Graham Holdings Co Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GHC Stock | USD 709.52 6.79 0.95% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Graham Holdings Co is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Graham Holdings buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GHC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Graham Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Graham Holdings' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 672.81 | Target Price 626 | Hype Value 710.19 | Market Value 709.52 | Naive Value 696.89 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Graham Holdings Co given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Graham Holdings. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Graham Holdings Co, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Graham |
Execute Graham Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
The Graham recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Graham Holdings Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Graham Holdings Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Graham Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Graham Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: These 4 Measures Indicate That Graham Holdings Is Using Debt Extensively |
Graham Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Graham Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Graham Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Graham Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Graham Holdings Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Graham Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Graham Holdings.
| Mean Return | 0.13 | Value At Risk | -2.63 | Potential Upside | 2.72 | Standard Deviation | 1.69 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Graham Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Graham Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Graham Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Graham Holdings Co backward and forwards among themselves. Graham Holdings' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Graham Holdings' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 43.5 K | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 41.5 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 35.3 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 33.4 K | Thompson, Siegel & Walmsley Llc | 2023-12-31 | 27.3 K | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 26.1 K | London Company Of Virginia | 2023-12-31 | 23.4 K | Raymond James Finl Svs Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 23 K | Bronte Capital Management Pty Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 22.4 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 463.1 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 350.6 K |
Graham Holdings Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (50.1M) | 209.0M | (264.2M) | 31.6M | 12.1M | 12.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 71.7M | 141.1M | 39.9M | 152.9M | 166.4M | 149.1M | |
| Depreciation | 205.8M | 251.2M | 236.0M | 328.7M | 203.8M | 187.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (248.7M) | (291.4M) | (346.3M) | (38.7M) | (125.7M) | (119.4M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 93.5M | 69.6M | 162.5M | 82.7M | 93.4M | 157.9M | |
| Net Income | 327.9M | 300.0M | 353.3M | 70.4M | 203.9M | 259.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 214.0M | 423.1M | 158.8M | 190.4M | 201.9M | 261.7M | |
| Change To Inventory | (5.3M) | 3.8M | 4.6M | (64.3M) | (62.9M) | (59.7M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 29.6M | 30.0M | 30.1M | 30.7M | 31.0M | 42.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | (28.2M) | (243.9M) | (186.4M) | 132.4M | 119.1M | 125.1M | |
| Investments | 12.7M | 74.3M | 17.5M | 61.5M | (131.9M) | (125.3M) | |
| Change Receivables | (53.6M) | 61.3M | (59.3M) | 41.6M | 47.9M | 50.3M | |
| Net Borrowings | 41.0M | 80.0M | 208.3M | 75.2M | 86.5M | 123.9M |
Graham Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Graham Holdings or Diversified Consumer Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Graham Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Graham stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Graham Holdings Volatility Alert
Graham Holdings Co has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.27 and kurtosis of 0.86. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Graham Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Graham Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Graham Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Graham Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Graham Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Graham Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Graham Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Graham Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Graham Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Graham Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Graham Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0538 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0275 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.58 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 3.49 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 18.32 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 82.90 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 54.77 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 11.04 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.80 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.72 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.41 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.27 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 380.09 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 203.94 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 169.32 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 162.98 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.25 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.25 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.57 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 887.68 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 259.88 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.47 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 43.84 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 635.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 14.11 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.1 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.19 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 7.19 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 7.34 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 619.62 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 1.86 B | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Anne Mulcahy of tradable shares of Graham Holdings at 761.13 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Graham Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Graham . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 59.47 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.86) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 711.35 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 710.74 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 3.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (5.22) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (6.79) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 59.32 |
About Graham Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Graham Holdings Co? Buying financial instruments such as Graham Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 1.2B | 1.2B | 1.3B | 1.3B | Total Assets | 7.4B | 6.6B | 7.2B | 4.2B |
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Check out Graham Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Graham Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Graham Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Complementary Tools for Graham Stock analysis
When running Graham Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Graham Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Graham Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Graham Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Graham Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Graham Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Graham Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Graham Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Graham Holdings. If investors know Graham will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Graham Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 8.161 | Dividend Share 6.6 | Earnings Share 43.84 | Revenue Per Share 951.687 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.097 |
The market value of Graham Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Graham that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Graham Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Graham Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Graham Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Graham Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Graham Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Graham Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Graham Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.