Guess Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GES -- USA Stock  

USD 23.50  0.53  2.31%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Guess is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Guess buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Guess positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Guess available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Guess buy-and-hold prospective. Please also check Guess Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Sell GuessBuy Guess
Strong Sell

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
For the selected time horizon Guess has a mean deviation of 1.45, semi deviation of 1.54, standard deviation of 1.87, variance of 3.49, downside variance of 2.64 and semi variance of 2.36
Macroaxis buy or sell recommendations module can be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Guess. Our buy, hold, or sell recommendation engine utilizes analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental data market data available at the time. To make sure Guess is not overpriced, please check out all Guess fundamentals including its Cash per Share, Beta and the relationship between Revenue and Cash Flow from Operations . Given that Guess has Price to Earning of 147.96 times, we strongly advise you confirm Guess market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Guess Thematic Classifications

Consumer Goods IdeaConsumer Goods
USA Equities from Consumer Goods industry as classified by Fama & French

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.05Value At Risk2.26
Potential Upside3.17Standard Deviation1.87
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Smith Graham Co Investment Advisors LpCommon Shares199.2 K4.3 M
James Investment Research IncCommon Shares86 K1.8 M
Nisa Investment Advisors LlcCommon Shares36.5 K781 K
Louisiana State Employees Retirement SystemCommon Shares26.1 K559 K
State Of Alaska Department Of RevenueCommon Shares19.2 K411 K
Municipal Employees Retirement System Of MichiganCommon Shares16.4 K352 K
Fox Run Management LlcCommon Shares16.4 K350 K

Guess Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.09
β
Beta against DOW=0.52
σ
Overall volatility
=1.82
Ir
Information ratio =0.03

Guess Volatility Alert

Guess has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.61 and kurtosis of 0.5. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Guess to ensure market all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future risk-adjusted return.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Guess to competition

Guess Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsGuessPeer Average
Return On Equity(0.40) % (15.17) %
Return On Asset4.05 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin(0.32) % (5.50) %
Operating Margin6.67 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation1.58 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding80.94 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders30.60 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions76.63 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted6.25 M3.24 M
Price to Earning147.96 times40.69 times
Price to Book2.09 times14.44 times
Price to Sales0.74 times17.81 times
Revenue2.43 B9.85 B
Gross Profit828.85 M21.75 B
EBITDA162.03 M1.41 B
Net Income(8.58 M)517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents232.49 M3.89 B
Cash per Share2.87 times5.17 times
Total Debt40.58 M7.36 B
Debt to Equity4.60 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio2.50 times3.30 times
Book Value Per Share10.59 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations36.05 M1.25 B
Short Ratio3.87 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share0.11 times2.30 times
Price to Earnings To Growth4.50 times1.22 times
Number of Employees14.7 K10.67 K
Beta-0.180.34
Market Capitalization1.79 B29.78 B
Total Asset1.54 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings1.27 B38.24 B
Working Capital709.19 M3.58 B
Current Asset1.04 B36.8 B
   Sale by Paul Marciano of 45000 shares of Guess [view details]

Guess Alerts

Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
The company reported last year revenue of 2.43 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (8.58 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 828.85 M.
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On June 12, 2018 Guess paid $ 0.225 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.zacks.com: Why Is Guess Down 11.5 percent Since its Last Earnings Report
Please also check Guess Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus. Please also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
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