Graphic Packaging Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Graphic Packaging Holding Company buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Graphic Packaging positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Graphic Packaging Holding Company available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Graphic Packaging buy-and-hold prospective. Please also check Graphic Packaging Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Investment Horizon

  

Risk Tolerance

  
Symbol
Execute Advice
Graphic Packaging Holding Company -- USA Stock  

USD 15.56  0.09  0.58%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Graphic Packaging Holding Company is 'Hold'.
For the selected time horizon Graphic Packaging Holding Company has a risk adjusted performance of 0.089, jensen alpha of 0.4097, total risk alpha of 0.1609, sortino ratio of 0.3189 and treynor ratio of (0.39)
This buy, hold, or sell suggestion tool can be used to cross verify current analyst consensus on Graphic Packaging and to analyze the organization potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Graphic Packaging Holding Company is not overpriced, please check out all Graphic Packaging fundamentals including its Shares Outstanding, Net Income, Price to Earnings To Growth, as well as the relationship between Price to Book and Current Ratio . Given that Graphic Packaging Ho has Price to Earning of 28.83 times, we strongly advise you confirm Graphic Packaging Ho market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.38Value At Risk1.54
Potential Upside2.19Standard Deviation1.69
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Graphic Packaging Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.41
βBeta against DOW=0.94
σ
Overall volatility
=1.65
 IrInformation ratio =0.19

Graphic Packaging Volatility Alert

Graphic Packaging Holding Company has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.35 and kurtosis of 7.96. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Graphic Packaging Holding Company to ensure market all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future risk-adjusted return.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Graphic Packaging to competition
FundamentalsGraphic PackagingPeer Average
Return On Equity15.73 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset5.13 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin3.98 % (5.5) %
Operating Margin8.95 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation6.93 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding309.71 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders0.95 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions104.93 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted3.48 M3.24 M
Price to Earning28.83 times40.69 times
Price to Book4.39 times14.44 times
Price to Sales1.11 times17.81 times
Revenue4.32 B9.85 B
Gross Profit791.9 M21.75 B
EBITDA690.1 M1.41 B
Net Income171.7 M517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents12.5 M3.89 B
Cash per Share0.04 times5.17 times
Total Debt2.21 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity201.8 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio1.5 times3.3 times
Book Value Per Share3.54 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations559.5 M1.25 B
Short Ratio1.07 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share0.54 times2.3 times
Price to Earnings To Growth0.93 times1.22 times
Number of Employees12 K10.67 K
Beta1.260.34
Market Capitalization4.81 B29.78 B
Total Asset4.26 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings(268 M)38.24 B
Working Capital334.6 M3.58 B
Current Asset1.07 B36.8 B
SellBuy
Hold

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

   Exercise or conversion by Hellrung Stephen A of 24695 shares of Graphic Packaging subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.089
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.38)
Mean Deviation1.06
Semi Deviation0.4455
Downside Deviation1.01
Coefficient Of Variation448.1
Standard Deviation1.69
Variance2.87
Information Ratio0.191
Jensen Alpha0.4097
Total Risk Alpha0.1609
Sortino Ratio0.3189
Treynor Ratio(0.39)
Maximum Drawdown8.29
Value At Risk(1.54)
Potential Upside2.19
Downside Variance1.03
Semi Variance0.1984
Expected Short fall(1.39)
Skewness2.35
Kurtosis7.96

Current Valuation

Graphic Packaging Current Valuation Analysis
Graphic Packaging Holding Company is rated # 4 in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Packaging industry is currently estimated at about 89.47 Billion. Graphic Packaging holds roughly 6.93 Billion in current valuation claiming about 8% of equities listed under Packaging industry.