Griffon Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GFF Stock | USD 66.52 0.55 0.83% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Griffon is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Griffon buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Griffon positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Griffon's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Griffon's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 61.58 | Target Price 56.8 | Hype Value 66.33 | Market Value 66.52 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Griffon given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Griffon. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Griffon, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Griffon |
Execute Griffon Buy or Sell Advice
The Griffon recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Griffon. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Griffon or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Griffon's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Griffon Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 21st of March 2024 Griffon paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is Griffon Corporation A High Quality Stock To Own |
Griffon Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Griffon's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Griffon's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Griffon daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Griffon price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Griffon returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Griffon.
| Mean Return | 0.23 | Value At Risk | -2.53 | Potential Upside | 2.08 | Standard Deviation | 2.28 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Griffon historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Griffon Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Griffon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Griffon backward and forwards among themselves. Griffon's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Griffon's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 606.2 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2023-12-31 | 572 K | Point72 Asset Management, L.p. | 2023-09-30 | 555.9 K | Raymond James & Associates | 2023-12-31 | 529.2 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 522.7 K | Gabelli Funds Llc | 2023-12-31 | 509.5 K | Macquarie Group Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 504.3 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 490 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 454.1 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 6.4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5.9 M |
Griffon Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 34.1M | (150.9M) | (106.8M) | 129.2M | 116.3M | 122.1M | |
| Change In Cash | 145.7M | 30.6M | (128.5M) | (17.3M) | (15.6M) | (14.8M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 85.0M | 74.8M | 27.0M | 365.2M | 419.9M | 440.9M | |
| Depreciation | 62.4M | 52.3M | 64.7M | 65.4M | 75.3M | 41.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 14.3M | 50.8M | 546.7M | 158.1M | 181.9M | 191.0M | |
| Dividends Paid | 14.5M | 17.1M | 126.7M | 133.8M | 153.9M | 161.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 49.0M | 37.0M | 42.5M | 63.6M | 73.1M | 47.0M | |
| Net Income | 53.4M | 71.2M | (287.7M) | 77.6M | 69.9M | 73.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 218.1M | 248.7M | 120.2M | 102.9M | 118.3M | 99.6M | |
| Net Borrowings | 1.2B | (6.9M) | 547.7M | (99.2M) | (114.1M) | (108.4M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 30.3M | 74.0M | 423.2M | 157.2M | 180.8M | 189.9M | |
| Investments | (130K) | (17.2M) | (585.9M) | (45.2M) | (40.7M) | (42.7M) |
Griffon Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Griffon or Building Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Griffon's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Griffon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Griffon Volatility Alert
Griffon currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.06 and Jensen Alpha of 0.09. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Griffon's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Griffon's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Griffon Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Griffon's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Griffon's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Griffon and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Griffon or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Griffon's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Griffon by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Griffon to competition |
| Fundamentals | Griffon | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.18 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0999 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.15 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 4.88 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 49.45 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 19.74 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 76.30 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.19 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 19.62 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 11.73 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.25 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.69 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.03 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 376.55 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 77.62 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 120.18 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.81 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.65 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.97 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.26 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 5.57 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 428.77 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.34 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.36 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.36 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 83.6 | |
| Number Of Employees | 5.7 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.38 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.26 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.42 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 281.52 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 621.44 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Cocke Travis W. of 2600 shares of Griffon at 26.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Griffon Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Griffon . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 4651.04 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4264 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 66.27 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 66.35 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.53 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.55 |
About Griffon Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Griffon? Buying financial instruments such as Griffon Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 1.8B | 1.6B | 1.9B | 2.0B | Total Assets | 2.8B | 2.4B | 2.8B | 2.9B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Griffon in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Developed Markets Basket ETFs Thematic Idea Now
Developed Markets Basket ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Developed Markets Basket ETFs theme has 18 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Developed Markets Basket ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Griffon Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Griffon Stock please use our How to Invest in Griffon guide.Note that the Griffon information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Griffon's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Griffon Stock analysis
When running Griffon's price analysis, check to measure Griffon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Griffon is operating at the current time. Most of Griffon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Griffon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Griffon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Griffon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Griffon's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Griffon. If investors know Griffon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Griffon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Dividend Share 0.5 | Earnings Share 1.36 | Revenue Per Share 52.362 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Griffon is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Griffon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Griffon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Griffon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Griffon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Griffon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Griffon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Griffon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Griffon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.