Graphic Packaging Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Graphic Packaging Holding Company buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Graphic Packaging positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Graphic Packaging Holding Company available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Graphic Packaging buy-and-hold prospective. Please also check Graphic Packaging Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Graphic Packaging Holding Company -- USA Stock  

USD 15.32  0.05  0.33%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Graphic Packaging Holding Company is 'Hold'.
For the selected time horizon Graphic Packaging Holding Company has a risk adjusted performance of 0.0753, jensen alpha of 0.0446, total risk alpha of 0.1629, sortino ratio of 0.1387 and treynor ratio of 0.22
This buy, hold, or sell suggestion tool can be used to cross verify current analyst consensus on Graphic Packaging and to analyze the organization potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Graphic Packaging Holding Company is not overpriced, please check out all Graphic Packaging fundamentals including its Cash and Equivalents, Beta and the relationship between Price to Sales and Book Value Per Share . Given that Graphic Packaging Ho has Price to Earning of 16.01 times, we strongly advise you confirm Graphic Packaging Ho market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.081717Value At Risk1.72
Potential Upside2.29Standard Deviation1.23
 Return Density 

Graphic Packaging Greeks

Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.33
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.13

Graphic Packaging Volatility Alert

Graphic Packaging Holding Company has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.35 and kurtosis of -0.56. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Graphic Packaging Holding Company to ensure market all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future risk-adjusted return.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Graphic Packaging to competition
FundamentalsGraphic PackagingPeer Average
Return On Equity25.57 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset4.98 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin6.82 % (5.50) %
Operating Margin15.69 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation6.99 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding309.72 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders0.97 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions104.09 % 18.37 %
Price to Earning16.01 times40.69 times
Price to Book3.68 times14.44 times
Price to Sales1.08 times17.81 times
Revenue4.4 B9.85 B
Gross Profit719.5 M21.75 B
EBITDA690.9 M1.41 B
Net Income300.2 M517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents67.4 M3.89 B
Cash per Share0.22 times5.17 times
Total Debt2.27 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity176.00 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio1.37 times3.30 times
Book Value Per Share4.17 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations274.4 M1.25 B
Earnings Per Share0.96 times2.30 times
Price to Earnings To Growth0.83 times1.22 times
Number of Employees13 K10.67 K
Market Capitalization4.76 B29.78 B
Total Asset4.26 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings(268 M)38.24 B
Working Capital334.6 M3.58 B
Current Asset1.07 B36.8 B
Current Liabilities732.2 M33.34 B
Z Score2.2708.73

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

   Acquisition by Michael Schmal of 10217 shares of Graphic Packaging subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.0753
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.21
Mean Deviation0.9999
Semi Deviation1.02
Downside Deviation1.12
Coefficient Of Variation1499.98
Standard Deviation1.23
Information Ratio0.1263
Jensen Alpha0.0446
Total Risk Alpha0.1629
Sortino Ratio0.1387
Treynor Ratio0.22
Maximum Drawdown4.31
Value At Risk1.72
Potential Upside2.29
Downside Variance1.25
Semi Variance1.04
Expected Short fall1.18

Current Valuation

Graphic Packaging Current Valuation Analysis
Graphic Packaging Holding Company is rated # 4 in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Packaging industry is currently estimated at about 87.52 Billion. Graphic Packaging holds roughly 6.99 Billion in current valuation claiming about 8% of equities listed under Packaging industry.