Griffon Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GFF Stock  USD 67.40  0.12  0.18%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Griffon is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Griffon buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Griffon positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Griffon's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Griffon's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
62.72
Target Price
56.8
Hype Value
67.44
Market Value
67.4
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Griffon given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Griffon. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Griffon, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Griffon Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Griffon Stock please use our How to Invest in Griffon guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Griffon and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Griffon. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Griffon Buy or Sell Advice

The Griffon recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Griffon. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Griffon or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Griffon's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell GriffonBuy Griffon
Strong Hold

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Griffon has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0044, Jensen Alpha of (0.13), Total Risk Alpha of (0.26) and Treynor Ratio of (0.01)
Macroaxis provides unbiased trade recommendations on Griffon that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Griffon. Our advice engine determines the entity's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Griffon is not overpriced, please check out all Griffon fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, revenue, total debt, as well as the relationship between the price to earning and net income . Given that Griffon has a price to earning of 19.62 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Griffon market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Griffon Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Honeywell Rides on Business Strength Amid Headwinds

Griffon Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Griffon's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Griffon's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Griffon daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Griffon price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Griffon returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Griffon.
Mean Return
-0.0098
Value At Risk
-3.1
Potential Upside
2.93
Standard Deviation
2.03
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Griffon historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Griffon Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Griffon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Griffon backward and forwards among themselves. Griffon's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Griffon's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Millennium Management Llc2023-12-31
791 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
606.2 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2023-12-31
572 K
Raymond James & Associates2023-12-31
529.2 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-12-31
522.7 K
Gabelli Funds Llc2023-12-31
509.5 K
Macquarie Group Ltd2023-12-31
504.3 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
490 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
454.1 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
6.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
5.9 M
Note, although Griffon's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Griffon Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory34.1M(150.9M)(106.8M)129.2M116.3M122.1M
Change In Cash145.7M30.6M(128.5M)(17.3M)(15.6M)(14.8M)
Free Cash Flow85.0M74.8M27.0M365.2M419.9M440.9M
Depreciation62.4M52.3M64.7M65.4M75.3M41.8M
Other Non Cash Items14.3M50.8M546.7M158.1M181.9M191.0M
Dividends Paid14.5M17.1M126.7M133.8M153.9M161.6M
Capital Expenditures49.0M37.0M42.5M63.6M73.1M47.0M
Net Income53.4M71.2M(287.7M)77.6M69.9M73.3M
End Period Cash Flow218.1M248.7M120.2M102.9M118.3M99.6M
Net Borrowings1.2B(6.9M)547.7M(99.2M)(114.1M)(108.4M)
Change To Netincome30.3M74.0M423.2M157.2M180.8M189.9M
Investments(130K)(17.2M)(585.9M)(45.2M)(40.7M)(42.7M)

Griffon Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Griffon or Building Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Griffon's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Griffon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.13
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.61
σ
Overall volatility
2.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Griffon Volatility Alert

Griffon exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.46 and kurtosis of 1.51. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Griffon's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Griffon's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Griffon Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Griffon's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Griffon's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Griffon and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Griffon or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Griffon's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Griffon by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Griffon to competition
FundamentalsGriffonPeer Average
Return On Equity0.59-0.31
Return On Asset0.1-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.17 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.98 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding49.55 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders19.69 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions76.95 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.86 M4.71 M
Price To Earning19.62 X28.72 X
Price To Book11.73 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.25 X11.42 X
Revenue2.69 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.03 B27.38 B
EBITDA376.55 M3.9 B
Net Income77.62 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents120.18 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.81 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.65 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.97 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.26 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.08 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations428.77 M971.22 M
Short Ratio6.15 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.78 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.36 X4.89 X
Target Price90.2
Number Of Employees5.7 K18.84 K
Beta1.4-0.15
Market Capitalization3.34 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.42 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings281.52 M9.33 B
Working Capital621.44 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Cocke Travis W. of 2600 shares of Griffon at 26.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Griffon Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Griffon . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Griffon Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Griffon? Buying financial instruments such as Griffon Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total1.8B1.6B1.9B2.0B
Total Assets2.8B2.4B2.8B2.9B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Griffon in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

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Steel Works Etc
Steel Works Etc Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Steel Works Etc theme has 54 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Steel Works Etc Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Griffon is a strong investment it is important to analyze Griffon's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Griffon's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Griffon Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Griffon Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Griffon Stock please use our How to Invest in Griffon guide.
Note that the Griffon information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Griffon's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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When running Griffon's price analysis, check to measure Griffon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Griffon is operating at the current time. Most of Griffon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Griffon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Griffon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Griffon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Griffon's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Griffon. If investors know Griffon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Griffon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.07)
Dividend Share
0.55
Earnings Share
3.78
Revenue Per Share
52.934
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
The market value of Griffon is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Griffon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Griffon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Griffon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Griffon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Griffon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Griffon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Griffon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Griffon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.