Graphic Packaging Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Graphic Packaging Holding Company buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Graphic Packaging positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Graphic Packaging Holding Company available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Graphic Packaging buy-and-hold prospective. Please also check Graphic Packaging Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Graphic Packaging Holding Company -- USA Stock  

USD 16.6  0.32  1.97%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Graphic Packaging Holding Company is 'Cautious Hold'.
For the selected time horizon Graphic Packaging Holding Company has a mean deviation of 0.7306, semi deviation of 0.3971, standard deviation of 1.04, variance of 1.08, downside variance of 0.9884 and semi variance of 0.1576
This buy, hold, or sell suggestion tool can be used to cross verify current analyst consensus on Graphic Packaging and to analyze the organization potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Graphic Packaging Holding Company is not overpriced, please check out all Graphic Packaging fundamentals including its Cash and Equivalents, Beta and the relationship between Price to Sales and Book Value Per Share . Given that Graphic Packaging Ho has Price to Earning of 32.05 times, we strongly advise you confirm Graphic Packaging Ho market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.29Value At Risk1.23
Potential Upside2.15Standard Deviation1.04
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Aurora Investment CounselCommon Shares155.8 K2.4 M
National Investment Services IncCommon Shares47.3 K731 K
Dalton Greiner Hartman Maher CoCommon Shares32.9 K508 K
Nisa Investment Advisors LlcCommon Shares5 K77 K
Adirondack Trust CoCommon Shares2504 K
Simplex Trading LlcPut Options12.00.0
Simplex Trading LlcCall Options1.00.0
Fmr LlcCommon Shares34.5 M481.2 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares25.2 M351.3 M

Graphic Packaging Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.54
β
Beta against DOW=1.13
σ
Overall volatility
=1.09
Ir
Information ratio =0.0558

Graphic Packaging Volatility Alert

Graphic Packaging Holding Company has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of -0.25, Maximum Drawdown of 3.13 and kurtosis of 0.93. However, we advice all investors to further analyze Graphic Packaging Holding Company to make certain all market information is desiminated and is consistent with the current expectations about Graphic Packaging upside potential.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Graphic Packaging to competition
FundamentalsGraphic PackagingPeer Average
Return On Equity14.38 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset4.89 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin3.7 % (5.5) %
Operating Margin8.6 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation7.4 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding309.71 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders0.95 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions102.25 % 18.37 %
Price to Earning32.05 times40.69 times
Price to Book4.45 times14.44 times
Price to Sales1.16 times17.81 times
Revenue4.35 B9.85 B
Gross Profit791.9 M21.75 B
EBITDA679.6 M1.41 B
Net Income161.2 M517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents17.2 M3.89 B
Cash per Share0.06 times5.17 times
Total Debt2.27 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity200.6 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio1.5 times3.3 times
Book Value Per Share3.66 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations553.6 M1.25 B
Earnings Per Share0.51 times2.3 times
Price to Earnings To Growth1.58 times1.22 times
Number of Employees12 K10.67 K
Beta1.270.34
Market Capitalization5.04 B29.78 B
Total Asset4.26 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings(268 M)38.24 B
Working Capital334.6 M3.58 B
Current Asset1.07 B36.8 B
Current Liabilities732.2 M33.34 B
Z Score2.2708.73
SellBuy
Cautious Hold

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

   Acquisition by G Botta of 742 shares of Graphic Packaging subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.1159
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.24)
Mean Deviation0.7306
Semi Deviation0.3971
Downside Deviation0.9942
Coefficient Of Variation354.34
Standard Deviation1.04
Variance1.08
Information Ratio0.0558
Jensen Alpha0.5378
Total Risk Alpha(0.32)
Sortino Ratio0.0584
Treynor Ratio(0.25)
Maximum Drawdown3.13
Value At Risk(1.23)
Potential Upside2.15
Downside Variance0.9884
Semi Variance0.1576
Expected Short fall(0.88)
Skewness0.4128
Kurtosis0.9265

Current Valuation

Graphic Packaging Current Valuation Analysis
Graphic Packaging Holding Company is rated # 4 in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Packaging industry is currently estimated at about 93.07 Billion. Graphic Packaging holds roughly 7.4 Billion in current valuation claiming about 8% of equities listed under Packaging industry.