, hold, or sell suggestion tool can be used to cross verify current analyst consensus on Guess and to analyze the organization potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Guess Inc is not overpriced, please check out all Guess fundamentals including its Cash per Share, Beta and the relationship between Revenue and Cash Flow from Operations . Given that Guess Inc has Price to Earning of 147.96 times, we strongly advise you confirm Guess Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.27Value At Risk2.91
Potential Upside3.82Standard Deviation2.16
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Schwab Charles Investment Management IncCommon Shares1 M17.2 M
Oldfield Partners LlpCommon Shares54.9 K927 K
Louisiana State Employees Retirement SystemCommon Shares25.8 K436 K
Nisa Investment Advisors LlcCommon Shares20.1 K339 K
Trust Department Mb Financial Bank N ACommon Shares10 K169 K
Simplex Trading LlcCommon Shares5.3 K89 K
Simplex Trading LlcPut Options62177 K
Simplex Trading LlcCall Options31762 K
Bank Of MontrealCommon Shares1.5 K26 K

Guess Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.6
β
Beta against DOW=1.45
σ
Overall volatility
=2.29
Ir
Information ratio =0.0102

Guess Volatility Alert

Guess Inc currently demonstrates below average downside deviation of 2.03. It has Information Ratio of 0.01 and Jensen Alpha of 0.6. However, we do advice investors to further question Guess Inc expected returns to make sure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Guess to competition
FundamentalsGuessPeer Average
Return On Equity0.17 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset2.82 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin(0.1) % (5.5) %
Operating Margin3.12 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation1.25 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding82.27 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders29.3 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions86.12 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted12.06 M3.24 M
Price to Earning147.96 times40.69 times
Price to Book1.57 times14.44 times
Price to Sales0.64 times17.81 times
Revenue2.27 B9.85 B
Gross Profit745.04 M21.75 B
EBITDA135.48 M1.41 B
Net Income(3.06 M)517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents233.09 M3.89 B
Cash per Share2.83 times5.17 times
Total Debt40.9 M7.36 B
Debt to Equity4.3 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio2.58 times3.3 times
Book Value Per Share11.18 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations67.49 M1.25 B
Short Ratio12.49 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share(0.04) times2.3 times
Price to Earnings To Growth6.53 times1.22 times
Number of Employees13.5 K10.67 K
Beta-0.120.34
Market Capitalization1.44 B29.78 B
Total Asset1.54 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings1.27 B38.24 B
Working Capital709.19 M3.58 B
Current Asset1.04 B36.8 B
SellBuy
Strong Sell

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
   Guess exotic insider transaction detected [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.0637
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.17)
Mean Deviation1.73
Semi Deviation1.76
Downside Deviation2.03
Coefficient Of Variation803.7
Standard Deviation2.16
Variance4.66
Information Ratio0.0102
Jensen Alpha0.6014
Total Risk Alpha(0.88)
Sortino Ratio0.0108
Treynor Ratio(0.18)
Maximum Drawdown7.25
Value At Risk(2.91)
Potential Upside3.82
Downside Variance4.14
Semi Variance3.1
Expected Short fall(2)
Skewness0.1813
Kurtosis(0.72)

Current Valuation

Guess Current Valuation Analysis
Guess Inc is rated # 5 in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Clothing Wholesale And Retail industry is currently estimated at about 34.47 Billion. Guess holds roughly 1.25 Billion in current valuation claiming about 4% of stocks in Clothing Wholesale And Retail industry.