Gerdau Sa Adr Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GGB Stock | USD 3.56 0.10 2.73% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Gerdau SA ADR is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Gerdau SA buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GGB positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Gerdau SA's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Gerdau SA's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 4.35 | Target Price 6.7 | Hype Value 3.54 | Market Value 3.56 | Naive Value 3.53 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Gerdau SA ADR given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Gerdau SA. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Gerdau SA ADR, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Gerdau |
Execute Gerdau SA Buy or Sell Advice
The Gerdau recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Gerdau SA ADR. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Gerdau SA ADR or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Gerdau SA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Gerdau SA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Gerdau SA ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| On 19th of March 2024 Gerdau SA paid $ 0.0202 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: UPDATE 1-Brazil sets import quotas, tax for 11 steel products |
Gerdau SA Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Gerdau SA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Gerdau SA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Gerdau SA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Gerdau SA ADR price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Gerdau SA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Gerdau SA.
| Mean Return | 0.06 | Value At Risk | -3.49 | Potential Upside | 3.10 | Standard Deviation | 1.93 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Gerdau SA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Gerdau Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Gerdau SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gerdau SA ADR backward and forwards among themselves. Gerdau SA's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Gerdau SA's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 4.1 M | New York State Common Retirement Fund | 2023-12-31 | 3.2 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 3 M | Itau Unibanco Holding Sa | 2023-12-31 | 2.9 M | Rockefeller Capital Management L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 2.8 M | State Street Corporation | 2023-12-31 | 2.4 M | Man Group Plc | 2023-12-31 | 2.3 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 2.3 M | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2023-12-31 | 2.3 M | Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 3 | 2023-12-31 | 91.7 M | Fmr Inc | 2023-12-31 | 35.1 M |
Gerdau SA Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 1.6B | (428.3M) | (7.7B) | (2.0B) | 1.3B | 1.4B | |
| Change In Cash | (248.5M) | 2.0B | (456.6M) | (1.7B) | 529.8M | 556.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (204.1M) | 4.6B | 9.3B | 6.7B | 5.1B | 5.4B | |
| Depreciation | 2.1B | 2.5B | 2.7B | 2.9B | 3.0B | 1.8B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (3.4B) | 1.6B | 1.6B | (3.3B) | (955.9M) | (908.1M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 484.2M | 274.8M | 5.3B | 5.9B | 2.7B | 2.8B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.8B | 1.8B | 3.2B | 4.5B | 5.3B | 5.6B | |
| Net Income | 1.2B | 2.4B | 15.6B | 11.5B | 7.5B | 7.9B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 2.6B | 4.6B | 4.2B | 2.5B | 3.0B | 2.2B | |
| Investments | (1.9B) | (2.2B) | 113.6M | (4.5B) | (5.5B) | (5.3B) | |
| Net Borrowings | 538.7M | (2.2B) | (4.8B) | (1.2B) | (1.1B) | (1.2B) | |
| Change To Netincome | 221.1M | 136.6M | 407.9M | 1.1B | 1.3B | 714.5M |
Gerdau SA Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Gerdau SA or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Gerdau SA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Gerdau stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Gerdau SA Volatility Alert
Gerdau SA ADR currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.02 and Jensen Alpha of -0.04. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Gerdau SA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Gerdau SA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Gerdau SA Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Gerdau SA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Gerdau SA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Gerdau SA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Gerdau SA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Gerdau SA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gerdau SA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Gerdau SA to competition |
| Fundamentals | Gerdau SA | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.16 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0759 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.11 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 14.72 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 24.90 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.24 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 21.61 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.78 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.11 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 68.92 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 18.75 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 12.16 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 7.5 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 7.75 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.58 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 12.17 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.28 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.22 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 23.37 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 10.45 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.28 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.68 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 4.82 | |
| Beta | 1.35 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 7.7 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 74.89 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 25.91 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 17.91 B | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 2 K | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 1.59 B | 7.9 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.07 % |
Gerdau SA Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Gerdau . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Gerdau SA Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Gerdau SA ADR? Buying financial instruments such as Gerdau Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 15.0B | 13.7B | 12.2B | 14.2B | Total Assets | 73.8B | 73.8B | 74.9B | 47.1B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Gerdau SA in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Almost Nothing Thematic Idea Now
Almost Nothing
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Almost Nothing theme has 22 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Almost Nothing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out Gerdau SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Gerdau SA ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Gerdau SA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Complementary Tools for Gerdau Stock analysis
When running Gerdau SA's price analysis, check to measure Gerdau SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gerdau SA is operating at the current time. Most of Gerdau SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gerdau SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gerdau SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gerdau SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| Latest Portfolios Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios | |
| Premium Stories Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope | |
| Top Crypto Exchanges Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges | |
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| AI Portfolio Architect Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities |
Is Gerdau SA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gerdau SA. If investors know Gerdau will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gerdau SA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.55) | Dividend Share 1.258 | Earnings Share 0.68 | Revenue Per Share 32.84 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.18) |
The market value of Gerdau SA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gerdau that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gerdau SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gerdau SA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gerdau SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gerdau SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gerdau SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gerdau SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gerdau SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.