Guess Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GES -  USA Stock  

USD 21.30  0.52  2.50%

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Guess Inc is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Guess buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Guess positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Guess' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Refresh
The advice is provided from Guess' buy-and-hold perspective. Please check Guess Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Guess and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Guess Inc.

Execute Guess Buy or Sell Advice

The Guess recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Guess Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Guess Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Guess' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell GuessBuy Guess
Strong Buy

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Guess Inc has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0054, Jensen Alpha of 0.1887, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2882 and Treynor Ratio of (0.006817)
Our trade recommendations module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Guess Inc. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Guess Inc is not overpriced, please check out all Guess fundamentals, including its cash per share, beta, and the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that Guess Inc has a price to earning of 7.90 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Guess Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Guess Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Guess Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Guess Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: Guess, Inc. Announces New EUR 250 Million European Credit Facility With Sustainability-Linked Component - Marketscreener.com

Guess current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Guess analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Guess analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price35.25
Target Median Price34.00
Target High Price46.00
Recommendation Mean2.40
Number Of Analyst Opinions4
Target Low Price27.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Guess Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Guess' historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Guess' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Guess stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Guess Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Guess returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Guess stock.
Mean Return-0.0045Value At Risk-6.78
Potential Upside5.80Standard Deviation4.08
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Guess historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Guess Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Guess or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Guess stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Guess stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.19
β
Beta against DOW2.13
σ
Overall volatility
4.16
Ir
Information ratio 0.0199

Guess Volatility Alert

Guess Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.01 and kurtosis of 3.82. However, we advise investors to further study Guess Inc technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Guess' stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Guess' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Guess Implied Volatility

Guess' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Guess Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Guess' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Guess stock will not fluctuate a lot when Guess' options are near their expiration.

Guess Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Guess' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Guess' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Guess and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Guess or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Guess' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guess by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Guess to competition
FundamentalsGuessPeer Average
Return On Equity31.65 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset5.96 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin7.11 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin11.99 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.32 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding64.97 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders40.31 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions68.23 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted7.38 M4.71 M
Price to Earning7.90 X28.72 X
Price to Book2.17 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.56 X11.42 X
Revenue2.44 B9.43 B
Gross Profit664 M27.38 B
EBITDA292.61 M3.9 B
Net Income172.16 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents391.06 M2.7 B
Cash per Share6.02 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.18 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity1.77 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.58 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share9.62 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations115.28 M971.22 M
Short Ratio7.44 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.64 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.76 X4.89 X
Number of Employees11 K18.84 K
Beta2.13-0.15
Market Capitalization1.36 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.54 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.26 B9.33 B
Working Capital709.19 M1.48 B
Current Asset1.04 B9.34 B
   Acquisition by Cynthia Livingston of 7846 shares of Guess subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Guess Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Guess . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution24215.6
Daily Balance Of Power0.5474
Rate Of Daily Change1.03
Day Median Price21.26
Day Typical Price21.27
Market Facilitation Index0.0
Price Action Indicator0.3

About Guess Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Guess Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Guess Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Guess investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2014 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables327.28 M314.15 M216.21 M281.58 M
Inventories393.13 M389.14 M319.08 M317.68 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Guess in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Manufacturing Thematic Idea Now

Manufacturing
Manufacturing Theme
Companies that provide goods across residential, commercial and industrial construction such as machinery, tools, or lumber production. The Manufacturing theme has 20 constituents.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Manufacturing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch Manufacturing
Please check Guess Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Guess Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Guess' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

Complementary Tools for Guess Stock analysis

When running Guess Inc price analysis, check to measure Guess' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guess is operating at the current time. Most of Guess' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guess' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guess' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guess to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Go
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Go
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Go
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Go
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Go
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Go
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Go
Focused Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Go
Is Guess' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Guess. If investors know Guess will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Guess listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Guess Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Guess that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Guess' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Guess' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Guess' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Guess' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Guess' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Guess value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guess' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.