Gladstone Capital Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GLAD Stock  USD 21.24  0.05  0.23%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Gladstone Capital is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Gladstone Capital buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GLAD positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Gladstone Capital's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Gladstone Capital's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
18.05
Target Price
11
Hype Value
21.29
Market Value
21.24
Naive Value
21.86
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Gladstone Capital given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Gladstone Capital. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Gladstone Capital, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Gladstone Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Gladstone Stock refer to our How to Trade Gladstone Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Gladstone and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Gladstone Capital. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Gladstone Capital Buy or Sell Advice

The Gladstone recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Gladstone Capital. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Gladstone Capital or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Gladstone Capital's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Gladstone CapitalBuy Gladstone Capital
Strong Hold

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Gladstone Capital has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0022, Jensen Alpha of (0.08), Total Risk Alpha of (0.19) and Treynor Ratio of (0.02)
Our trade recommendations module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Gladstone Capital. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Gladstone Capital is not overpriced, please check out all Gladstone Capital fundamentals, including its profit margin, shares owned by insiders, price to book, as well as the relationship between the current valuation and number of shares shorted . Given that Gladstone Capital has a number of shares shorted of 516.7 K, we strongly advise you to confirm Gladstone Capital market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Gladstone Capital Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Gladstone Capital currently holds about 2.01 M in cash with (10.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06.
On 29th of February 2024 Gladstone Capital paid $ 0.0825 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Gladstone Capital Downgraded to Sell at StockNews.com - MarketBeat

Gladstone Capital Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Gladstone Capital's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Gladstone Capital's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Gladstone Capital daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Gladstone Capital price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Gladstone Capital returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Gladstone Capital.
Mean Return
-0.006
Value At Risk
-2.13
Potential Upside
1.55
Standard Deviation
1.28
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Gladstone Capital historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Gladstone Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Gladstone Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gladstone Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Gladstone Capital's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Gladstone Capital's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Dnb Nor Asset Management (asia)2023-12-31
149.7 K
Legacy Capital Wealth Partners, Llc2023-12-31
149.3 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
141.3 K
Quadrature Capital Llp2023-12-31
96.6 K
Schonfeld Strategic Advisors Llc2023-09-30
91.4 K
Trexquant Investment Lp2023-12-31
85.4 K
Mckinley Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
80.1 K
Kovack Advisors Inc2023-12-31
68.7 K
Koshinski Asset Management Inc2023-12-31
58.3 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2023-12-31
459.5 K
Millennium Management Llc2023-12-31
452.6 K
Note, although Gladstone Capital's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Gladstone Capital Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(13.3M)(1.6M)1.3M(706K)(635.4K)(603.6K)
Free Cash Flow(46.1M)(14.1M)(76.4M)(10.9M)(9.8M)(10.3M)
Depreciation(11.5M)18.3M(54.5M)17.1M15.4M16.2M
Net Income(1.9M)84.3M19.9M42.7M49.1M51.5M
End Period Cash Flow2.5M846K2.1M1.4M1.3M1.2M
Other Non Cash Items(65.0M)(48.0M)(108.8M)(55.2M)(49.7M)(47.2M)
Dividends Paid25.2M26.0M27.3M35.4M40.7M23.0M
Net Borrowings31.6M111.6M15M102.5M117.9M123.8M
Change To Netincome(12.7M)(46.6M)(102.5M)(91.7M)(82.5M)(78.4M)

Gladstone Capital Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Gladstone Capital or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Gladstone Capital's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Gladstone stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.76
σ
Overall volatility
1.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Gladstone Capital Volatility Alert

Gladstone Capital exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.53 and kurtosis of 3.66. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Gladstone Capital's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Gladstone Capital's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Gladstone Capital Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Gladstone Capital's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Gladstone Capital's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Gladstone Capital and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Gladstone Capital or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Gladstone Capital's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gladstone Capital by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Gladstone Capital to competition
FundamentalsGladstone CapitalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.15-0.31
Return On Asset0.0596-0.14
Profit Margin0.63 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.75 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation798.27 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding21.75 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.86 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions11.57 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted516.7 K4.71 M
Price To Earning18.01 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.06 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.89 X11.42 X
Revenue58.63 M9.43 B
Gross Profit63.15 M27.38 B
EBITDA42.67 M3.9 B
Net Income42.67 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.01 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.06 X5.01 X
Total Debt300.91 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.07 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.53 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share19.21 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(10.86 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio2.33 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.88 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.31 X4.89 X
Target Price22.0
Beta1.24-0.15
Market Capitalization463.15 M19.03 B
Total Asset719.5 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(55.38 M)9.33 B
Annual Yield0.09 %
Five Year Return8.84 %
Note: Acquisition by Robert Marcotte of 3000 shares of Gladstone Capital at 8.42 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Gladstone Capital Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Gladstone . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Gladstone Capital Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Gladstone Capital? Buying financial instruments such as Gladstone Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Total Stockholder Equity315.5M408.7M470.0M241.2M
Total Assets661.0M719.5M827.4M868.8M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Gladstone Capital in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Restaurants Thematic Idea Now

Restaurants
Restaurants Theme
Entities that are involved in restaurant business, as well as coffee shop chains and other eateries. The Restaurants theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Restaurants Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Gladstone Capital offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Gladstone Capital's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gladstone Capital Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gladstone Capital Stock:
Check out Gladstone Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Gladstone Stock refer to our How to Trade Gladstone Stock guide.
Note that the Gladstone Capital information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Gladstone Capital's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Gladstone Stock analysis

When running Gladstone Capital's price analysis, check to measure Gladstone Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gladstone Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Gladstone Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gladstone Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gladstone Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gladstone Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Gladstone Capital's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gladstone Capital. If investors know Gladstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gladstone Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.84
Dividend Share
1.92
Earnings Share
2.88
Revenue Per Share
4.588
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.204
The market value of Gladstone Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gladstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gladstone Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gladstone Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gladstone Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gladstone Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gladstone Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gladstone Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gladstone Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.